Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

MLB Predictions: Will Mets vs. Nationals Turn Into Pitcher’s Duel? 4/5/18

Will Thursday’s matinee between the New York Mets and Washington Nationals turn into a pitcher’s duel when Jacob deGrom squares off against Stephen Strasburg at 1:05 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

(951) New York Mets at (952) Washington Nationals

Thursday, April 5, 2018

TV: N/A, 105 p.m. ET

Likely Pitching Matchup: Jacob deGrom vs. Stephen Strasburg


According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Nationals are -150 money line favorites to beat the Mets, who have +135 money line odds to pull off the upset tonight. The total sits at 7 runs.


The Nationals’ line opened at -160 but it has dropped to -150 at the majority of online sportsbooks. As for the Mets, it hit the board at +135 and has not moved. The total, meanwhile, sits at 7 runs after hitting the board at 7.5.

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As of this writing, 59% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Nationals to beat the Mets on the money line. Meanwhile, 54% of the betting tickets are on the under.


Both of these pitchers have had plenty of success against their opponent so I don’t see much value in the side. Where the value lies in my eyes is in the total. The under has cashed in five of deGrom’s last six starts versus the Nationals and is 3-1-1 in Strasburg’s last five outings against the Mets. The under is also 4-1 in Strasburg’s last five starts overall, is 4-1 in his last five home outings, and is 6-2 in his last eight starts coming off a quality start in his last appearance. On the other side, the under is 6-2 in their last eight divisional matchups and is 4-1 in their last five games when their opponent scores two runs or less in its previous game.




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