Brewers vs. Reds Wednesday Pick

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds, 5/2/2018 Prediction & Odds

After taking the first two games of the series, the Milwaukee Brewers will go for the sweep in Cincinnati tonight when they visit the Reds at 7:10 p.m. ET. Will tonight's game also be high-scoring?

Game Snapshot & Odds

911 Milwaukee Brewers (+100) at 912 Cincinnati Reds (-120); 9 runs

Wednesday, May 2, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Great American Ball Park

TV: MIL (FSWI); CIN (FSO)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Reds as a -120 favorite. As of this writing, 68% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Brewers to beat the Reds on the money line. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Brewers' call up Miley to join rotation on Wednesday night

Brewers purchased the contract of LHP Wade Miley from Double-A Biloxi. Miley will join the Brewers' starting rotation on Wednesday in Cincinnati. He posted nice numbers this spring and was dominant in his one start last week at Double-A Biloxi. But it should be noted that the 31-year-old southpaw holds a 5.48 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over his last 323 1/3 major league innings

Reds suggest Castillo's arm angle changed

Reds interim manager Jim Riggleman said Saturday that Luis Castillo's "arm angle has changed a little bit" after the team looked at video from last season.

"His hand is maybe not getting on top of the ball like it needs to," Riggleman added. "What that does, is it causes the ball to flatten out instead of sink." Castillo will work with coaches to correct his arm angle ahead of Wednesday's start against the Brewers. The young right-hander should be benched given his struggles and the fact that it's a tough matchup, but hopefully he can take a step forward against the Brew Crew.

MLB Betting Trends

Milwaukee

The Brewers have won four straight games against the Reds and are 8-1 in their last nine games coming off a win. They've also won 10 of their last 14 games.

Cincinnati

The Reds are just 4-17 in their last 21 home games, are 2-12 in their last 14 home games versus a left-handed starter and are 2-5 in Castillo's last seven home starts.

Prediction:

I got cute yesterday and decided to take the under after looking at some of the advanced metrics of the two starters. I won't make that mistake again. The over is 5-1 in the Reds' last six games overall, is 5-1 in their last six home games, and is 5-2 in their last seven games when facing a left-handed starter. I expect both of these teams to break out the bats again.

The Pick: Brewers/Reds over 9

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