Astros vs. Mariners Prediction
Will the Seattle Mariners make up some ground in the AL West race when they host the Houston Astros tonight at 10:10PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Monday, July 30, 2018
10:10PM ET – Safeco Field
TV: RTNW; ATSW
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Astros are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -120 to win. The Mariners are listed with a money line of +100 to win, while the over/under total has been set at 7 runs. The public betting for this game currently has 62 percent of the wagers going on Houston on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Astros in rare skid
The Astros are coming off a very surprising weekend series where they were swept at home by the Texas Rangers. They have lost four straight to fall to 67-40 overall and 35-16 on the road. Houston is putting up 4.98 runs per game this year on offense while allowing 3.31 per contest on defense.
Gerrit Cole gets the start for Houston on Monday night. He is 10-2 on the year through 21 starts with a 2.54 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. Cole has pitched 134.2 innings this season and has 186 strikeouts with 46 walks.
Mariners looking to get hot
The Mariners have been hot-and-cold over recent weeks. They are just 4-6 in their last 10 and coming off a series loss to the Angels in Los Angeles. Seattle is 62-43 overall and four games behind Houston in the AL West. The Mariners are 34-19 at home this year. Seattle is putting up 4.24 runs per game on offense while giving up 4.27 per game on defense.
James Paxton gets the start for the Mariners tonight. He has started 20 games on the year and has an 8-4 record with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. This is his first start since July 12 due to a back injury. Paxton has 155 strikeouts and 33 walks over 119.1 innings of work in 2018.
MLB Betting Trends
The Astros have won Cole’s last five road starts against a team with a winning record and they have won nine of his last 12 road starts as well.
The Mariners have lost their last seven after a win, but they are 11-5 in Paxton’s last 16 starts against a team with a winning record.
Paxton has been a good pitcher for Seattle, but the long layoff may make him a touch rusty, which isn’t good against a team like Houston. Cole has been strong on the road this year and I think Houston will find its hitting a little bit tonight. Seattle is starting to feel the loss of Robinson Cano in the lineup, as they now are allowing more runs than they are scoring. That’s not a recipe for success.
The Pick: Houston Astros -120