[bimmercando]

Circa Contest selections (Three picks per finalists):

Leader Chris Macero: Best Bet: Houston-Pittsburgh OVER 38 (Best Bet)
Panthers +8 vs. Rams
49ers +5- at Eagles

Chris “The Bear” Fallica:
Best Bet: Oregon +3 vs. Indiana (LOST)
Oregon-Indiana Under 44.5 (LOST)
49ers at Eagles Under 44.5

Jason Jarvis:
Chargers +3.5 at Pats (Best Bet)
Packers -1.5 at Bears
Steelers +3.5 vs. Houston

Scott Pritchard:
Oregon-Indiana Over 48.5 (Winner) (Best Bet)
Packers-Bears Under 44.5
49ers at Eagles Under 44.5

Kenny White:
Indiana -3 vs. Oregon (Winner) (Best Bet)
Steelers +3 vs. Texans
Packers at Bears Under 44.5

Frank Carulli:
Chargers +3.5 at Patriots (Best Bet)
Bills at Panthers Over 46
Bills Pick at Jaguars

Matt Ste. Marie:
Bills at Jaguars Over 51.5 (Best Bet)
Patriots -3.5 vs. Chargers
Texans at Steelers Under 38

Edwin Meyer/Carl Sack:
Chargers +3.5 at Patriots (Best Bet)
Rams at Panthers Under 46
Oregon-Indiana Under 48.5 (Lost)

[bimmercando]

Marc Lawrence NFL 5* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR 33-0
LA Chargers + 3 1/2 over the New England Patriots

ML’s write up in Playbook,
La Chargers over NE by 2
“SUNDAY – JANUARY 11 8:15 PM ET – NBC
The Chargers rotated through 25 different five-man offensive line
combinations over 17 games this season. As a result, QB Justin Herbert
took 129 quarterback hits this year, the second-highest single-season
total. “He has to be the most … mentally tough dude of all time,” Chargers edge rusher Khalil Mack said. Additionally, Herbert was pressured on 42.8 percent of his 615 drop-backs, the highest rate in the league, while being sacked 54 times. With that, two words best describe Herbert: elite and toughness. The same two words are often used in discussions about Chargers’ head coach Jim Harbaugh, who brings a 61-41-5 all-time ATS record in his NFL career into this game, including 5-1 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points following consecutive losses. On the other side of the field is the “most improved team” in the league this season, the Patriots.
They improved from 4-13 (.235 winning percentage) in 2024 to 14-3 (.824) in 2025, an increase of +10 wins. This sets the stage for today’s game, as the Well-Oiled Machine notes that NFL playoff teams that won 4 or fewer games last season are just 6-10 SU and 3-13 ATS as favorites in their first postseason since 1996. That’s not promising news when facing one of the NFL’s stingiest units (top-10 in points/yards allowed, fewest 20+ yard passes allowed), one that did not allow more than 20 points in each of its final six games of the season.

( Has me scared with NE. I’m going to hide behind a Teaser here. )

[bimmercando]

Marc Lawrence NFL 5* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR 33-0
LA Chargers + 3 1/2 over the New England Patriots

ML’s write up in Playbook,
La Chargers over NE by 2
“SUNDAY – JANUARY 11 8:15 PM ET – NBC
The Chargers rotated through 25 different five-man offensive line
combinations over 17 games this season. As a result, QB Justin Herbert
took 129 quarterback hits this year, the second-highest single-season
total. “He has to be the most … mentally tough dude of all time,” Chargers edge rusher Khalil Mack said. Additionally, Herbert was pressured on 42.8 percent of his 615 drop-backs, the highest rate in the league, while being sacked 54 times. With that, two words best describe Herbert: elite and toughness. The same two words are often used in discussions about Chargers’ head coach Jim Harbaugh, who brings a 61-41-5 all-time ATS record in his NFL career into this game, including 5-1 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points following consecutive losses. On the other side of the field is the “most improved team” in the league this season, the Patriots.
They improved from 4-13 (.235 winning percentage) in 2024 to 14-3 (.824) in 2025, an increase of +10 wins. This sets the stage for today’s game, as the Well-Oiled Machine notes that NFL playoff teams that won 4 or fewer games last season are just 6-10 SU and 3-13 ATS as favorites in their first postseason since 1996. That’s not promising news when facing one of the NFL’s stingiest units (top-10 in points/yards allowed, fewest 20+ yard passes allowed), one that did not allow more than 20 points in each of its final six games of the season.

( Has me scared with NE. I’m going to hide behind a Teaser here. )

[bimmercando]

All those total idiots who made Oregon their key play.
These service guys are not worth the copying and pasting.

[bimmercando]

New Day!

Pickswise Sports

CFB
4* Oregon +4
2* Over 47.5

Sharp Football Analysis

CFB Oregon +4

Wes Reynolds
CFB – Indiana -165 (Moneyline)

David Racey
CFB Oregon +4

Kim Smith

CFB
5* Under 49
4* Indiana -3.5

Matt Youmans
Oregon +3.5

Dave Tuley
CFB – Oregon/Indiana Under 47

Porter Picks
CFB 7 units Indiana -3.5

Clay Travis
CFB (Play of the Week) – Indiana -3

Clutch Points Sports
CFB
Indiana -3.5
Over 46.5

Zachary Cohen
CFB – Indiana -3.5

Ross Benjamin
CFB Playoffs Golden Total
3% Oregon/Indiana under 46.5 (+105)

Marc Lawrence
Huge Triple Perfect College Bowl Kill Play!
4* Oregon

Gianni The Greek
5% Oregon Ducks +4.5
3% [CFB] Oregon – Indiana First Half Total Under +23.5 (-115)

Big Al McMordie
5* BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR
5* Oregon +3.5, 7:30 pm

Brandon Lang
The Pick: My 150 Dime winner is the Indiana Hoosiers

Colin Cowherd
Indiana (-3 1/2) 33-28 Hoosiers

Smart Money Sports
4u Ducks +3.5
2u Ducks ML

CBB
2U USC +4

The Gold Sheet
5% Ore/Ind over 46.5 (up to 48)

Jack Jones

20* Indiana -3

20* Akron/Bowling Green o164.5
15* Cleveland State/Oakland o172.5

20* Thunder/Grizzlies u230
20* Hawks/Nuggets o232
20* Rockets/Trail Blazers u221.5 15* Suns

Gianni the Greek
3% Oregon/Indiana 1H u23.5 (-115)
5% Oregon Ducks +4.5

BIG AL’s 5* BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR
5* Oregon +3.5

SmartMoneySports
Oregon Ducks +3.5 – 105 (4U, 7:30e)
Oregon Ducks ML +155 (2u, 7:30e)
USC Trojans +4 -110 (2u, 8:30e)

[bimmercando]

PS ITPB – NFL
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1wN_07q4CMBZ-7EniZpczYqPMBIRPPt8i/view

PS ITPB – NCAAF
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yT0hlfd8EB9WWLF8o2Wv5npQ0_AGAMzW/view

[bimmercando]

Adam Rauzino
CBB 5* Best Bet Gonzaga

Victor King
CBB
5* Loyola Marymount
5* Ohio State

Dean Whitaker
NBA 5* Best Bet Heat -6.5

Ben Burns
4% NHL Florida Panthers ML
3% NBA Cleveland vs Minnesota U241.5
3% Ncaa Cal Santa Barbara ML
3% Ncaa New Mexico state ML

Spartan
3* Miami -3

ATS.bet
Thursday Night NCAA Football 1/8/26
4Units: Miami – Ole Miss Under 53

Brandon Lang
The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Miami Hurricanes

[bimmercando]

Thomas Casale
CFB
Ole Miss +3.5..-115

Mike McClure
CFB
Ole Miss +150

Stephen Nover
Miami -3.0 (-108)

Football Jesus LV

1/1 early text CFB FREE pick if your on text list

” 1/8 Miami Hurricanes ML bet -140…will text NCAA & NFL or check website for updates”
(2025 CFB bets Post season & Bowls 28-11 ..NFL reg season 80-33

Porter Picks / Bowls
INDIANA (-3.5) good to (-4) over Oregon (7-UNITS)
MIAMI (-3) over OLE MISS (5 UNITS)

Marc Lawrence
Ole Miss

Goodfella
CFB Triple Dime Mississippi +3.5

Porter Picks
CFB 5 units Miami Florida -3.5

Matt Youmans
(Vsin CFB)) – Mississippi +3.5

Dave Tuley
CFB- Mississippi +3.5

Scott Pritchard
CFB – Miami Florida -3

Frank Carvilli
CFB – Miami Florida -3

Kenny White
CFB – Mississippi +3.5

Chris Fallica
CFB – Mississippi/Miami Florida Under 52

Adam Burke
CBB
Elon
LeMoyne
San Diego

Smart Money Sports
3U Miami -3 CFB
2U Illinois-22
2U Ohio St +3

Ben Hayes
NBA 4* Mavs

Paul Biagioli
NBA 5* Best Bet Indiana Pacers

[bimmercando]

Adam Burke
CFB – Miami Florida -3.5

Pickswise Sports
CFB
4* Over 51.5
3* Mississippi +3.5

Clutch Points Sports
CFB
Mississippi +3.5
Over 51.5

Jeff Hochman
0.5* Miami (Fla.) -2.5 (-122)

Todd Furhman
NHL
Buffalo ML

Pro Sports Picks
3% CFB Miami Florida ML -165
3% NHL Boston Bruins -145

The Prez
3% Devils -105

Marc Lawrence
Huge Double Perfect College Bowl Kill Play!
Ole Miss

Steve Makinen
CFB
Ole Miss +3.5 with a slight lean Under 52.5

[bimmercando]

Thx. Very wet up north in the rainforest and Great Barrier Reef territory! Headig back South where the sunshine is in a few days

[bimmercando]

Pointwise
https://drive.google.com/file/d/14gWTP4Fz7g720fVbO1c6GBko0poOLhK_/view?usp=sharing
(They screwed up and put last year’s NCAAF semi final teams in the newsletter! SEE ABOVE CORRECTION)

ML PLAYBOOK
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1e8XdymhwZEb2SwwpeM-_EHyC9x9fWqva/view

GOLD SHEET NFL
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1HRTEZSLpOavKSuCBndryy6rkkCKSuPTm/view

NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1AA5oykIc9JfXbqCPMcaWxuJ8-NP3hm5G/view

NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1rbEy8JbTt41xciSlBmVI9Lu0h60nqV-k/view

[bimmercando]

POINTWISE (CORRECTION FOR NCAAF)

FIESTA
BOWLAT GLENDALE, ARIZONA
#10 MIAMI (12-2) vs #6 MISSISSIPPI (13-1)
THURSDAY, JANUARY 8
7:30 PM EST — ESPN TELEVISION
LINE: MIAMI BY 2½ — OVER/UNDER: 51½
AOPR AVS FDS RUSH PASS TRN EDGE TO:
Miami ………. 49.3 … 33-14 … 23-13 .. 149- 84 …. 265-198 .. +10 . Miami
Ole Miss …… 49.1 … 37-21 … 26-18 .. 183-149 … 314-186 .. – 2 . by 3.7 Pts
ANALYSIS
Not many experts predicted this matchup when the College Football Playoff (CFP)
bracket was released. Afterall, Georgia & defending champs Ohio St stood in
their way. That didn’t matter to either of these suddenly dangerous squads. This
is only the 4th time these 2 have squared off, with the last meeting a mere 75
years ago back in 1951, with the Hurricanes winning 20-7 in Miami. However,
the stakes in this one are much more significant. The ‘Canes have won back to
back games vs AP Top-10 for the first time since 1992 after knocking off Texas
A&M and Ohio St. As for the Rebels of Ole Miss, they have won 7 straight after
going down to Georgia back in October 43-35. Canes’ QB Carson Beck com-
pleted 13 straight against the stout Buckeye “D” & Rebs slinger Trinidad Chambliss
had 12 straight completions to start the 2nd half vs the Bulldogs. Chambliss’ 4th
quarter stats: 7/12, 127 yards & a TD. In that November loss to UGA, he was
1/10 for 1 yard in the 4th. Ole Miss outscored Georgia 27-13 in the 2nd half & for
the first time in 76 games, UGA lost a game when leading after the 3rd quarter.
Canes defense had 5 sacks & 2 picks, including a 72 yard ‘pick-6’. The 24 points
Miami put on Ohio St were the most points allowed by the Buckeyes all season.
The Canes are the first double-digit seed to reach the CFP Semifinals in the 2
years of the 12 team format. After upsetting Georgia, Ole Miss has 7 Sugar Bowl
titles (2nd all-time to Alabama’s 10). PK Lucas Carneiro was 3/3: 56, 55 & game
winning 47 yarder at the buzzer after Georgia erased a 10-point lead to tie it up
with 0:56 left. Can’t see anything but a scorcher here, with final play deciding it.
PROPHECY: MIAMI 31 – Mississippi 24 RATING: 6

PEACH BOWLAT ATLANTA, GEORGIA
#5 OREGON (13-1) vs #1 INDIANA (14-0)
FRIDAY, JANUARY 9
7:30 PM EST — ESPN TELEVISION
LINE: INDIANA BY 4 — OVER/UNDER: 47½
AOPR AVS FDS RUSH PASS TRN EDGE TO:
Oregon …….. 47.8 … 37-14 … 22-15 .. 208-105 … 221-139 .. +11 . Indiana
Indiana …….. 50.5 … 42-10 … 25-13 .. 238- 74 …. 181-246 .. +18 . by 8.9 Pts
ANALYSIS
Two Big 10 teams battling for a spot in the National Championship Game, with
neither participant named Penn St, Michigan or Ohio St. Still hard to fathom that
the Hoosiers of Indiana have upset the Ducks of Oregon in their last 2 meetings,
both in Autzen Stadium. Back in 2004, Indiana pulled off the upset 30-24, thanks
to 7 Oregon turnovers & earlier this season 30-20 (October 11), which is the
Ducks’ only blemish this year. That was the Hoosiers first win over an AP Top 5
team since 1967. Indiana is the only team with a BYE (1-7) to reach the CFP
Final Four in its 2-year existence. Indiana’s 38-3 domination of the Tide in the
Rose Bowl was the Hoosiers first bowl win since 1991, and only the 4th in team
history. HC Curt Cignetti (25-2 in 2 seasons in Bloomington) joins Lee Corso &
Bill Malloy as the only Indiana HCs with a bowl victory. Heisman Trophy winner
Fernando Mendoza (14/16, 192 yards, 3 TDs) gave the Tide their largest loss in
Alabama bowl history. Hoosiers knocked out QB Ty Simpson with cracked ribs
in the 3rd quarter & the last time Bama lost any game by 35 points was 1998. As
for the Ducks of Oregon, they registered the 3rd shutout in CFP history & gave
the Red Raiders of Texas Tech their first shutout in 25 years. Ducks “D” held
Texas Tech to 88 first half yards, a season low 215 yards, a time of possession
edge of 38:00-22:00 & forced a season high 4 Red Raider turnovers (including a
huge 4th quarter end zone pick with Oregon leading 13-0). Cannot ignore what
the Hoosiers have done under Cignetti, nor what the ‘Ducks continue to do year
after year, especially with their nearly unstoppable “O”. But Indy “D” the decider.
PROPHECY: INDIANA 33 – Oregon 17 RATING: 2

[bimmercando]

Newsletter Tracking (through 1/5/2026)

The records here will reflect the lines listed in the newsletters at the time the plays were published.

Best & Worst
Gold Sheet NCAA Tech Plays (14-3-0)
Playbook Awesome Angle (15-5-1)
Power Sweep Tech Play of the Week (9-4-0)
Bondi 2* NFL (2-8-0)

Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA (32-32-2)
NFL (32-19-1) (3-1 this week)

Bondi Bulletin (3rd-straight week we didn’t see this one)
2* NCAA (6-3-0)
1* NCAA (10-16-0)
2* NFL (2-8-0)
1* NFL (8-12-0)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
“Top” play (1-0-0)
5* (6-8-1)
4* (7-8-0)
3* (8-7-0)
Upset pick (11-9-0)
Betcha Didn’t Know (10-12-0)
Awesome Angle (15-5-1)
Incredible Stat (7-7-0)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (7-11-0)
4* (9-9-0)
3* (10-7-1)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (21-11-0)
2* (8-13-0) (4-0 run)
3* (6-9-0)
4* (18-14-0)
5* (19-18-1)

Pointwise NFL
2* (3-3-0)
3* (13-17-0)
4* (10-9-0)
5* (16-18-1)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (9-12-1) (current streak 6-1)
3* (13-23-1)
2* (26-19-1)
Underdog Play of the Week (6-8-0)
Tech Play of the Week (9-4-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (6-6-0)
Situational Play of the Week (6-3-0)
Series Play of the Week (4-3-1)

Power Sweep NFL
4* (7-10-1)
3* (10-8-0)
2* (9-9-0)
3* o/u play (8-10-0)
Power Rating POW (0-0-1)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (20-19-1)
NCAA 4* (53-44-1)
NFL 4* (7-10-1)

V.King’s Totals Tipsheet (0-5 overall this week)
10* GOY (0-0-0)
3* (9-11-0)
2* (17-17-0)
1* (0-0-0)
Team Total of the Week
2* (17-14-1)
1* (2-3-0)

Gold Sheet NCAA (didn’t see Gold Sheet this week)
Key Releases (18-27-1)
Priority Picks (16-15-0)
Tech Plays (14-3-0)

Gold Sheet NFL
Key Releases (27-22-1)
Priority Picks (18-16-0)
Tech Plays (7-9-0)

Powers’ Ratings NCAA
(no actual best bets in his newsletter again this year)
Top Computer Play (5-9-1)

Inside the Press Box NCAA
Phil’s Best Bets (27-38-0)
Phil’s FCS Best Bets (5-3-0)
Computer Best Bets (30-30-1)
Computer FCS Best Bets (4-0-0)

Inside the Press Box NFL (nothing this week)
Phil’s Best Bets (23-22-0)
Computer Best Bets (0-0-0)

Pointwise
https://drive.google.com/file/d/14gWTP4Fz7g720fVbO1c6GBko0poOLhK_/view?usp=sharing
( Looks like they screwed up and put last year’s NCAAF semi final teams in the newsletter ! )

Phil’s ITPB NFL
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yT0hlfd8EB9WWLF8o2Wv5npQ0_AGAMzW/view

Phil’s Forecast:
Miami – Mississippi
This is the fourth meeting between these schools, but the first since 1951! Both teams are in the CFP Semifinal round for the first time. The Fiesta Bowl has historically been a house of horrors for Miami. They are 0-4 here including losses in two National Title games in ‘87 (vs
Penn St) and ‘03 (vs Ohio St). Ole Miss is making their first trip to the Fiesta Bowl. Hurricanes
have won 4 in a row SU & ATS vs the SEC. Ole Miss last 5 vs ACC, 5-0 SU & ATS by avg score of 45-15. Miami’s best win in the regular season came in their opener against Notre Dame.
That win vaulted them ahead of the Irish in the final Playoff rankings. They lost two ACC games to Louisville and SMU and missed out on the ACC Title game because of tie-breaker rules. The ‘Canes beat Texas A&M of the SEC 10-3 in the first round of the playoffs. Last week, we used
Miami (+9’) as our 4.5-star Bowl GOY against Ohio St. Miami never trailed the entire game and pulled a 24-14 upset. The ‘Canes D has been dominant. They allow just 13 ppg and 285 ypg
and just 84 rush ypg (2.8). Their loaded Dline, led by DE’s Rueben Bain and Akheem Mesidor,
held Ohio St to 45 rush yds and they have 21 sacks in their last 4 games. That pressure up front has helped a secondary that ranks #14 in our Pass D Rankings with a 9-12 ratio. Miami holds opp 119ypg below their avg (#4 FBS).QB Carson Beck has been accurate (75%) and has
a 13-1 ratio in his last 6 games. RB Mark Fletcher (947, 5.4) leads the ground game, WR Malachi Toney (1008, 10.7) is a Freshman All-American, and the Oline has allowed just 15 sacks in 14 games. The Rebels finished the regular season 11-1 and their only loss was at
Georgia 43-35. Each of their first two playoff games were rematches. They beat Tulane 41-10 (-17’). Last week they were +6 against Georgia. They trailed 21-12 at half but the Rebs D stepped up, and QB Trinidad Chambliss went bonkers in the 2H as Ole Miss rallied to win 39-34.
Chambliss has a 21-3 ratio but has his toughest test against Miami’s physical front 4. RB Kewan Lacy has rushed for 1464 (4.9, 23 td’s) and just announced he’s staying here in 2026.
Chambliss doesn’t have a true WR1 but 5 of his receivers have at least 500yds. The Rebels have given up an SEC-low 18 sacks in 14 games. The offense avgs 141ypg above opp average (#1 FBS!). Ole Miss’ is allowing 20 ppg and 340 ypg and holds foes 21 ypg below their avg (#50 in FBS). Rebel pass D ranks #25 with a 15-8 ratio and allows just 6.5 ypa. My computer has Miami 29-22 and AGG has the Canes by 1.5. Miami has played the tougher schedule (#18 vs #41) while Ole Miss has the better ST’s unit (#34 vs #61). Miami has faced 6 teams this
year that were ranked at kickoff (6-0 SU & ATS). Ole Miss has faced 5 teams this ssn ranked at
kickoff (4-1 SU & ATS). Ole Miss has enjoyed the benefit of familiarity in its first 2 CFP games ith Tulane & Georgia. However, that won’t be the case in the Fiesta Bowl. Miami’s front 7 presents challenges Chambliss has yet to face, and while HC Golding has done a great job so
far, the Ole Miss staff is in flux as some assistants prepare to join Lane Kiffin at LSU. I agree with my computer here and have a small lean on the under as well.

This Weeks Numbers
28.7 Score 21.6 VEGAS LINE Miami, Fl By 3.5

Indiana 24 – Oregon 17
It’s a Big 10 rematch in the Semifinals at the Peach Bowl in Atlanta. This is the 5th all-time meeting between
these schools. Indiana (+7) won the regular season meeting in Eugene 30-20. Indiana had a 326-267 yd edge
in Autzen Stadium and Oregon scored 7 points on a Pick-6 that tied the game early 4Q. This is Indiana’s 3rd
trip to the Peach Bowl (0-2) but first since 1990 while Oregon makes their first trip to the Peach Bowl but
played in Mercedes Benz Stadium in Dan Lanning’s debut in ’22 versus Georgia. After the loss to Indiana,
Oregon won 6 straight including 5 over Bowl teams. The Ducks were ahead 34-6 against James Madison at
half in Round 1, pulled the starters to prepare for the quarterfinals, and allowed 28 pts and 312 yds in the 2H
with their starters resting the last few possessions. The D didn’t like that some were critical of the
performance, so they were fired up last week vs Texas Tech in the Orange Bowl. The Ducks held Red Raiders
to 215 yards and recorded a shutout, 23-0, against a team that came in averaging 42.5ppg. Oregon is #3,
putting up 135 ypg more than foes allow and #5, holding foes 115 ypg below their avg. QB Dante Moore has
a 28-9 ratio and is improving in his first full season as the starter. The bi-play trio of RB’s Noah Whittington,
Jordon Davison, Dierre Hill have combined for 2066 rushing (6.6). Malik Benson (696, 16.9) leads a rec corps
that is just now getting back to 100% after being banged up for much of the year. Frosh CB Brandon Finney
had 2 int’s and a FR last week and he had the Pick-6 in the first meeting vs Indiana. HC Curt Cignetti has not
let Indiana get complacent. They’ve checked all the boxes at 14-0. They won in Eugene earlier this year and
won the Big 10 Title by beating Ohio St. The Hoosiers were absolutely dominant last week, beating Alabama
38-3 with a 407-193 yd edge. They are +32 ppg and +216 ypg. Heisman-winning QB Fernando Mendoza
leads an offense that puts up 42 ppg and 468 ypg and 123 ypg more than their foes allow on avg (#4 FBS).
Indiana is deep at RB and has a big edge at WR with Omar Cooper (849, 13.9), Elijah Sarratt (727, 13.2) and
Charlie Becker who has gone over 100 yds in 3 of the last 5 games. The line has allowed 21 sacks, 5 more
than Oregon. The dominant Hoosier D is allowing just 10 ppg and 253 ypg while holding foes 110 ypg below
their avg (#7 FBS). They have 42 sacks, 13 more than Oregon, and are tied for #1 in the FBS with just 7 td
passes allowed. My computer has Indiana 28-24 and AGG favors the Hoosiers by 2.5 and 5.2 over the last 4
games. Indiana boasts the stronger ST’s (#15 vs #26) while Oregon has played the much harder schedule
(#4 vs #42). In 6 games vs teams ranked at kickoff this year, Oregon is 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS. Ducks have been
a dog 6 times in 4 years under Lanning and are 4-2 ATS with 3 straight covers. Indiana 4-0 SU & ATS vs teams ranked at kickoff. Under ignetti, Hoosiers 7-1 ATS as a single digit favorite (beat Iowa this yr, 20-15,
as a 9pt favorite). Indiana has gone through the two biggest programs in CFB, Ohio St and Alabama, to reach
this point. They also outplayed Oregon in Autzen Stadium in the first meeting. Cignetti has built this team to dominate opponents on both sides of the ball, and I can’t see Oregon ending that run. Hoosiers clear the number in a lower scoring game that brings Mendoza one step closer to a national championship game in his Miami hometown.

NC POWER PLAYS
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1AA5oykIc9JfXbqCPMcaWxuJ8-NP3hm5G/view

NC POWER SWEEP
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1rbEy8JbTt41xciSlBmVI9Lu0h60nqV-k/view

[bimmercando]

Brandon Lang

The Pick: My 100 Dime winner is the Minnesota Vikings.

The Line: The current line is -10 1/2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 7:55 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

Indian Cowboy

7-Unit Play. #357. Take New Orleans Saints +3 @ FanDuel/DraftKings over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday @ 1pm est)

4-Unit Play. #349. Take Ravens -3.5 @ FanDuel/DraftKings over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday @ 8:20pm est)

4-Unit Play. #339. Take Dolphins +10.5 @ FanDuel/DraftKings over New England Patriots (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)

4-Unit Play. #364. Take Denver Broncos -11.5 @ DraftKings over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)

Colin Cowherd Blazin’ 5 – week 18
Cincinnati (-7 1/2) 30-21 Bengals
Chicago (-2 1/2) Bears
LA (-7 1/2) 31-20 Rams
Pittsburgh (+3 1/2) 21-20 Ravens

Steve Fezzik
NFL teasers at -130 each:

Den -12.5 to -2.5
Jax -12.5 to -2.5
NE -10.5 to -.5

=================

Den -12.5 to -2.5
Jax -12.5 to -2.5
HOU -10.5 to -.5

Mike Tierney NFL

MN -5.5
HOU -10
ATL -3 -122
WA Under 39.5
LAR -7
LAC Under 37.5

Brady Kannon NFL
LAR -7.5
DET +3
PIT +4.5

Billy Coleman NFL
5% Los Angeles Rams -7.5 (-105)

THE GOLD SHEET​
(343) DETROIT LIONS AT (344) CHICAGO BEARS​
Date/Time:
Jan 4 2026 4:25 PM EST
Line Provider:
Draftkings
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-112
Play:
Detroit Lions +3.5 (-112)

Marco

4% Det Lions

Chuck Esposito

Red Rock SB director

Last week: 3-2
Season: 39-45-1

49ers +1½
Patriots -10½
Bills -7
Steelers +3½
Saints +3

Lou Finocchiaro

@GambLou

Last week: 3-2
Season: 41-42-2

Buccaneers -2½
Seahawks -1½
Bears -3
Steelers +3½
Saints +3

Doug Fitz

Systemplays.com

Last week: 4-1
Season: 39-46

Seahawks -1½
Chiefs -5½
Steelers +3½
Saints +3
Titans +12½

Scott Kellen

Last week: 2-3
Season: 38-45-2

Buccaneers -2½
Seahawks -1½
Lions +3
Ravens -3½
Falcons -3

Jay Kornegay

Westgate SuperBook VP

Last week: 3-2
Season: 47-36-2

Seahawks -1½
Vikings -7½
Raiders +5½
Saints +3
Broncos -12½

Brent Musburger

VSiN host

Last week: 3-2
Season: 42-41-2

Buccaneers -2½
Seahawks -1½
Chiefs -5½
Steelers +3½
Saints +3

Kelly Stewart

@Kellyinvegas

Last week: 3-2
Season: 42-43

Panthers +2½
Vikings -7½
Lions +3
Bengals -7½
Broncos -12½

[bimmercando]

Dave Tuley

VSiN.com

Last week: 3-2
Season: 37-45-3

Dolphins +10½
Lions +3
Steelers +3½
Browns +7½
Giants +3½

Sharp money moves line on lightly bet Raiders-Chiefs season finale​
LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

Just lose, baby.

That’s what the Raiders need to do against the Chiefs in Sunday’s regular-season finale at Allegiant Stadium to secure the No. 1 pick in April’s NFL draft.

Kansas City, which has dominated the series, winning nine of the last 10 meetings and 19 of 23, is a consensus 5½-point favorite over the Raiders and the consensus total is 36½. The Chiefs are -5 at the South Point sportsbook and the total is 36 at the South Point, Circa Sports and the Westgate SuperBook.

The Westgate took a sharp bet on the Raiders +6½ on Monday when it opened the line and the number has been at 5½ since then.

“The Raiders are trying not to win and Kansas City’s starting arguably one of the 10 worst quarterbacks ever to start in the league (in Chris Oladokun). It’s just a tough game,” SuperBook vice president of risk Ed Salmons said. “The Chiefs have been playing good defense, at least. (Coach) Andy Reid keeps talking about that they want to close the season right and win, and the Raiders, I’m sure, are happy to lose because that’s what they’re trying to do.”

Salmons said the betting public has “zero interest” in the game and neither do bettors at Boomer’s Sportsbook.

“No action whatsoever yet,” Boomer’s director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said Saturday afternoon. “Hopefully there is some (Sunday) so we’ll have a decision on the game but right now, betting on that game is nonexistent.”

There is some action at STN Sports, where the Chiefs account for 74 percent of spread bets and 62 percent of bets on the total are on the under.

Kansas City (6-10, 6-9-1 against the spread) crushed the Raiders 31-0 in the first meeting in October but has lost five straight and seven of its last eight overall while going 1-7 ATS. The Chiefs are on a 9-1 under run.

“I believe we will be Raiders fans when the game kicks,” Red Rock Resort sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said.

The Raiders (2-14, 6-10 ATS) have lost 10 straight and are on a 2-5 spread skid. They’re on a 4-1 over run.

Best bets​

Westgate SuperBook vice president of marketing Jay Kornegay, who leads the Las Vegas Review-Journal NFL Challenge (47-36-2 ATS), made the Raiders +5½ one of his five plays this week.

“I can see a low-scoring game here,” he said. “After years of playing meaningful games, the Chiefs understandably are uninspired. Additionally, the Raiders know what’s on the line. I can see the points coming into play.”

On the flip side, legendary sportscaster Brent Musburger (on a 19-10-1 ATS run in the RJ Challenge) and pro handicapper Doug Fitz (on a 7-3 ATS run in the RJ Challenge) took the Chiefs.

“The Chiefs should close an otherwise disappointing season with a win and cover on a relatively short number,” said Fitz (Systemplays.com). “There’s incentive to play hard for Travis Kelce, perhaps playing his last game. The Raiders clinch the No. 1 draft pick with a loss and there’s no good reason for them to put forth much effort. The Chiefs should win rather convincingly.”

A former radio play-by-play voice for the Raiders, Musburger now has season tickets for the Silver and Black.

“As a Raider season ticket holder, I’m all in on guaranteeing the No. 1 pick in the draft by losing to the Chiefs, who happen to be 6-0 in Allegiant Stadium,” he said. “I’m also hoping Taylor Swift drops by to watch Travis Kelce bow out with a touchdown and a victory.”

NFL TRENDS

Sunday

* Chiefs (-5½, 37) at Raiders: The Chiefs rolled 31-0 in the first meeting. Kansas City is 5-0 straight up and 4-1 ATS against the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium, though it has lost five straight overall. The Chiefs snapped an 0-7 spread slide in a Christmas Day home loss to the Broncos and are on a 9-1 under run. The Raiders have lost 10 straight and are on a 2-5 spread slide. They’re also on a 4-1 over run. Edge: Slight to under and Chiefs.

* Saints at Falcons (-3, 45): Atlanta won the first meeting 24-10 and has won and covered three in a row overall. The Falcons are on a 7-2 over run. New Orleans has won and covered its last four games and is on a 10-2 under run. Edge: Saints.

* Browns at Bengals (-7½, 44½): The Bengals won but didn’t cover in a 17-16 Week 1 win at Cleveland. Cincinnati had won and covered the previous three meetings. The Browns are 1-6 ATS on the road. The Bengals are 4-1 ATS since quarterback Joe Burrow returned and they’re on a 5-2 under run. The under is on a 6-1-1 run in the series. Edge: Bengals and under.

* Packers at Vikings (-7½, 35½): The Packers won and covered the first meeting 23-6 but have lost and failed to cover their last three overall. Green Bay is on a 3-10-1 ATS slide away from home and a 4-1 over run overall. The Vikings have won and covered four straight and are on a 7-1 under run. Edge: Vikings and under.

* Cowboys (-3½, 51) at Giants: The Cowboys won the first meeting in a wild 40-37 overtime shootout for their ninth straight win over the Giants (6-2-1 ATS). The over is on a 5-2 run in the series and Dallas is on an 11-2 over uptick. The Cowboys have lost three of their last four overall while going 0-4 ATS. New York snapped a nine-game losing streak in last week’s win over the Raiders and is on a 4-3 spread run. The Giants are on a 9-2 over run. Edge: Over and Cowboys.

* Titans at Jaguars (-12½, 47½): The Jaguars have won and covered the last three meetings and are on a 5-2 ATS run against the Titans. Jacksonville has won and covered seven straight overall and is on a 6-3 over run. Tennessee is on a 5-3 ATS uptick and a 7-3 over run. Edge: Jaguars and over.

* Colts at Texans (-10½, 38½): The Texans won and covered the first meeting 20-16 at Indianapolis, which has lost six straight and is on a 1-4 ATS skid. Houston is on a 5-1 spread streak and 5-2 under run. Edge: Texans and slight to under.

* Jets at Bills (-7, 38): The Bills have won and covered the last four meetings. The Jets have lost and failed to cover four straight overall, with each loss by at least 23 points, and are on a 4-1 over run. Edge: Bills and slight to over.

* Lions at Bears (-3, 50½): The Lions have won and covered the last two meetings, though they’re on a 1-6 spread skid overall. Detroit is on a 7-2 over run. The Bears are 4-1-1 ATS at home this season. Edge: Bears and over.

* Chargers at Broncos (-12½, 37½): The Chargers have won and covered the last three meetings. The Broncos are on a 1-4 ATS skid overall and 2-9 ATS as favorites. Denver is on a 4-1 over run. Edge: Slight to Chargers and over.

* Cardinals at Rams (-7, 46): The Rams won the first meeting 45-17 and are on a 5-0 over streak. The Cardinals have lost 13 of their last 14 overall and are on a 1-7 ATS slide. Edge: Rams and over.

* Dolphins at Patriots (-10½, 45½): The Patriots won and covered the first meeting 33-27 at Miami to end the Dolphins’ 9-0 spread streak in the series. New England is on a 10-3 ATS run and the over is on an 8-2 run in the series. Edge: Over and slight to Patriots.

* Commanders at Eagles (-4, 38½): The Eagles won and covered the first meeting 29-18 and have won and covered their last three overall. The over is on a 6-1 run in the series. Washington is on a 3-7 ATS slide overall and a 9-4-1 over run. Edge: Slight to Eagles and over.

* Ravens (-3½, 40½) at Steelers: The Steelers won and covered the first meeting 27-22 and have won four of the last five meetings at Pittsburgh while going 3-2 ATS. The Ravens have won five straight on the road overall while going 4-1 ATS. Edge: Slight to Ravens.

Big Al McMordie

NFL Selections
1* Jaguars -10.5, 1:00 pm
1* Patriots – 10, 4:25 pm
1* Raiders +6, 4:25 pm
1* Broncos – 7.5, 4:25 pm

Gianni the Greek

4% New York Jets +7.5 (-115)

4% Saints at Falcons Under +44.5 (-115)

NFL 2025 Picks 164 -151 5% picks 6-5

Al DeMarco GM

30 DIME play on Chicago-3.5
Buy the 1/2-point down on Chicago if your price is between -3 and -4 1/2.

Insider Money Moves
Football Winner # 6 in a Row
50 DIME Winner # 29 of 47
Sharp vs. Public Insider Money Move

50 Dime Las Vegas Raiders+4.5

Be active with this line and be sure you’re buying the half point UP if the line is between +2.5 and +4 points.

Sleepy J

NFL

3* PROP PICK LIONS Jared Goff UNDER 256.5 passing yards
3* PROP PICK Steelers Marquez Valdez Scantling over 28.5 rec yds
3* PARLAY on Moneyline LAC / DEN Parlay (-166)

NFL season 75-82-1

Matt Rivers

50 Dime – Baltimore Ravens-3.5

If you line is anywhere between -3 to -4 1/2 points, then you buy the half-point down on Baltimore.

Rick Torino

– Winning Day #6 in a Row –
All-In Max Wager
100 DIME
Career Football Winner # 38 of 57
– and 19 of last 28 –

100 Dime – L.A. Rams-13.5

Steve Budin CEO

Source: Baltimore Crew
50 Dime – Cincinnati Bengals+7.5

As a former bookmaker I’m going to repeat what I’ve told you many times over the past two decades: Put the power of money to work and buy down the 1/2-point on Cincinnati if the price you get is between -6 and -7 1/2.

ATS.bet

Sunday NFL Football 1/4/26

3Units: New York Giants – Dallas Cowboys Under 49.5
3Units: Philadelphia Eagles – Washington Commanders Under 39

88-50-3 109.51
Alternative Parlays/Teasers: 16-8 +23.08
Total: 104-58-3 +132.59

Al DeMarco

30 DIME play on Chicago-3.5
Buy the 1/2-point down on Chicago if your price is between -3 and -4 1/2

Bob Balfe
2025 VIP Football Record (95-92)

Falcons -3.5 over Saints
Jags -13.5 over Titans
Jets/Bills Over 37.5
Steelers +3.5 over Ravens

Jason Mahaffey
150 DIME
Game of My Career

150 Dime – Chicago Bears+3.5

If your price on Chicago is anywhere from -3 to -4 1/2 points, I want you to buy the half-point down on Da Bears.

Chris Jordan
Top-Rated 1000♦
NFL Winner # 12 of 17
NFC South Game of the Year, Part 2

1000♦ New Orleans Saints+3.5

Buy the half point up if the line is between +2 1/2 and +4 points.

Sean Michaels
100 DIME Max Wager
NFL Winner # 5 of 6
6-Point Line Mistake Lock

100 Dime New York Jets+8

Jack Jones

20*GOW Bengals -7
20*GOW Broncos -7
20*Bucs -3
15*Vikings -6.5

Jason Sharpe

8U GOY Chicago-3
4U Atlanta-3
3U Pittsburgh+3.5

[Author]

Posts