MLB Prediction: Padres vs Dodgers Sept. 24 Get Our Side Pick and Best Bet

MLB Prediction: Padres vs Dodgers Sept. 24 Get Our Side Pick and Best Bet MLB Prediction: Padres vs Dodgers Sept. 24 Get Our Side Pick and Best Bet

The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers wrap up their final regular-season series Thursday night in Los Angeles. The two clubs arrive from different places. Los Angeles clinched the NL West on September 17. San Diego is still sorting out its wild-card position. The Dodgers are priced at -177 with the total at 7.5. However, the most interesting number may not be the one drawing money.

Last Updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers — Time & How to Watch

WhereUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
WhenThursday, September 24, 2026 — 10:10 PM ET
TVSportsNet LA / Padres.TV

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The pitching matchup is the story. Los Angeles hands the ball to right-hander Tyler Glasnow, who owns a 3.46 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP across 12 starts and 67.2 innings. He has struck out 87 hitters against 23 walks. His September has been uneven, though. Glasnow allowed four earned runs against Washington on September 5 and four more against Miami on September 12. He then settled down on September 18, striking out 10 Giants over six innings.

San Diego counters with Nick Pivetta, who carries a 3.30 ERA and 1.00 WHIP through seven starts. The caveat is workload. Pivetta made no start between April 12 and September 7, and he has not thrown more than 76 pitches or worked past the fifth inning since returning. The results have been excellent regardless. Over those three starts he has allowed three earned runs in 14 innings with one walk. Both probable starters are confirmed.

Both teams are playing well. The Dodgers are 97-61 and have won seven of their last nine. The Padres are 88-70 and have also taken seven of nine. Los Angeles leads the season series 8-4, but this week has been a split. The Dodgers shut San Diego out 7-0 in the opener. The Padres answered with a 5-1 win on Wednesday. For the middle game, see our Padres vs. Dodgers prediction for Sept. 23.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Run LineMoneylineTotal
Padres+1.5 (-150)+145U 7.5 (-115)
Dodgers-1.5 (+130)-177O 7.5 (-105)

Odds accurate as of September 24, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB OddsFuturesProps

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers — Who Is the Public Betting?

Padres28%72%Dodgers

See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction — Pitcher’s Duel in L.A.?

Start with what both starters do well. Glasnow misses bats at 11.57 per nine, with 42 hits allowed in 67.2 innings. Pivetta has walked seven hitters across 30 innings. Base traffic turns a quiet inning into a multi-run inning, and neither arm has surrendered much of it.

The market adds a second layer. This total opened at 7.5 with even juice on both sides. It has since moved to -115 on the under, while 72% of run-line money and 85% of moneyline money has landed on Los Angeles. Recreational money typically rides favorites and overs together, so that divergence is worth noting. The first two games of this series also finished beneath the number.

Still, the counter-case is real. Pivetta’s pitch limit means the San Diego bullpen likely has four innings to cover, and bullpen innings decide totals. Glasnow has also walked nine hitters across 16 September innings. Meanwhile, the Dodgers scored eight, ten and seven runs in three of their last five home games.

The Pick: Under 7.5 (-115)

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction — Who Needs This Game More?

Recent form matters more than a season line in late September. Over the past three weeks Pivetta has been the better pitcher, with a 1.93 ERA over 14 innings and one walk. Glasnow has given up 10 earned runs across 16 innings in the same window. The season numbers still favor Los Angeles. However, the price is built on team quality rather than on how these arms have thrown this month.

Motivation is the other input. Los Angeles clinched the NL West on September 17 and has nothing left to settle. San Diego is still playing for wild-card position. In contrast, the market read cuts the other way. The Dodgers moved from -170 to -177 with the crowd, and San Diego is 4-8 against them this season. There is no reverse line movement here, so this is a price-driven lean rather than a confirmed edge. More in our latest MLB picks coverage.

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline (+145)

Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle

Both positions rest on the same underlying read, and it is worth saying so plainly. This projects as a tight, low-scoring game between two starters who miss bats. If it turns into a slugfest, both lose together. That is the honest risk in pairing them.

The swing moment is Pivetta’s exit. He has not been extended past 76 pitches, so the fifth is the likely handoff point. Watch whether San Diego gets length from its first reliever in a game where Los Angeles bats last. Glasnow’s walk total is the other tell.

To recap the card: Under 7.5 (-115) is the headline play, and San Diego Padres Moneyline (+145) is the secondary position. No third angle stands on its own signals here.

MLB Padres vs. Dodgers FAQ: Thursday September 24, 2026

What time does the Padres vs. Dodgers game start?

First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. This is the third and final game of the series, and it is also the last scheduled regular-season meeting between San Diego and Los Angeles in 2026.

What channel is the Padres vs. Dodgers game on?

The game airs locally on SportsNet LA in the Los Angeles market and on Padres.TV in the San Diego market. Out-of-market viewers can find it through MLB.TV. No national television broadcast is listed for this matchup, so coverage is limited to the two regional feeds plus streaming.

Who is pitching for the Dodgers tonight?

Right-hander Tyler Glasnow starts for Los Angeles. He carries a 3.46 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 12 starts and 67.2 innings this season, with 87 strikeouts against 23 walks. His most recent outing came on September 18 against San Francisco, when he struck out 10 across six innings.

Who won the last meeting between the Padres and Dodgers?

San Diego won the most recent meeting 5-1 on September 23 at Dodger Stadium, evening this series at a game apiece. Los Angeles had taken the opener 7-0 the night before. The Dodgers still lead the 2026 season series 8-4 heading into Thursday’s finale between the two clubs.

Where do the Padres and Dodgers stand in their division?

Los Angeles leads the NL West at 97-61 and clinched the division on September 17. San Diego sits second in the NL West at 88-70 and remains in the National League wild-card field with the regular season winding down. The two clubs are separated by nine games in the division.