Mets vs. Phillies Monday Prediction
National League East rivals will begin a new series in Philadelphia on Monday night when the Phillies host the Mets at 7:05 p.m. ET. Given the pitching matchup tonight, is the under a safe play for sports bettors?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Monday, April 15, 2019
7:05 p.m. ET, Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 55% of the betting tickets are on the Phillies to beat the New York Mets on the moneyline.
New York Mets Fantasy Spin
J.D. Davis blasted his third home run of the season as the Mets fell to the Braves on Sunday night in Atlanta. Davis opened the scoring in the ballgame with his solo shot off of Julio Teheran in the second inning. It'll be interesting to see what happens to Davis once Jed Lowrie and Todd Frazier return from the injured list, but he has certainly impressed in his limited action, slashing .257/.395/.571 with three long balls and five RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies Fantasy Spin
Jean Segura belted a go-ahead two-run homer in the top of the 14th inning Sunday as the Phillies topped the Marlins 3-1. Segura also singled and drew two walks in the 14-inning marathon, finishing 2-for-5 with two RBI. It was the first home run of the season for the 29-year-old shortstop, but he has an impressive .317/.369/.467 overall batting line with nine RBI and 12 runs scored in 14 games played. Hitting second in a stacked Phillies lineup, he should continue to deliver high-level counting stats.
MLB Betting Trends
The Mets are 36-17 in their last 53 games in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are 5-0 in Aaron Nola’s last five starts versus the Mets and are 4-0 in his last four home outings against New York.
Despite the Phillies’ success with Nola on the hill versus the Mets, I’m going to pass on the moneyline. The value is on the underdog, especially with Noah Syndergaard on the mound. That said, Nola has flustered this Mets’ lineup in the past so the better bet is the under. Nola owns a 6-0 record, a 2.54 ERA, a .200 batting average and a 56:17 K:BB across 49 2/3 innings over eight appearances versus the Mets over three seasons. New York had been swinging hot bats until Sunday night but the club was surprisingly held in check by Julio Teheran. Finally, the under is 6-0-1 in Nola’s last seven starts versus the Mets and is 4-0 in his last four home outings against New York.
The Pick: Mets/Phillies UNDER 7.5