This Knicks vs. Pacers prediction covers an NBA Cup group-play game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where New York is a 6.5-point road favorite. The defending champions arrive at 6-5 and on their third game in four nights. Indiana sits at 4-8 and is still without Tyrese Haliburton. The total has slipped to 219.5 after opening two points higher. Below, we work through the injury report, the pace clash and a lopsided rebounding matchup before landing on two plays.
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers — Game Info
| Where | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis Indiana |
| When | November 13 – 7:00 PM ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Preview
Availability shapes this number more than anything else. Indiana has ruled out Haliburton with a left hamstring strain, along with Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy. In addition, Aaron Nesmith is questionable with a sore right knee after he left Wednesday’s game and did not return. T.J. McConnell is probable as he works back from a hamstring strain. Treat any read on Indiana as provisional until Nesmith’s status is settled before tip-off. New York, meanwhile, listed nobody on its report as of Friday morning.
The schedule leans the other way. The Knicks routed Milwaukee on Tuesday, then lost 115-107 to Cleveland on Wednesday on the second night of a back-to-back. Friday makes three games in four nights. Indiana, by contrast, had Tuesday and Thursday off around a 114-101 win over Washington on Wednesday, its first home win of the season.
The core matchup is a pace collision. New York plays 94.9 possessions per 48 minutes, slowest in the NBA, per Basketball Reference. Indiana runs at 100.2, tied for sixth-fastest. On a per-possession basis, the Knicks rate 116.2 on offense and 109.0 on defense, a net rating of +7.2. The Pacers sit at 111.4 and 113.8, for a net of -2.4. That gap of nearly 10 points per 100 possessions is the starting point for both the side and the total.
Jalen Brunson remains the engine for New York. The reigning Finals MVP is averaging 26.0 points per game, and Towns adds 20.9 points to go with his rebounding. That pairing has kept the Knicks’ defense among the league’s best even after Mitchell Robinson’s departure. Indiana leans on Pascal Siakam, who leads the team in scoring, and needs more from its supporting cast with Haliburton sidelined.
Results and covers tell different stories. New York is 6-4 over its last 10 games yet just 4-7 against the spread this season. Indiana is 3-7 over its last 10. However, it has covered seven of 12 this season. That split suggests the market has been pricing the Knicks a little rich all autumn.
Context adds some edge to the game. These are the last two teams to win the Eastern Conference, and both dropped their Cup openers. New York took three of four meetings last season, closing with a 136-110 home win on March 17.
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks | -6.5 (-115) | -260 | O 219.5 (-110) |
| Pacers | +6.5 (-105) | +215 | U 219.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of November 13, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NBA Odds – Futures – Props
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Knicks | 77% | 23% | Pacers |
See the latest NBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Knicks vs. Pacers Prediction — Can Indiana Drag the League’s Slowest Team Into a Track Meet?
Indiana wants to run, but New York decides how many possessions this game gets. The Knicks have played the fewest possessions in the league, and their games have gone under in eight of 11 tries. The Pacers have been an under team at home as well. All five of their games in Indianapolis have stayed below the closing total, even with numbers posted in the high 220s and above. Indiana’s offense rates only 21st at 111.4 points per 100 possessions. Losing Haliburton again limits how far it can push a game on its own.
The market has moved the same way. This total opened at 221.5 and now sits at 219.5, a two-point drop on a number that started low. Public ticket counts on the total aren’t available here, so this isn’t a reverse-line-movement read. Still, the move confirms the thesis rather than contradicting it. The honest caveat is that the better number is gone. At -110, the under needs to land about 52.4% of the time. A drop of that size usually means some of the value has already been taken.
The case for the over is real. Fatigue on a three-in-four stretch can blunt New York’s defense. The Knicks also take 45.8% of their shots from three, and three-point variance is the biggest source of noise in any basketball total. Wednesday’s loss to Cleveland cleared its number, and the March meeting produced 246 points. Even so, attempt rate and pace persist from game to game, while hot shooting nights don’t. Those stable inputs point to a grind.
The Pick: Under 219.5 (-110)
Knicks vs. Pacers Prediction — Does Mitchell Robinson’s Exit Put the Glass on Towns?
With Robinson gone, Karl-Anthony Towns has absorbed the rebounding load. He is averaging about 13.5 boards a night, and he grabbed 13 at Cleveland on Saturday. The matchup suits him. New York averages 48.1 rebounds to Indiana’s 41.1. Per Basketball Reference, the Knicks rebound 32.2% of their own misses, while the Pacers secure only 72.3% of their opponents’ misses. Meanwhile, Indiana rarely crashes its own glass, which leaves more defensive rebounds for New York’s big man.
The price of -130 implies roughly 56.5%, and his average sits just above the line, so this is a lean rather than a strong play. The risks are clear. Ivica Zubac mans the middle for Indiana, and the market expects him to reach double-digit rebounds. Andre Drummond eats into backup minutes, and a blowout could trim Towns’ night. Towns also carried calf soreness on Wednesday’s report before being cleared. Note that this play and the under share an input: both benefit from a half-court game with plenty of missed shots.
The Pick: Karl-Anthony Towns To Record 13+ Rebounds (-130)
Our Final Word on Knicks vs. Pacers
Both sides of the spread carry a credible case. New York’s net-rating edge and Indiana’s missing guards argue for the favorite. On the other hand, the Knicks are on tired legs, and the Pacers have covered more often than not. The slow pace also works against a big margin, since fewer possessions shrink the gap a better team can build.
The full-game spread looks priced close to where the ratings put it. Roughly 77% of spread tickets back New York, and the Knicks’ price has moved from -110 to -115 in the same direction. That is movement with the public, which carries little signal on its own. The clearer edges sit in how this game will be played rather than who wins it.
Our first play is the Under 219.5 (-110), because the league’s slowest team controls the tempo and the market has already moved toward the under. Our second is Karl-Anthony Towns To Record 13+ Rebounds (-130), because New York owns a wide edge on the glass against Indiana.