Reds vs. Pirates Saturday Prediction
Coming into the season, the Reds were viewed as one of the more improved teams in baseball, but thus far Cincinnati has just one win to show for its offseason efforts. Should bettors continue to fade the Reds, who visit the Pirates at 1:35 p.m. ET on Saturday?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Saturday, April 6, 2019
1:35 p.m. ET, PNC Park
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Pirates are -130 moneyline favorites. As of this writing, 70% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Pirates to beat the Reds on the moneyline.
This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Cincinnati Reds Fantasy Spin
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez is not in the Reds' starting lineup against the Pirates on Saturday. This will be the first day off for Suarez this season. The entire Reds' lineup has struggled badly at the plate and Suarez is no exception. He is slashing .227/.370/.455 with one home run and two RBI through seven games. The Reds have been shut out in their last three games. Jesse Winker will also sit out even though the Reds are facing right-handed pitcher Trevor Williams. The full lineup is Scott Schebler CF, Joey Votto 1B, Yasiel Puig RF, Matt Kemp LF, Derek Dietrich 2B, Jose Peraza SS, Curt Casali C, Kyle Farmer 3B and Tanner Roark will be the starting pitcher.
Pittsburgh Pirates Fantasy Spin
Adam Frazier finished 1-for-4 with an RBI double Friday against the Reds. After Kang knocked in the first run of the game with a double in the seventh, Frazier provided some insurance in the eighth. Functioning as the team’s regular second baseman and leadoff man, the 27-year-old has been as advertised she far with a .308 batting average and .379 on-base percentage through six games. While he’s not going to post sexy numbers, he deserves more attention than he received in drafts this spring.
MLB Betting Trends
The Reds have not lost 13 of their last 16 games in Pittsburgh and 13 of their previous 16 games versus the Pirates overall.
The Pirates have won four straight games against the Reds when Trevor Williams starts.
Until the Reds start hitting there’s no reason to play them, especially when the opposition is reasonably priced on the moneyline (such as Pittsburgh is today). This afternoon, Williams will face a Cincinnati lineup that owns a 28.1% strikeout rate and a team ISO of 0.101. Those a brutal numbers on their own, let alone the fact that the Reds will not benefit from hitting in pitcher-friendly PNC Park. The Pirates are 5-2 in Williams’ last seven starts dating back to last season and are 5-2 in his last seven outings versus divisional opponents.
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -125