Mets vs. Reds Prediction
Can the New York Mets string together a pair of wins as they hit the road to face the Cincinnati Reds tonight at 7:10PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
903 New York Mets at 904 Cincinnati Reds
Tuesday, May 8, 2018
7:10PM ET – Great American Ball Park
TV: SNY (NY); FSOH (Cin)
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Reds are favored at home tonight, as they are getting odds of -145 to prevail. The Mets are listed with a money line of +130 to prevail, while the over/under total has been set at 9 runs. The public betting currently has 75% going on New York on the road today. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Mets snap skid
The Mets ended their six-game losing streak on Monday with a 7-6 win at Cincinnati. New York is now 18-15 overall and 11-5 on the road. The Mets are averaging 4.39 runs per game this season while allowing 4.64 per contest.
Jason Vargas is getting the start for the Mets tonight. He has started two games this year and struggled a great deal. Vargas has only amassed 8.1 innings and allowed 15 earned runs with five home runs. He has five walks, eight strikeouts, a 16.20 ERA and a 3.00 WHIP.
Reds drop third straight
The Cincinnati Reds have lost six of their last seven games, all at home. They are now 8-27 overall and 4-15 at home. Cincinnati is putting up 3.97 runs per game this season while allowing 5.46 per contest.
Luis Castillo gets the start for the Reds this evening. He is 1-4 in his seven starts this year. Castillo has a 7.01 ERA with a 1.67 WHIP. He has pitched 34.2 innings on the year and has 14 walks with 31 strikeouts.
MLB Betting Trends
New York
The Mets have won 20 of their last 27 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400 and eight of their last nine road games against a team with the same winning percentage.
Cincinnati
The Reds are just 5-21 in their last 26 home and 1-6 in their last seven Tuesday games. They also have dropped six of Castillo’s last eight home starts.
Prediction:
The Mets have a disastrous starter on the mound in Vargas. He has been a mess, but I think he will have a short leash today. Castillo really isn’t any better and the Mets have a winning record for a reason. I think they have the better chance to overcome their poor pitching.
The Pick: New York Mets +130