Phillies vs. Mets Predictions
Are the Phillies a decent underdog play for bettors this afternoon in New York? They’ll visit the Mets at 1:10PM ET.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Mets are -134 money line favorites versus the Phillies, who have odds of +124 to pull off the upset in New York. With Vincent Velasquez set to face Robert Gsellman in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 8 runs, down from the original number of 8.5.
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PHILADELPHIA: Velasquez was crushed in his last outing, allowing five earned runs over six innings in a loss to the Cardinals last Sunday. He gave up home runs to Brandon Moss and Stephen Piscotty, which gave him eight home runs allowed over his last three starts. The 24-year-old has thrown 30 more innings than he did in 2015 and his fastball velocity is tailing off which each start.
Bet Today’s Phillies vs. Mets Game
NEW YORK: Gsellman earned his first major league win on Tuesday when pitching in relief of Jon Niese in a win over the Cardinals. He pitched 3 2/3 scoreless innings and held St. Louis to just two hits on the night. He was recalled on Monday to help in the bullpen but now finds himself thrust into a starting role with injuries continuing to pile up for the Mets.
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OUR PICK: The over is 34-15-2 in the last 51 meetings between these two teams in New York and is 64-28-5 in the last 98 meetings overall. The over is also 9-3 in the Mets’ last 12 home games, is 20-7 in their last 27 games overall, and is 7-0 in their last seven games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The over is also 5-2 in the Phillies’ last seven games versus NL East opponents and is 4-1 in Velasquez’s last five starts versus a team with a winning record.
SUNDAY MLB FREE PICK: PHILLIES/METS OVER 8.5