Phillies vs. Nationals Thursday Prediction
After sweeping their double-header with the Phillies on Wednesday, the Nationals will go for the sweep tonight at 7:05 p.m. ET. Will Philadelphia salvage one game in D.C. by pulling off the small upset?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Thursday, June 20, 2019
7:05 p.m. ET, Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 66% of the betting tickets are on the Phillies to beat the Nationals on the moneyline.
Philadelphia Phillies Fantasy Spin
Cesar Hernandez went 1-for-4 with a double in a loss to the Nationals on Wednesday. His double was one of just four Phillies hits in the contest and the only one that went for extra bases as they were shut out by Max Scherzer and the Nationals' bullpen. Hernandez is hitting for a little extra power this year but isn't running as much. His slash line is .264/.321/.424 with seven home runs and 33 RBI in 71 games. He's stolen just four bases after swiping 19 bags last year.
Washington Nationals Fantasy Spin
Brian Dozier went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in a win over the Phillies in Game 2 of a double-header on Wednesday. He ripped one down the left field line that curled just inside the foul pole for a bases-empty dinger in the second inning. That bomb off Jake Arrieta would ultimately prove to be the only run that mattered in the shutout victory. Dozier started off the season ice cold and took quite a while to thaw out. He is hitting much better in recent weeks but it is going to take most of the season to climb out of the statistical hole he dug himself in April and early May. He has a .235/.318/.442 slash line with 12 home runs and 28 RBI in 68 games.
MLB Betting Trends
The Phillies are 1-4 in their last five road games and have dropped eight of their last 11 games following a loss.
The Nationals have won four out of their last five games and are a perfect 4-0 in their last four games against the rest of the NL East.
The Phillies are scuffling but I do see value in their odds tonight. First and foremost, the pitching matchup (Nick Pivetta versus Erick Fedde) is a wash at worst. At best, I like the matchup better for the Phillies versus Fedde than I do the Nationals versus Pivetta. Philadelphia’s righties should do some damage against Fedde and the Nationals, who are just 1-9 in his last 10 home starts. They’re also just 2-6 in his last eight outings overall and have lost six in a row when Fedde starts at home versus a team with a winning record. Despite having opposite records over their last 10 games, I like the Phillies (3-7) to pull off the small upset versus the Nats (7-3) this evening.
Thursday MLB Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies +105