NBA Playoff Predictions May 24: Can the Spurs cover and even up the series 2-2?

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Sunday has 1 game on the NBA slate as the fourth full week of May 2026 begins. It's Game 4 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs in the conference final round of the NBA Playoffs. Oklahoma City leads the series 2-1.

Can the Spurs cover the 2.5-point spread as home favorites and even up the series at 2-2? Will both teams combine to score enough to go over the total of 218.5 points?

I'll make picks for the spread and total below. Read on for our NBA Playoff Predictions May 24 article.

THUNDER VS SPURS DATE, TIME & HOW TO WATCH

WhereFROST BANK CENTER, SAN ANTONIO, TX
WhenSUNDAY, MAY 24, 2026, 8 PM ET
TVNBC AND PEACOCK

THUNDER VS SPURS ODDS

SpreadMoneylineTotal
THUNDER2.5 (-110)+120U 218.5 (-110)
SPURS-2.5 (-110)-140O 218.5 (-110)

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THUNDER VS SPURS WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING?

THUNDER50%50%SPURS

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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Game 4 Spread Prediction

The San Antonio Spurs should cover the 2.5-point spread as home favorites against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals on Sunday night.

The Spurs bounce back aggressively, holding a dominant 17-8 ATS record after a loss this season. They protect their home court, sitting at 24-20-1 ATS as a home favorite this year. San Antonio also thrives on quick turnarounds, logging a 30-26-2 ATS mark playing on 1 day of rest in 2025-26.

San Antonio's overall postseason mettle has produced a strong 9-5 ATS playoff record this season. Finally, the Spurs control this head-to-head matchup, going 6-4 straight up and 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the Thunder. Lay the points with San Antonio in this one.

Pick: San Antonio Spurs -2.5

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Game 4 Total Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs are poised to eclipse the 218.5-point total in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals on Sunday night.

The Thunder consistently drive high-scoring matchups away from home, as the over is 27-18 when they are the visiting team this season. Oklahoma City also maintains its offensive momentum after victories, as the over is 41-32 in their games following a win this season.

The postseason environment has been conducive to scoring; the over is 9-2 in the Thunder's playoff games, and the over is 9-5 in San Antonio's postseason games this spring.

Head-to-head history further guarantees a shootout, as the over has cashed in 6 of the last 9 meetings between these two Western Conference rivals.

Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Over 218.5

Today's NBA Playoff Predictions

  1. San Antonio Spurs -2.5
  2. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Over 218.5
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