Phillies vs. Red Sox Tuesday Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies fell in extra innings to the Boston Red Sox on Monday night in the series opener between these two teams. Will the Phillies rebound with an upset victory on Tuesday?
Game Snapshot & Odds
975 Philadelphia Phillies (+140) at 976 Boston Red Sox (-160); 10 runs
Tuesday, July 31, 2018
7:10 p.m. ET, Fenway Park
TV: PHI (NBCSP); BOS (NESN)
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Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Red Sox as a -160 favorite. As of this writing, 56% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Red Sox on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Phillies’ Arrieta pitches six in win over Dodgers
Jake Arrieta pitched six innings of three-run ball for a win Wednesday against the Dodgers. The first of the three runs was unearned. Arrieta has now given up a whopping 17 unearned runs this year, more than a quarter of his total runs allowed (60). The Phillies’ defense definitely deserves a high percentage of the blame, but with his strikeout rate way down, Arrieta hasn’t been very good at bailing out the guys behind him.
Red Sox’ Pomeranz shaky in return from disabled list
Drew Pomeranz wasn’t sharp in his return from the disabled list Tuesday, permitting four runs over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to the Orioles. The left-hander was able to get through the first two frames unscathed, but he hung curveballs to Jonathan Schoop in the third inning and Tim Beckham in the fifth and both of them hit them out of the yard for two-run shots. Pomeranz gave up six hits on the night and walked a pair of batters. The southpaw can’t be trusted on Sunday at home against the Twins.
MLB Betting Trends
Philadelphia
The Phillies have dropped four straight games overall and four straight on the road.
Boston
The Red Sox are 41-11 in their last 52 interleague games following last night’s 2-1 victory.
Prediction:
With Pomeranz perhaps not up to full speed yet after his DL stint, this is a good time to grab the underdog Phillies. Yes, Philadelphia is reeling a bit, but the Phillies are a solid team and there’s nothing wrong grabbing underdog that is perhaps playing with some desperation. The Phillies are a perfect 5-0 in Arrieta’s last five starts and they’ve won four of their last five interleague games despite losing last night in hard-fought fashion.
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +140