Yankees vs. Red Sox Friday Prediction

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox, 8/3/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Red Sox thumped the Yankees in the first game of the rivals' weekend series in what quickly turned into a high-scoring contest. Will Friday night's matchup also turn high-scoring?

Game Snapshot & Odds

915 New York Yankees (-130) at 916 Boston Red Sox (+120); 9 runs

Friday, August 3, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Fenway Park

TV: NYY (WPIX); BOS (NESN)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Yankees as a -130 favorite. As of this writing, 58% of the Yankees on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Yankees' Severino struggles again in loss to Royals

Luis Severino struggled again in Saturday's loss to the Royals, giving up six runs on eight hits over 4 1/3 innings. The right-hander struck out five on the afternoon while walking one. Most of the damage was done during a four-run uprising in the fifth inning where Salvador Perez delivered a two-run single and rode home on a two-run blast by Lucas Duda. Severino has now had his three worst starts of the season consecutively, watching his ERA fall from 2.31 to 2.94. He has been outstanding on the whole this season, but these recent outings have to give fantasy owners at least some cause for concern. The next assignment won't get any either, as he's slated to take on the Red Sox in Boston on Friday.

Red Sox' Porcello wins despite giving up four runs to Twins

Rick Porcello didn't pitch very well, allowing four runs in 5 2/3 innings but still got a win against the Twins on Saturday. That's the way it works when you pitch for the highest-scoring team in the majors and today was no exception as Porcello had 10 runs of support to work with. He served up a solo home run to Logan Morrison in the second inning, then surrendered three more runs in the third. He was down 4-1 at that point but was able to stick around long enough for the Red Sox bats to pour on the runs and snare him a win. Porcello improves to 13-7 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 22 starts. He has 126 strikeouts and only 33 walks in 131 2/3 innings but has struggled in terms of keeping the ball in the yard -- he's allowed 15 dongs on the season. He will square off against the Yankees on Friday.

MLB Betting Trends

New York

The Yankees have won 38 of Severino's last 52 starts overall and seven of his last nine outings on the road.

Boston

The Red Sox are 6-1 in Porcello's last seven starts and are 7-3 in his last 10 home outings.

Prediction:

The over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings in Boston. In Severino's last five starts versus the Red Sox, the over is also 4-1 and is 5-2 in his last seven road outings. On the other side, the over is 11-3-1 in Porcello's last 15 starts overall and is 5-1-1 in his last seven home starts.

 

The Pick: Yankees/Red Sox over 9

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