Red Sox vs. Reds Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Red Sox are a -132 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Reds are a +112 underdog and the over-under is set at 10.
Doug Fister (5-8, 4.86 ERA) will be on the mound for the Red Sox, while the Reds counter with Jackson Stephens (2-0, 4.80). Fister has a 1.38 WHIP with 69 strikeouts over 79 2/3 innings. He allowed five earned runs on four hits with no strikeouts and five walks in two innings during a 10-8 win at Baltimore his last outing. Fister has a 4.75 ERA in 30 1/3 road innings. Stephens has a 1.13 WHIP with 13 strikeouts in 15 innings. He gave up five earned runs on five hits with two strikeouts and one walk over 3 2/3 innigns in an 8-7 home loss to the Cardinals his last time out.
Boston has a 90-64 overall record and is 44-36 on the road, while Cincinnati comes in at 66-89 and 39-41 at home. The Red Sox won the first two games of the series 5-4 and 5-0 with both totals going under.
Saturday's game saw Eduardo Rodriguez throw 7 2/3 shutout innings to get the win, allowing three hits and striking out six. Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-3 with a double, two runs and two walks. Mitch Moreland was 2-for-5 with a home run and three RBIs. Christian Vazquez finished 2-for-4. Robert Stephenson allowed four runs (two earned) in six innings to take the loss.
Fister has strugged mightily recently, while Stephens is still a bit of an unknown commodity at the MLB level. The Red Sox hitters have yet to see Stephens and that could be an advantage for the rookie. Plus the Reds have the bats to keep Fister's struggles going.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: CINCINNATI REDS +112