Giants vs. Padres Saturday Prediction

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres, 4/14/2018 Prediction & Odds

Two teams that will have a difficult time competing for a divisional crown in the National League West will meet again Saturday night at Petco Park. Is the under a good bet when the San Francisco Giants visit the San Diego Padres at 8:40 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

911 San Francisco Giants at 912 San Diego Padres; 8 runs

Saturday, April 14, 2018

8:40 p.m. ET, Petco Park

TV: CSBA (SFG); FSSD (SDP)

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager currently list the Padres as a -111 favorite. As of this writing, 56% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Padres to beat the Giants on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Holland competitive for Giants in recent start vs. Diamondbacks

Derek Holland gave up two runs in six innings in a loss to the Diamondbacks on Monday. Both runs were scored in the first, and from the second inning on, Holland was excellent. He didn't allow another hit, and he struck out eight while walking just two. It's a vast improvement over his first start as a Giant last Sunday against the Dodgers, but Holland will likely continue to be inconsistent depending on the opponents' lineup.

Quotable: "Derek deserves a little better than he's experienced thus far with us," said Giants manager Bruce Bochy. "We've scored one run in the two games he's pitched and that came in a 2-1 loss. He's pitched better than two losses."

Richard hurts Rockies with the bat more than his arm

Clayton Richard gave up four runs in five innings and hit a three-run homer in a 7-6 victory over the Rockies on Monday. Richard wasn't very effective on the mound, but his three-run blast off of Jon Gray put the Padres ahead 3-1 in the fourth. Richard owns a career .309 OPS, so you shouldn't expect much more in terms of offensive fireworks. Unfortunately, we've seen these kinds of starts often from him on the mound.

Quotable: "The formula is pretty simple for Clayton," said Padres manager Andy Green. "If he gets ground balls, he's going to be successful."

MLB Betting Trends

San Francisco

The Giants are 10-21 in their last 31 games against the Padres and are 2-5 in their last seven games in San Diego.

San Diego

The Padres are just 1-8 in Richard's last nine starts during Game 3 of a series.

Prediction:

I don't trust either team on the money line but I do trust neither team to hit. Despite a good pitching matchup from an 'over' standpoint, I see this game falling under. The under is 6-1 in the Giants' last seven road games, is 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series, and is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Diego. The wind will also be blowing in from leftfield at about 10 mph, so the long ball shouldn't be a factor.

 

The Pick: Giants/Padres under 8

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