Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Friday Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox, 7/13/2018 Prediction & Odds

American League East rivals will meet again tonight at Fenway Park when the Boston Red Sox host the Toronto Blue Jays at 7:10 p.m. ET. Is the betting total set too high in tonight's matchup?

Game Snapshot & Odds

917 Toronto Blue Jays (+185) at 918 Boston Red Sox (-220); 9.5 runs

Friday, July 13, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Fenway Park

TV: TOR (SNET); BOS (NESN)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Red Sox as a -220 favorite. As of this writing, 75% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Red Sox to beat the Blue Jays on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Blue Jays' Borucki strong again against Yankees in last start

Ryan Borucki threw seven strong innings of one-run baseball against the Yankees on Sunday, but picked up a no decision. The only run Borucki allowed was on an RBI ground out off the bat of Miguel Andujar in the first inning. He didn’t allow anyone to cross the plate over the next six innings, and he walked two and struck out five. Borucki has been exceptional since his call-up, and he’s allowed no more than two runs and gone six-or-more innings in all three of his starts. The 24-year-old southpaw will look to keep this going in his next start, which likely comes Saturday against the Red Sox. It’s important to note that he has not yet been scheduled to make that start, however.

Red Sox' Porcello strikes out nine in win over Royals

Rick Porcello struck out nine hitters over seven innings while allowing three runs in a victory over the Royals on Sunday. Porcello gave up his share of hits on Sunday with nine -- four of them by Whit Merrifield -- but he was able to limit the damage to three runs, thanks in large part to the nine strikeouts. The former Cy Young winner is now 11-3 on the season, and he’s punched out 113 hitters over 118 innings. He’ll make one final start before the All-Star break when he faces off against Blue Jays in Fenway Park on Friday.

MLB Betting Trends

Toronto

The Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last five games overall.

Boston

The Red Sox have won 10 straight games and 38 of 53 overall.

Prediction:

Both of these starters have pitched well of late. In his last five games, Borucki owns a 2.25 ERA and a 1.25 starts and didn't allow a home run in those 20 innings. Porcello has been solid as well, posting a 3.69 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP over 31 2/3 innings of work. The under is 5-1 in the Blue Jays' last six games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game and is 11-4-1 in the Red Sox' last 16 home games. Despite those trends, I'm not going to take the under over the full game. Instead, with both starters performing well, I'm taking the under over the first five innings.

 

The Pick: Blue Jays/Red Sox First 5 Under 5.5 (-120)

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