The San Francisco Giants and New York Mets close their season series on Sunday afternoon at Citi Field, and the pitching matchup is why this line deserves a second look. New York is a -160 home favorite behind Christian Scott. San Francisco counters with left-hander Cesar Perdomo, making the first start of his major league career. The first two games produced 30 runs and 13 homers. Our headline play sides with the price, not the pedigree.
Last Updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York |
| When | Sunday, September 6 — 1:40 PM ET |
| TV | SNY / NBC Sports Bay Area |
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Betting Preview
Start with the arms, because both come with a question attached. Scott carries a 3.80 ERA and a 1.310 WHIP across 20 starts, and he misses bats at a 10.7 K/9 clip. However, his command has slipped. Over his last five starts he has allowed 17 earned runs in 25.1 innings, a 6.04 mark, while walking 14. He has also not been asked to do much. Scott averages 4.73 innings per start, has reached the sixth inning twice all season, and has not thrown 100 pitches in a game this year. New York skipped his turn, so he arrives on eight days of rest.
Perdomo is the bigger unknown. The 24-year-old debuted on September 1 in relief at Pittsburgh, covering four innings on 58 pitches with four strikeouts and one earned run. His minor league season splits sharply: a 3.98 ERA and 1.11 WHIP at Double-A Richmond, then a 5.10 ERA and 1.59 WHIP across nine starts at Triple-A Sacramento. Whether San Francisco lets a debut starter work deep is another matter.
Neither club has anything left to play for. New York sits at 64-78 and last in the National League East, and San Francisco is 59-84 and fourth in the West. Both offenses have been alive, though. The Giants have averaged 6.1 runs per game over their last 10 while allowing 6.0, well clear of their season rates of 4.20 and 4.71. New York leads the season series 4-2, but San Francisco took Saturday’s game 9-5 behind six home runs, two apiece from Rafael Devers and Christian Koss.
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Odds
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | +1.5 (-160) | +134 | U 8.5 (-120) |
| Mets | -1.5 (+135) | -160 | O 8.5 (+100) |
Odds accurate as of Sunday, September 6, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds – Futures – Props
Giants vs. Mets Prediction — Is New York’s Price Ahead of Its Pitching?
A -160 home price asks the bettor to be right about 61.5 percent of the time. That is steep to lay on a 64-78 club, and the pitching plan behind it does not clearly support the ask. Scott has been effective in stretches. Still, his recent form and workload pattern point the same way. He is a five-inning starter, and that hands the middle innings to a bullpen with real problems.
New York’s relief corps ranks ninth in the majors at 3.78 for the season, so this is a good unit on the whole. Over the last seven days, though, it has posted a 6.26 ERA, 25th in baseball. Jefry Yan worked back-to-back days Friday and Saturday, and Chris Devenski threw two innings on Saturday. Devin Williams, who leads the club with 16 saves, has been on the injured list since early August.
The case against the road side is straightforward, and it is not weak. Perdomo has never started a big league game, he was hit hard at Triple-A, and a debut left-hander could be gone by the fourth inning. San Francisco’s own bullpen would then inherit a long afternoon, and that group ranks 20th on the season. The market has barely moved either, drifting two cents from an open of -162. This is a lean on price, not a statement about which team is better.
The Pick: Giants Moneyline (+134)
Giants vs. Mets Prediction — What Happens After Both Starters Exit?
The second play rests on the same foundation as the first, and that is worth stating plainly. Both starters project short. Scott sits on an unusual eight-day layoff, and Perdomo is debuting as a starter on four days’ rest. This game likely needs eight or nine innings from two bullpens carrying recent mileage. The clubs have already combined for 30 runs in two games.
The counter-argument deserves equal weight. Citi Field is not a launching pad. It grades at 98 for runs on a three-year Statcast park factor basis, with a 408-foot center field and deep alleys that suppress doubles and triples. New York’s last 15 home games have averaged 7.60 combined runs, below this number. The market disagrees too. The total has held at 8.5 while the juice moved from -105 on the over to +100, with the under climbing to -120.
The Pick: Over 8.5 (+100)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
Both plays rest on the same central read: neither starter goes deep and the bullpens decide the afternoon. That correlation is worth naming rather than dressing it up as two independent angles. If Scott delivers his best version on extra rest and hands a lead to New York’s fresher arms, both positions lose together.
The swing moment arrives in the fifth and sixth innings. Perdomo’s pitch count is the tell, since a debut starter rarely gets a long leash. For New York, the question is which relievers are left after Yan and Devenski worked Saturday. For more of today’s card, see our Braves and Phillies prediction for September 6.
Both picks in one place: Giants Moneyline (+134) and Over 8.5 (+100).
MLB Giants vs. Mets FAQ: Sunday September 6, 2026
What time does the Giants vs. Mets game start?
First pitch is set for 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, September 6, 2026, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. It is the finale of a three-game series between the San Francisco Giants and the New York Mets.
What channel is the Giants vs. Mets game on?
The game airs on SNY in the New York market and on NBC Sports Bay Area in the San Francisco market. There is no national television broadcast for this matchup. Out-of-market viewers can find it through the standard league streaming package, subject to blackout rules.
Who is pitching for the Mets today?
Right-hander Christian Scott is the listed probable starter for New York. He carries a 4-4 record with a 3.80 ERA and a 1.310 WHIP across 20 starts, with 113 strikeouts in 94.2 innings. San Francisco counters with left-hander Cesar Perdomo, making his first major league start.
Who won the last meeting between the Giants and Mets?
San Francisco won the most recent meeting 9-5 on Saturday, September 5, at Citi Field. The Giants hit six home runs, including two each from Rafael Devers and Christian Koss. New York took the series opener 10-6 on Friday, September 4.