Phillies vs. Braves MLB Pick
After splitting the first two games of the series, will the Phillies take the rubber match tonight versus the Braves when the two teams clash at 7:10PM ET? Read on for our pick.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Phillies are -145 money line favorites to beat the Braves, who have odds of +125 to pull off the upset tonight at home. With Vincent Velasquez set to face Aaron Blair in the pitching matchup, the over/under sits at 7 runs.
Bet Tonight’s Phillies vs. Braves Game
The 23-year-old Velasquez has been a great surprise for the Phillies through six starts. He’s 4-1 with a 2.17 ERA, a 0.96 WHIP and opponents are batting just .118 off him through 37 1/3 innings pitched. He was roughed up a little in his last start, however, allowing four runs on seven hits over six innings versus the Marlins.
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As for Blaier, he’s 0-2 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 16 1/3 innings pitched this season. The Braves are 0-3 in his three starts this season and he’s yet to reach the seventh inning in any of his outings. In his last start, Blair allowed three runs on five hits while walking four over five innings versus the Diamondbacks at home.
OUR PICK: The Braves are 0-4 in their last four games following a win, 1-6 in their last seven home games versus a team with a winning record, and 4-24 in their last 28 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. As for the Phillies, they’re 7-2 in their last nine games against divisional opponents, 11-4 in their last 15 games versus a right-handed starter, and 13-6 in their last 19 games overall. Philadelphia has been one of the better surprises this season and the Phils definitely have the pitching advantage tonight, so lay the -145.
THURSDAY MLB FREE PICK: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -145
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