Phillies vs. Padres Saturday Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres, 8/11/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies were shut out by the San Diego Padres on Friday night but will look to rebound on Saturday at 8:40 p.m. ET. Will the Phillies even the series with a victory tonight?

Game Snapshot & Odds

911 Philadelphia Phillies (-200) at 912 San Diego Padres (+179); 7.5 runs

Saturday, August 11, 2018

8:40 p.m. ET, Petco Park

TV: PHI (NBCSP); SD (FSSD)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Phillies as a -200 favorite. As of this writing, 81% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Padres on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Phillies' Nola holds Marlins to two runs in last start

Aaron Nola wasn't involved in the decision after allowing two runs over six innings Sunday against the Marlins. Nola left with a one-run lead, but Seranthony Dominguez gave up a homer in the seventh to tie the game up. Nola had nearly as good of a case as Zack Greinke for NL Pitcher of the Month honors for July, but he didn't get the run support; he's 0-1 despite allowing eight runs over 25 innings in his last four starts.

Padres' Lockett struggles in losing effort vs. Cubs

Walker Lockett struggled in a losing effort against the Cubs on Saturday afternoon, allowing five runs on nine hits over his five innings of work. On the plus side, the right-hander did manage to strike out six on the afternoon while issuing only two walks. All of the damage against him came during a five-run uprising in the second inning that included a solo homer by Kyle Schwarber and a two-run blast by Anthony Rizzo. It's unclear if Lockett will draw another start with the Padres or if he'll head back to a long relief role after this one.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia

The Phillies have dropped five of their last six road games versus a right-handed starter.

San Diego

The Padres are just 1-8 in their last nine home games versus a right-handed starter.

Prediction:

The Phillies have won 16 of Nola's last 21 starts and are 4-1 in his last five outings coming off five days of rest. They're also 9-1 in Nola's last 10 starts when facing a team with a losing record, are 13-3 in his last 16 outings coming off a quality start in his last appearance and are 5-0 in his last five starts against National League West opponents.

 

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-125)

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