Phillies vs. Reds Friday Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds, 7/27/2018 Prediction & Odds

After scoring a bunch of runs on Thursday night, will Game 2 between the Phillies and Reds fall under the betting total at 7:10 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

953 Philadelphia Phillies (-118) at 954 Cincinnati Reds (+100); 9 runs

Friday, July 27, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Great American Ball Park

TV: PHI (NBCSP); CIN (FSO)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Phillies as a -118 favorite. As of this writing, 63% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Reds on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Phillies' Pivetta offers mixed bag in start vs. Padres

Nick Pivetta struck out nine but allowed six runs -- four earned -- over 5 1/3 frames Sunday in a loss to the Padres. Pivetta didn't walk anyone in addition to punching out nine, but he gave up eight hits over his 5 1/3 innings of work, tying a season high. The right-hander boasts an impressive 122/30 K/BB ratio over 101 2/3 frames this season, but he's struggled to pitch deep into games lately and has seen his ERA jump from 3.48 to 4.78 since the beginning of June. Pivetta gets the Reds on the road next.

Reds' DeSclafani plagued by home runs in loss to Pirates

Anthony DeSclafani allowed three runs, including two home runs, over 4 1/3 innings in a loss to the Pirates on Saturday. DeSclafani gave up six hits total, with a pair of Corey Dickerson dingers contributing to that total. He's now yielded an alarming 14 homers in nine starts on the year, a troublesome 2.6 homers per nine innings. That helps explain why he's holding a 5.40 ERA and 1.32 WHIP despite a deceiving 3-2 record. He's not startable in fantasy leagues when he's going like this, of course, and he'll try to right the ship Thursday against the Phillies.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia

The Phillies have lost seven of Pivetta's last 10 starts overall.

Cincinnati

The Reds have dropped four of DeSclafani's last five starts.

Prediction:

I see value in the under tonight because of who is behind the plate. The under is 4-1 in Bill Miller's last five games behind the dish, is 4-1 in his last five games behind home plate on Friday, and is 6-2 in his last eight games behind home plate when the Reds are playing. The under is also 7-3-1 in the Phillies' last 11 road games.

 

The Pick: Phillies/Reds under 9

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