Rays vs. Red Sox Pick
Will the Boston Red Sox take care of business at home when they host the Tampa Bay Rays tonight at 7:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Red Sox are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -130 to win. The Rays are listed with a money line of +120 to win, while the over/under total has been set at 8.5 runs. These two have split their last 10 meetings this season.
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The pitching matchup tonight has Chris Archer (9-8, 3.76 ERA) on the mound for Tampa Bay to face Drew Pomeranz (14-5, 3.36) of the Red Sox. Archer didn’t record an out in his last start, giving up two runs quickly to the White Sox. He has given up multiple runs in four of his last five starts. Archer has 225 strikeouts and 52 walks this season to go with a 1.20 WHIP. Pomeranz is also struggling lately, allowing seven runs over his last two starts. He has 154 strikeouts this year with 59 walks and a 1.38 WHIP.
Tampa Bay is coming off a series win at home over the Twins. The Rays are now 70-71 overall and 34-37 on the road. Tampa is averaging 4.35 runs per game while also allowing 4.35 per contest. The Rays are being led this season by Logan Morrison, who has 36 home runs with 82 RBI. Evan Longoria is adding 34 doubles, 18 home runs and 77 RBI.
Boston is coming off a series win at home over the Blue Jays. The Red Sox are now 79-61 overall and 42-26 at home. Boston is putting up 4.73 runs this season while allowing 4.15 per game. The Sox are being led by Andrew Benintendi, who has 19 home runs and 75 RBI. Mookie Betts has 42 doubles with 18 home runs and 78 RBI as well.
Pomeranz has been pretty good this year but he hasn’t been good against Tampa Bay. Pomeranz has a 6.08 against the Rays in three starts this year. On the flip side, Archer has posted a 2.92 ERA against the Red Sox in two starts. I think he will have another good start against the Red Sox tonight while Pomeranz will struggle once again. I like the Rays in a slight upset.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: TAMPA BAY RAYS +120