NBA Playoff Predictions May 22: Can the Spurs cover and take a 2-1 series lead?

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Friday has 1 game on the NBA slate as the third full week of May 2026 begins to wrap up. It's Game 3 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs in the conference final round of the NBA Playoffs. The series is tied 1-1.

Can the Spurs cover the 2-point spread as home favorites and take a 2-1 series lead? Will both teams combine to score enough to go over the total of 217.5 points?

I'll make picks for the spread and total below. Read on for our NBA Playoff Predictions May 22 article.

THUNDER VS SPURS DATE, TIME & HOW TO WATCH

WhereFROST BANK CENTER, SAN ANTONIO, TX
WhenFRIDAY, MAY 22, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
TVNBA AND PEACOCK

THUNDER VS SPURS ODDS

SpreadMoneylineTotal
THUNDER2 (-115)+115U 217.5 (+100)
SPURS-2 (-105)-135O 217.5 (-120)

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THUNDER VS SPURS WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING?

THUNDER31%69%SPURS

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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Game 3 Spread Prediction

Heading into Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals on Friday night, the San Antonio Spurs enter as home favorites ready to cover the 2-point spread against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

To wit, you should expect a major bounce-back from San Antonio, backed by their elite 17-7 ATS record following a loss this season. The Spurs consistently dominate their own floor, sitting at 26-19-1 ATS as the home team and 41-32-2 ATS as a favorite in 2025-26. They also possess a phenomenal 9-4 ATS record in playoff games this season.

Having controlled this matchup recently—going 6-3 straight up and 5-3-1 ATS in their last 9 games against the Thunder—San Antonio is in a great spot to win, cover, and reclaim series momentum on Friday night.

Pick: San Antonio Spurs -2

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Game 3 Total Prediction

Anticipate a shootout in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals on Friday night. The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder are primed to clear the 217.5-point total.

Both squads consistently play with pace, as the over is a staggering 8-2 in Oklahoma City's playoff games and 8-5 in San Antonio's playoff contests this year. The Thunder are especially profitable here. The over is a flawless 3-0 when Oklahoma City is listed as a road underdog, adding extra appeal for a unique situation like Friday's game.

Furthermore, OKC keeps the offense rolling off a victory, as the over is 40-32 in the Thunder's games after a win this season. Expect an offensive showcase between these two Western Conference juggernauts on Friday night.

Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Over 217.5

Today's NBA Playoff Predictions

  1. San Antonio Spurs -2
  2. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Over 217.5
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