Mets vs. Marlins Prediction
The New York Mets lost despite being big favorites last night at the lowly Miami Marlins. Can Miami win this afternoon to take two straight in the series despite being underdogs again?
Saturday, May 18, 2019
Marlins Park at 4:10PM ET
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Public Betting Information
According to oddsmakers, the Mets are a -125 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Marlins are a +115 underdog, while the total is set at 7.5 runs. As of Saturday morning, 82 percent of public bets are pouring in on visiting New York. Check out our MLB Public Betting Page for the latest information.
deGrom shelled in defeat
Reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Jacob deGrom was hit hard Friday night as New York fell 8-6 at Miami. In five innings of work, deGrom surrendered seven runs (six earned) on nine hits with three strikeouts and no walks. The Mets trailed 7-1 when he departed and their late rally fell short. Pete Alonso went 2-for-5 with a pair of solo home runs to pace the offense. J.D. Davis was 1-for-2 off the bench with a home run and two RBIs. Wilson Ramos finished 2-for-4 with a double, a walk and a run scored. Juan Lagares ended the contest 2-for-3 with a walk, a run and an RBI. Steven Matz will take the mound this afternoon as he enters with a 3-2 record, 3.86 ERA and 1.20 WHIP with 32 strikeouts over 35 innings.
Marlins' offense comes alive
Miami secured an 8-6 home victory Friday night as it scored seven runs between the third and fifth innings to take full control. Jorge Alfaro helped lead the offense as he finished 2-for-4 with a home run, two runs and three RBIs. Brian Anderson went 2-for-4 with two doubles, two runs and an RBI. Garrett Cooper was 2-for-4 with a run and two RBIs. Trevor Richards picked up the win as he gave up three earned runs on six hits with four strikeouts and three walks over 6 1/3 innings. Pablo Lopez draws the start this afternoon and comes in with a 2-5 record, 5.93 ERA and 1.29 WHIP with 42 strikeouts over 41 innings of work.
MLB Betting Trends
The Mets are 2-10 in their last 12 road games. New York is 1-4 in its last five Saturday games.
The Marlins are 15-38 in their last 53 games overall. Miami is 1-5 in its last six home games.
Look, the easy play here is on the Mets and to not even think too much into it. But baseball is a funny game and Lopez was having a good season numbers-wise until getting shellacked for 10 earned runs his last start. Matz had a terrible start like that earlier in the season and bounced back nicely. Miami might have a little swagger carry-over after beating up on deGrom yesterday. The moneyline begs to take New York, but I'm going to be contrarian against a Mets team that always manages to underachieve in some way. Going to bet on the fish this afternoon.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: MIAMI MARLINS +115