Mets vs. Phillies Wednesday Prediction
The Mets and Phillies split the first two games of their three-game set at Philadelphia, so which of these division rivals will win the rubber match? First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park.
Game Snapshot & Odds
Wednesday, April 17, 2019
1:05 p.m. ET, Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 71% of the betting tickets are on the Phillies to beat the New York Mets on the moneyline.
New York Mets Fantasy Spin
Wilson Ramos launched his first home run as a Met in Tuesday's loss to the Phillies. Ramos took former battery mate Nick Pivetta deep with a solo blast in the second inning. He also added a sacrifice fly, plating two of the Mets' three runs. While it was his first homer, Ramos is now up to 12 RBI on the year to go along with a .321 average.
Philadelphia Phillies Fantasy Spin
J.T. Realmuto had a big hand in the Phillies' blowout win over the Mets on Tuesday, homering and driving in five runs. Realmuto clubbed a pair of two-run doubles in the Phillies' 10-run first inning. No, that's not a typo. He also launched a solo blast to the opposite field in the fourth for his second long ball as a Phillie. It's been a relatively slow start for Realmuto at the plate, but he's now suddenly up to 13 RBI on the season after the big night.
MLB Betting Trends
The Mets are 4-1 in Zack Wheeler’s last five starts versus the Phillies and are 37-18 in their last 55 games in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are just 2-5 in Jake Arrieta’s last seven starts.
Although his strikeout (23.3%) and groundball (48.9%) rates are in good form, Zack Wheeler is off to a slow start this year. His biggest problems have been in the walk (15.1% BB rate) and hard-contact (33.3%) departments. He should fare better than teammate Steven Matz, but that isn’t saying much. If Wheeler gets his control in order, then there’s a good chance he pitches well today in Philadelphia. If not, Bryce Harper and Co. will feast. While Arrieta’s 2.25 ERA is not sustainable, if Brandon Nimmo (stiff neck) doesn’t play, he should put forth a competitive start this afternoon. Bottom line: Both pitchers are questionable, but I trust Arrieta over Wheeler.
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -116