Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction
The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the Philadelphia Phillies in a three-game in-state battle beginning tonight. Will Pittsburgh notch the win in the series opener?
Friday, July 19, 2019
PNC Park at 7:05PM ET
TV: ATT SportsNet-PIT
Compare odds from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our MLB Odds & Betting Page.
Public Betting Information
According to oddsmakers, the moneyline is set at a pick'em as the Phillies and the Pirates are both listed at -105. The over-under is set at 10 runs. As of Friday morning, 59 percent of public bets are being placed on visiting Philadelphia. Check out our MLB Public Betting Page for the latest updates.
Four-run seventh propels Phillies
Philadelphia scored four runs in the bottom of the seventh inning Thursday in a 7-6 home victory over Los Angeles. Bryce Harper helped lead the way as he finished 2-for-3 with a double, two runs and two RBIs. Adam Haseley went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and two runs scored. Jean Segura ended the contest 2-for-4 with a run and an RBI. Ranger Suarez picked up the win in relief as he gave up one hit with one strikeout and no walks over 1 1/3 innings. Jake Arrieta draws the start tonight for the Phillies as he enters with an 8-7 record, 4.54 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with 87 strikeouts over 113 innings.
Pirates fall short at Cards
Pittsburgh dropped a 6-5 decision in its series finale Wednesday at St. Louis to drop to 45-50 overall and 23=29 on the road. Bryan Reynolds helped pace the Pirates offense as he went 2-for-5 with three RBIs. Kevin Newman ended the contest 3-for-5. Starling Marte was 1-for-5 with a solo home run. Francisco Liriano suffered the loss in relief as he gave up two earned runs on one hit with no strikeouts and one walk over one-third of an inning. Jordan Lyles will start tonight for Pittsburgh as he comes in with a 5-6 record, 5.08 ERA and 1.40 WHIP with 80 strikeouts over 75 innings pitched.
MLB Betting Trends
The Phillies are 1-4 in their last five Friday games. Philadelphia is 5-2 in the last seven Arrieta starts.
The Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 home games. Pittsburgh is 0-6 in the last six Lyles starts.
Lyles has been been brutal in his last two starts, both against the Cubs, including giving up seven earned runs in two-thirds of an inning his last time out. While I don't see him being quite as bad here and Arrieta has certainly not been special this season, I trust the Phillies more as a whole to get the job done here in a pick'em game. Lyles can't be pitching with much confidence right now and I think the Phillies take advantage.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -105