Sunday night belongs to Zack Wheeler, who closes a divisional weekend against the team that drafted him. The Phillies ace headlines a coast-to-coast slate that runs from the Bronx to Chavez Ravine. Cincinnati's rookie flamethrower Chase Burns also takes the ball in pinstripe country, and a heavy chalk favorite waits in Los Angeles. Philadelphia already battered the Mets 15-3 on Saturday, so the bats are clearly awake heading into the finale. Below, we break down three plays across the day: an early-afternoon money line lean, a mid-day run line angle, and a primetime total. Scroll on for the reasoning, the prices, and where the public is leaning.
Last Updated: Sunday, June 21, 2026
Early Game — Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees
REDS VS YANKEES — JUNE 21, TIME & HOW TO WATCH | |
|---|---|
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx NY |
| When | Sunday, June 21 – 1:35 PM ET |
| TV | YES Network / Reds.TV |
Cincinnati hands the ball to Chase Burns, and the rookie right-hander has been one of the season's best stories. He enters at 8-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 95 strikeouts. New York counters with Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz, a rookie making one of his first major league starts. That is a steep experience gap on the mound, and it tilts toward the visitors.
The Reds also bring momentum. They hung 10 runs on the Yankees on Saturday, so the lineup is locked in. New York, meanwhile, has scuffled since losing Aaron Judge to a fractured rib. The order misses his thump in the middle. Cincinnati hovers near .500, yet the rotation has carried the club through June.
The market tells the real story here. The public has poured 73% of money line tickets onto the Yankees, yet the price sits at a virtual coin flip. When a brand-name home team draws that much action without moving the line, value often hides on the other side.
REDS VS YANKEES ODDS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
| Cincinnati Reds | -1.5 (+160) | -111 | U 8.5 (-115) |
| New York Yankees | +1.5 (-185) | -109 | O 8.5 (-105) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, June 21, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds - Futures - Props
REDS VS YANKEES WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | 27% | 73% | New York Yankees |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (-111)
Burns gives Cincinnati the clear edge on the mound, and the Reds face a pitcher they can attack early. The case for fading is real, though. Yankee Stadium's short porch can erase an edge with one swing, and Rodriguez-Cruz is an unknown the Reds have not seen. Still, at near-even money against a Judge-less lineup, the Reds offer the better side.
Mid-Day Game — Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers
ORIOLES VS DODGERS — JUNE 21, TIME & HOW TO WATCH | |
|---|---|
| Where | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles CA |
| When | Sunday, June 21 – 4:10 PM ET |
| TV | Spectrum SportsNet LA / MASN |
Baltimore sends Brandon Young to the mound against a Dodgers club that rarely loses at home. Young owns a 3.18 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP across his starts. Los Angeles answers with Emmet Sheehan, who carries a 4.76 ERA and has been hittable. The Dodgers miss bats, but they also surrender hard contact.
The Orioles arrive as heavy underdogs, yet they have hung tough in this series. They took Saturday's game 3-2 behind seven scoreless innings from Trevor Rogers. Los Angeles is 49-28 overall and 26-13 at Dodger Stadium, so the venue matters. Baltimore's road record of 14-23 is the obvious red flag.
The public has hammered the Dodgers at -220, with 86% of money line tickets on the home side. That kind of lopsided chalk inflates the price and squeezes value out of the favorite. The run line offers a steadier way to back the underdog.
ORIOLES VS DODGERS ODDS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
| Baltimore Orioles | +1.5 (-115) | +180 | U 9.0 (-105) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.5 (-105) | -220 | O 9.0 (-115) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, June 21, 2026. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds - Futures - Props
ORIOLES VS DODGERS WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | 14% | 86% | Los Angeles Dodgers |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Run Line +1.5 (-115)
The Orioles have already proven they can stay within a run of this Dodgers team. Young has pitched well enough to keep it close, and Sheehan's ERA invites early traffic. The counterpoint is straightforward. A deep Los Angeles lineup can break a game open at home, and the -115 juice trims the payout. Even so, the 1.5-run cushion fits a series that has stayed tight.
Late Game — New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
METS VS PHILLIES — JUNE 21, TIME & HOW TO WATCH | |
|---|---|
| Where | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia PA |
| When | Sunday, June 21 – 7:20 PM ET |
| TV | NBC / Peacock |
The nightcap is the headliner. Zack Wheeler closes the series for Philadelphia against the franchise that drafted him. He brings a sparkling 2.01 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP into the start. The Mets counter with David Peterson, whose 5.91 ERA tells a rougher story.
Philadelphia's bats are awake after a 15-3 rout on Saturday. The Phillies sit 41-35 and have held serve at home. New York, at 34-42, has struggled on the road all season at 16-24. The Mets' offense has gone quiet away from Queens, and that matters against an ace.
The total opened at 8.5 and has since dropped to 8.0. That downward move signals sharp money on the under, even with a weak Mets starter on the bump. Wheeler's knack for limiting damage at a hitter-friendly park anchors the lean.
METS VS PHILLIES ODDS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
| New York Mets | +1.5 (-130) | +167 | U 8.0 (-105) |
| Philadelphia Phillies | -1.5 (+110) | -204 | O 8.0 (-115) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, June 21, 2026. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds - Futures - Props
METS VS PHILLIES WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING? | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 10% | 90% | Philadelphia Phillies |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
The Pick: Under 8.0 (-105)
Wheeler should keep the Mets' road bats in check, and the line drop reflects respect for his form. The case against is clear. Peterson's 5.91 ERA is very hittable, and the Phillies just scored 15 runs. If Philadelphia's lineup stays hot, the over can cash on their half alone. The under leans on Wheeler doing his part and a cold Mets bat staying cold.
Today's MLB Best Bets Recap
Sunday's card spreads the risk across three bet types. We lean the Reds on the money line in the Bronx, take the Orioles run line as a road underdog in Los Angeles, and back the under in the Phillies-Mets nightcap. For more context, revisit our Friday best bets and our Saturday card.