A's vs. Red Sox Tuesday Prediction
The A’s blew another lead on Monday night in Boston, losing 9-4 to the Red Sox after squandering an early 4-0 lead. Listed as a sizable underdog on Tuesday night, will the A’s surprise bettors by taking down Rick Porcello and the Sox in Game 2 of the series?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Tuesday, April 30, 2019
7:10 p.m. ET, Fenway Park, Boston, MA
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 57% of the betting tickets are on the Red Sox to beat the A’s on the moneyline.
Oakland A’s Fantasy Spin
Mark Canha (wrist) will undergo an MRI on Tuesday. Canha was placed on the injured list Sunday with a right wrist sprain. We'll obviously have a better idea as to how much time he might miss after he has an MRI.
Boston Red Sox Fantasy Spin
Rafael Devers had two hits, a walk, a steal and two runs scored Monday against the A's. A .296/.389/.368 line with no homers and four steals from Devers is just about the last thing we expected to see this season. Last year, he hit .240/.298/.433 with 21 homers and five steals. One imagines the power will come; his exit velocity remains quite good, though he's hitting more balls on the ground than expected.
MLB Betting Trends
The A’s are 19-45 in their last 64 games at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox are 4-1 in Porcello’s last five home starts.
I don’t mind this matchup for the A’s and I think they’re worth a flier as an underdog. Porcello has been terrible this season, as his ERA is up to 7.43 and his HR/9 is up to 1.96. Granted, his FIP and xFIP are lower than his ERA, suggesting positive regression is coming. That said, when your FIP is 6.31 and your xFIP is 5.71, positive regression or not, you’re still pitching like crap. I like the A’s to win in a shootout.
The Pick: Oakland A’s +150