Giants vs. Marlins Monday Prediction
Winners of eight of their last 10 games, the hot San Francisco Giants will travel to South Beach for a date with the Miami Marlins on Monday. With their ace on the hill, will the Giants cash on the runline for bettors?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Monday, June 11, 2018
7:10 p.m. ET, Marlins Park
TV: SF (NBCSBA); MIA (FSFL)
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Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Giants as a -170 favorite. As of this writing, 77% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Giants to beat the Marlins on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Giants' Bumgarner decent in season debut vs. Diamondbacks
Madison Bumgarner (finger) allowed two earned runs, eight hits and no walks with three strikeouts over six innings in a loss against the Diamondbacks in his season debut Tuesday. MadBum missed the first nine weeks of the regular season recovering from a fractured left pinkie finger, and this was his first major league start after a pair of minor-league rehab outings. He threw 58 of his 82 pitches for strikes in the quality start, but he was on the short end of a pitching duel against Patrick Corbin. He'll face a very favorable matchup in his next scheduled outing on Monday in Miami to kick off a two-start week.
Marlins' Chen so-so in road outing vs. Cardinals
Wei-Yin Chen allowed two earned runs, six hits and two walks with two strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision Wednesday in St. Louis. Chen threw 61 of his 91 pitches for strikes, his second-most pitches of the season since he made his debut on April 28. He has just one quality start across eight outings.
MLB Betting Trends
The Giants are 1-5 in their last six games versus the Marlins and are 2-5 in Bumgarner's last seven starts versus Miami. They're also 3-7 in their last 10 trips to South Beach.
The Marlins are 2-5 in Chen's last seven starts but have won 10 of his last 13 outings at home.
The Giants have struggled to beat the Marlins over the years and Bumgarner has not fared well against the Fish himself, as the above trends indicate. That said, this San Francisco team is red-hot, having taken two of three from the Nationals in D.C. over the weekend (including against Max Scherzer on Sunday). The Giants have now won eight of their last 10 games while the Marlins have lost 13 of their last 17 games played at home. Bumgarner shouldn't have much trouble against a weak Miami lineup, something I cannot say for Chen, who will battle a hot Giants offense.
The Pick: San Francisco Giants -1.5