Phillies vs. Braves Monday Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves, 4/16/2018 Prediction & Odds

Two of the better surprises in baseball this year will square off on Monday night when the Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies. What's the best play on the board when these National League East rivals square off in Atlanta?  

Game Snapshot & Odds

905 Philadelphia Phillies at 906 Atlanta Braves; 8 runs

Monday, April 16, 2018

7:35 p.m. ET, SunTrust Park

TV: CSP (PHI); FSSO (ATL)

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager currently list the Phillies as a -128 favorite. As of this writing, 60% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Braves on the money line. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Phillies' Nola off to a good start in 2018

Aaron Nola pitched eight innings of one-run ball to defeat the Reds on Tuesday. Nola was pulled after 5 1/3 innings and 68 pitches in his first start and five innings and 87 pitches in his second, both of which turned into losses for the Phillies. Tonight, Gabe Kapler let him go, and Nola ended up retiring the final 10 batters he faced. He threw 103 pitches in all in improving to 1-0 with a 1.96 ERA.

Quotable: "He has as good as command and as good of a curveball as anybody in the league," Philadelphia manager Gabe Kapler said. "Definitely a horse."

Teheran coming off excellent start vs. Nationals

Julio Teheran took a hard-luck loss after allowing two runs in six innings Monday against the Nationals. Teheran remains winless on the season, even though the Braves totaled eight runs in his first start and 13 in his second. He pitched well for the first time tonight, but he was up against peak Max Scherzer in this one. Teheran has a 7.07 ERA overall

Quotable: "He was really good (against Washington)," Atlanta manager Brian Snitker said of Teheran. "He kept the game in check and gave us a chance."

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia

The Phillies are just 2-6 in their last eight games versus the Braves.

Atlanta

The Braves have won nine of Teheran's last 12 starts versus the Phillies and are 5-2 in their last seven home games against Philly.

Prediction:

The under has some value tonight in my eyes. The under is 9-2-2 in Nola's last 13 starts coming off five days of rest, is 4-1 in his last five outings against a team with a winning record, and is 4-0 in his last four road starts versus a team with a winning record. On the other side, the under has cashed in six of the Braves' last seven games and is 6-1-1 in Teheran's last eight starts versus a team with a winning record.

 

The Pick: Phillies/Braves under

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