Friday has nearly half of the league in action as the first week of March 2026 continues. It features 7 contests on a full NBA slate with start times ranging from 7:00 PM ET to 10:30 PM ET. Can the Hornets cover the 6.5-point spread as home favorites against the Heat? Will the Knicks cover on the road against the Nuggets at Ball Arena in Denver? I’ll make picks for both contests below. Read on for our Friday NBA Best Bets March 6 article.
NBA Best Bet: Miami Heat +6.5 over Charlotte Hornets
I like Miami here. The Heat are in a good spot to cover the 6.5-point spread as road underdogs against the Hornets on Friday. Miami thrives in this exact spot, boasting a strong 19-13 ATS record on the road and a stellar 19-12 ATS mark as underdogs this season.
The Heat’s superb conditioning stands out due to a 10-4 ATS mark on zero rest and a 21-15 ATS record in conference matchups in 2025-26. History also heavily favors Miami; they are 7-1 straight up and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Charlotte. Expect Miami’s gritty defense to keep this clash tight throughout.
Final score projection: MIAMI HEAT 108, CHARLOTTE HORNETS 105.
NBA Best Bet: New York Knicks -1.5 over Denver Nuggets
I’d take the Knicks in this contest. New York is in a prime position to cover the 1.5-point spread as road favorites against the Nuggets on Friday. New York consistently excels outside their conference with a 13-9 ATS record against the West this season. What’s more, the Knicks boast a reliable 22-19 ATS mark on one day of rest in 2025-26.
New York has thrived when given extra prep time, as they are a solid 7-6 ATS when playing with the rest advantage this year. Riding a flawless 4-0 ATS hot streak overall, the Knicks also flat-out own this matchup, going 6-1 straight up and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Denver. Expect New York’s momentum to continue on the road.
Final score projection: NEW YORK KNICKS 112, DENVER NUGGETS 108.
Friday NBA Best Bets March 6
- Miami Heat +6.5
- New York Knicks -1.5
Follow: Twitter/X · Bluesky · Facebook
Responsible Gaming
For help and resources, visit our Responsible Gaming page or the National Council on Problem Gambling.
Affiliate Disclosure
We may receive affiliate commissions if you sign up through links on our site. Read our full Affiliate Disclosure.