Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins 4/11/18, Prediction & Odds

The Miami Marlins couldn’t hold a late lead on Tuesday night in yet another loss to the red-hot New York Mets. Will the Marlins get the best of their National League West rivals tonight?

Game Snapshot with Current Odds

961 New York Mets (-147) at 962 Miami Marlins (+133); 8.5 runs

Wednesday, April 11, 2018, 3:45 p.m. ET, Marlins Park

TV: SNY (NYM); FSFL (MIA)

Public Betting Trends

As of this writing, the Diamondbacks are receiving 62% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks to beat the Giants Wednesday on the money line. Meanwhile, 81% of the betting tickets wagered at on the total are on the under.

Zack Wheeler to make season debut for New York Mets

Mets’ manager Mickey Callaway announced a few days ago that Zack Wheeler will start tonight’s game against the Marlins. There was some speculation that Jason Vargas would start but he’ll go on a minor league rehab assignment instead.

Wheeler pitched well in his first start for Triple-A Las Vegas, allowing one run on three hits over five innings of work while striking out six batters. He posted a 8.10 ERA, a 2.40 WHIP and a 14/2 strikeout-to-walk ratio across 10 innings in Grapefruit League action.

In a corresponding move, the Mets optioned Corey Oswalt to Triple-A Las Vegas to clear a spot for Wheeler. Oswalt is expected to get another shot with the big league club down the line.

Marlins moving Garcia from the pen to the starting rotation

The Marlins announced that Jarlin Garcia will start tonight against the Mets. He pitched well this spring and earned an opportunity to start after surrendering just two runs in 10 relief innings to start the season. The 24-year-old posted a 4.73 ERA in 68 relief appearances in 2017 with Miami.

Justin Bour had a great night in the Marlins’ loss, hitting a pair of two-run home runs. He entered the night with zero long balls and then scored an two RBI in 10 games. Unfortunately, Brad Ziegler took the loss for the Marlins, allowing two runs, one earned, in the ninth.

Betting Trends:

New York

The Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 games dating back to last season and are 6-0 in their last six games coming off a win.

Miami

The Marlins are 1-6 in their last seven games and are winless at 0-4 in their last four home games.

Bet Wednesday's MLB Games

Today’s Prediction

I’m going to take a flier on the Marlins. The Mets are just 1-4 in Wheeler’s last five road starts, are 5-11 in his last 16 games when pitching the third game of a series and are 4-11 in his last 15 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. The Mets have to lose at some point and I’m a sucker for the plus odds in divisional games.

Pick: Miami Marlins +133

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