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  • in reply to: Service Plays – NFL & NCAAF & NHL! – Jan 7-11+, 2026 #542482
    bimmercando
    Participant

    JAN 16 – NHL+

    Pro Sports Picks
    3% [NHL] Anaheim Ducks +1.5 (-175)

    Bruce Marshall
    CBB
    Dayton Flyers -17′ (-110)
    NHL
    Nashville Predators +1′ (+110)

    bimmercando
    Participant

    Past ITPB – College Bowls
    INDIANA 27-17 OVER MIAMI

    Phil’s Forecast:

    These two schools last met back in 1964 and 1966 when they split two meetings. Indiana is playing for their first
    CFB National Title. Curt Cignetti coached in the FCS National Title game in 2019 at James Madison but lost to North
    Dakota St. Miami has won 5 National Titles but the last was back in ‘01 when they crushed Nebraska. This is
    Indiana’s first game vs the ACC since a 21-14 loss to Louisville in ’23. Miami beat Ohio St, 24-14, in the quarterfinal
    CFP round to snap a 4-game losing streak to Big Ten schools. We’ve heard that the “U” was back countless times
    over the last 20 years, only for Miami to fall short each time. This year appeared to be more of the same. They
    beat Notre Dame in the opener but losses to Louisville and SMU as a DD favorite kept them from the ACC Title
    game. The win over ND was enough to land the hotly contested at-large CFP bid. Miami’s D held Texas A&M to 3
    points and Ohio St to 14 points in their first 2 playoff games. QB Carson Beck looked like the projected #1 draft
    pick he was once considered vs Ole Miss in the Semifinals, throwing for 268 yds and 2 td’s and rushing for the
    clinching td in a 31-27 win. RB Mark Fletcher has become an underrated workhorse in the playoffs, rushing for 395

    yards on 58 carries. Beck’s #1 target is true frosh phenom Malachi Toney (1089, 11.0). The Francis Mauigoa-led O-
    line has allowed just 19 sacks in 15 games. Defense has been the ‘Canes calling card, especially during the playoff

    run. They allow just 293 ypg and they have 47 sacks led by DE’s Rueben Bain and Akheem Mesidor. The D holds
    foes 117 ypg below their avg (#4 FBS) and allow just 6.3 yds per pass attempt with a 13-16 ratio. Indiana has
    passed every test heading into this game. They went 12-0 in the regular season with only 3 close wins over
    Oregon, Iowa, and Penn St. The Hoosiers knocked off Ohio St for their first Big 10 Title then crushed Alabama 38-3
    in the quarterfinals. Last week’s rematch with the Ducks was a 56-22 rout thanks to +3 TO’s. Indiana has a big
    edge on offense, especially at the skill positions. QB Fernando Mendoza has a 41-6 ratio, and he’s thrown just 5
    incompletions since winning the Heisman. He has 2 terrific backs in Roman Hemby (1060, 5.0) and Kaelon Black
    (961, 5.7) and 3 great options in the receiving corps. Elijah Sarratt and Omar Cooper are All-Big Ten WR’s while
    Charlie Becker has had 3 100-yd games since Sarratt was hobbled in early November. The Hoosier O-line has
    paved the way for the FBS’ #12 run game (218, 5.3). The Indiana D gives up just 11 ppg and 261 ypg. They allow a
    Big Ten low 2.9 ypc and have a 9-18 ratio in pass defense! Their 29 takeaways rank #3 in the FBS and they’re
    holding opp 107 ypg below their avg (#7 FBS). While Miami has the bigger names, Indiana’s relatively no-name
    front 7 nearly neutralizes the Canes’ edge by allowing 75 rush ypg with 45 sacks. My computer has Indiana winning
    the national championship 27-17. Hoosiers have the better ST’s (#15 vs #61) while Miami has played the tougher
    schedule (#11 vs #25). Miami has faced 7 teams this year that were ranked at kickoff (7-0 SU & ATS). Indiana has
    faced 5 teams this ssn ranked at kickoff (5-0 SU & ATS). Miami has a rare home field edge playing this game in
    Miami. However, don’t be shocked if Indiana has just as many fans at Hard Rock Stadium. IU has the largest living
    alumni base in the country, and they packed Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta last week! Mendoza will neutralize
    Miami’s talented D-line by getting the ball out quickly, and the Hoosiers’ chaotic D will cause problems for Beck.
    Miami has had a magical playoff run, but Cignetti & Indiana have been dominant in all 3 phases. My computer has
    been so good this year so I’ll lean on it one final time and call for the Hoosiers to win the national title by DD’s.
    INDIANA 27 MIAMI 17

    bimmercando
    Participant
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    in reply to: Service Plays – NFL & NCAAF & NHL! – Jan 7-11+, 2026 #542351
    bimmercando
    Participant

    MARCO D’ANGELO​
    (383) LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT (384) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS​
    Date/Time:Jan 11 2026 8:15 PM EST
    Play Rating:5%
    Odds:-109
    Play:Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (-109)
    5% (383) LA CHARGERS +3.5

    Colin Cowherd Blazin’ 5 – week 19 (playoffs)
    Jacksonville (+1 1/2) 30-27 Jags
    Philadelphia (-5 1/2) 28-20 Eagles

    Marc Lawrence
    5* NFL P/O GOY – Chargers
    3* Jax ( done in loss)

    NFL playoff betting trends​
    Sunday​

    49ers at Eagles (-5½, 44½): The 49ers had won and covered six straight until last week’s 13-3 loss to the Seahawks. The Niners were 7-2 ATS on the road this season and are on a 6-3 over run. The Eagles are only 4-4 ATS at home this season and are on a 7-2 under run. Edge: 49ers.

    Chargers at Patriots (-3½, 45½): The Chargers had won seven of eight games this season until losing their last two to the Texans and Broncos. Los Angeles is on a 4-1 ATS run as an underdog and on a 6-2 under run. The Patriots have won 13 of 14 while going 11-3 ATS, though they’re only 5-4 ATS at home. New England is on a 5-0 over streak in the playoffs. Edge: Slight to Patriots and over.

    ATS.bet
    NFL Wild Card Sunday 1/11/26

    3Units: 2Team – 6pt Teaser (-120)
    Buffalo Bills +7.5
    Philadelphia Eagles PK

    Sean Michaels 150: 49ers+5 1/2

    Jeff Hochman
    1* L.A. Chargers +3.5 (-105)

    TAMPASPORTS
    CBB -OAKLAND -5

    Liam Keating NFL 5* Eagles -6

    Bob Balfe
    Bills +1.5 over Jaguars
    Eagles -6 over 49ers
    Chargers +3.5 over Patriots

    Ben Burns
    5% New England under 46.5

    Pickswise Sports
    NFL 5* Best Bet 49ers +6
    4* Bills +2
    3* Patriots -3.5

    Ross Benjamin
    5% Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-120)
    2% Buffalo Bills -108

    David Racey
    NFL Patriots/Chargers Over 45

    Porter Picks
    Bills ML -115 (4u)
    Eagles -6 (5u)
    Chargers +3.5 (3u)

    Executive
    400% Chargers
    250% Teaser
    JAX and SF

    Al McMordie

    NHL Selections
    1* Penguins – 115, 5:05 pm

    NBA Selections
    3* Nuggets +2.5, 8:10 pm
    1* Wizards +14, 8:10 pm

    NCAA Basketball Selections
    4* E. Carolina +8.5, 2:00 pm

    NFL Selections
    1* Bills +1.5, 1:00 pm
    1* 49ers +6, 4:30 pm
    1* Chargers +3.5, 8:15 pm

    Ben Burns
    5% New England under 46.5

    Ross Benjamin
    5% Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-120)
    2% Buffalo Bills -108

    Tbsportsbetting

    whale
    Eagles -6 (NFL)

    others
    Chargers +3.5 (NFL)
    Bucks ML (NBA)
    Suns -14 (NBA)

    SmartMoneySports
    Jacksonville Jaguars ML -125 (2u, 1:00e)
    Philadelphia Eagles -6 -105 (2u, 4:30e)
    Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 -110 (3u, 8:00e)

    Jack Jones
    15*Bucks -1.5
    15*Hawks Over 235
    15*Thunder Over 233.5

    15*Jaguars Over 51.5
    15*Patriots Over 45.5
    20*Eagles -4
    20*Jaguars +1.5

    bimmercando
    Participant

    LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

    At first glance, the Buffalo Bills appear to finally have a clear path back to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1994.

    Their playoff nemesis, the Kansas City Chiefs, who eliminated the Bills from four of the past five postseasons, are out of the picture.

    But professional sports bettor Cris Zeniuk and CBS Sportsline handicapper Bruce Marshall still expect the Bills to bow out of the playoffs early again this season.

    They made the Jacksonville Jaguars their best bet of the NFL’s wild-card weekend Sunday as 1-point home underdogs to the Bills.

    “There is no team with more pressure to win this playoff season than Buffalo,” said Zeniuk (@lasvegascris). “The Jags sputtered a bit early this year, but new coaching and acquisitions have settled in nicely, and they have the best stats over the last five weeks in the NFL.

    “The Jags are playing with confidence and poise, (quarterback) Trevor (Lawrence) has stopped the mistakes, and they have home cooking to face a less than 100 percent (Bills quarterback) Josh Allen. The numbers say Jacksonville is the better team, and the pressure is on the entire Bills team.”

    Allen is 0-4 straight up and against the spread on the road in the playoffs, and the Bills have lost eight straight road playoff games dating to 1995.

    “Though Allen remains capable of magical moments, and James Cook led all NFL rushers with 1,621 yards, on the other side this was far from an elite Buffalo defense in 2025, especially versus the run, where the Bills ranked 28th,” Marshall said. “Meanwhile, the Jags are hot, having won and covered eight straight, including a takedown of the Broncos in Denver three weeks ago. The defense is loaded with ball hawks in the secondary.”

    Sunday EAGLES (-5) over 49ers​

    “A fresh Philly team who rested last week should have their way with a banged-up 49ers team,” said pro bettor Chuck Edel (@chuckedel). “San Fran has had trouble on both sides of the ball and is struggling versus playoff teams.”

    Monday Texans (-3) over STEELERS​

    Whitelaw and pro bettor Randy McKay expect the Houston Texans to end the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 23-game home winning streak on “Monday Night Football.”

    “Bad matchup for Pittsburgh versus Houston’s No. 1-rated defense,” said McKay (@RR39). “On the other side of the ball, I trust (Texans quarterback C.J.) Stroud and company to have more success against a Pittsburgh defense that has secondary issues to make big plays to win and cover.”

    Whitelaw expects the Texans to shut down the Steelers.

    “I don’t think Pittsburgh is going to be able to move the ball much on them,” he said. “I think the Texans win this one moderately easily.”

    Texans-STEELERS under 38​

    Dumond recommends a play on the under on Monday, noting that the Texans allow only 17.4 points per game and the Steelers have surrendered only 19 points per game in their past four.

    “Despite both sides being involved in high-scoring affairs last week, we expect the defenses to control this game,” he said.

    in reply to: Service Plays – NFL & NCAAF & NHL! – Jan 7-11+, 2026 #542333
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Weekend football predictions: Pro sports bettors pick NFL playoff games​
    LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTIO
    N

    At first glance, the Buffalo Bills appear to finally have a clear path back to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1994.

    Their playoff nemesis, the Kansas City Chiefs, who eliminated the Bills from four of the past five postseasons, are out of the picture.

    But professional sports bettor Cris Zeniuk and CBS Sportsline handicapper Bruce Marshall still expect the Bills to bow out of the playoffs early again this season.

    They made the Jacksonville Jaguars their best bet of the NFL’s wild-card weekend Sunday as 1-point home underdogs to the Bills.

    “There is no team with more pressure to win this playoff season than Buffalo,” said Zeniuk (@lasvegascris). “The Jags sputtered a bit early this year, but new coaching and acquisitions have settled in nicely, and they have the best stats over the last five weeks in the NFL.

    “The Jags are playing with confidence and poise, (quarterback) Trevor (Lawrence) has stopped the mistakes, and they have home cooking to face a less than 100 percent (Bills quarterback) Josh Allen. The numbers say Jacksonville is the better team, and the pressure is on the entire Bills team.”

    Allen is 0-4 straight up and against the spread on the road in the playoffs, and the Bills have lost eight straight road playoff games dating to 1995.

    “Though Allen remains capable of magical moments, and James Cook led all NFL rushers with 1,621 yards, on the other side this was far from an elite Buffalo defense in 2025, especially versus the run, where the Bills ranked 28th,” Marshall said. “Meanwhile, the Jags are hot, having won and covered eight straight, including a takedown of the Broncos in Denver three weeks ago. The defense is loaded with ball hawks in the secondary.”

    Pro bettor Scott Pritchard and Las Vegas Review-Journal NFL Challenge champion Jay Kornegay made Green Bay their best bet.

    “There is a reason a seventh seed is favored on the road versus a No. 2 seed,” said Pritchard (Pritchardspicks.com). “The Bears are overrated.”

    Sunday EAGLES (-5) over 49ers​

    “A fresh Philly team who rested last week should have their way with a banged-up 49ers team,” said pro bettor Chuck Edel (@chuckedel). “San Fran has had trouble on both sides of the ball and is struggling versus playoff teams.”

    Monday Texans (-3) over STEELERS​

    Whitelaw and pro bettor Randy McKay expect the Houston Texans to end the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 23-game home winning streak on “Monday Night Football.”

    “Bad matchup for Pittsburgh versus Houston’s No. 1-rated defense,” said McKay (@RR39). “On the other side of the ball, I trust (Texans quarterback C.J.) Stroud and company to have more success against a Pittsburgh defense that has secondary issues to make big plays to win and cover.”

    Whitelaw expects the Texans to shut down the Steelers.

    “I don’t think Pittsburgh is going to be able to move the ball much on them,” he said. “I think the Texans win this one moderately easily.”

    Texans-STEELERS under 38​

    Dumond recommends a play on the under on Monday, noting that the Texans allow only 17.4 points per game and the Steelers have surrendered only 19 points per game in their past four.

    “Despite both sides being involved in high-scoring affairs last week, we expect the defenses to control this game,” he said.

    NFL wild-card playoff betting breakdown:​

    NFL BETTING BREAKDOWN
    Scott Pritchard

    Bills (12-5) at Jaguars (13-4)

    Time: 10 a.m. Sunday, CBS
    Line/total: Pick, 51½

    Analysis: The Bills have lost eight road playoff games in a row. The game will feature their top-ranked rush offense against the Jaguars’ top-ranked rush defense. But the dam might break when Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen attacks Jacksonville’s vulnerable bottom-12 pass defense, and the Jaguars’ pass-reliant offense stalls against the Bills’ top-ranked pass defense.

    Pick: Bills 31, Jaguars 24

    49ers (12-5) at Eagles (11-6)

    Time: 1:30 p.m. Sunday, Fox
    Line/total: Eagles -5½, 44½

    Analysis: The Eagles paid a heavy price last week when they rested their starters and lost to the Commanders. Had Philadelphia won, it would have earned the NFC’s No. 2 seed. It’s not a move most teams would make, but Eagles coach Nick Sirianni thought the rest could spark a change in the defending Super Bowl champions. But a seasonlong bottom-nine offense and a defense that can’t stop the run will struggle with any amount of rest against this stellar 49ers rush defense and a San Francisco offense that ranks first in third-down conversion percentage.

    Pick: 49ers 24, Eagles 20

    Chargers (11-6) at Patriots (14-3)

    Time: 5:15 p.m. Sunday, NBC
    Line/total: Patriots -3½, 45½

    Analysis: These two elite defenses, both ranked in the top four in crucial categories, will square off in the freezing temperatures of Foxborough, Massachusetts, on Sunday night. Temperatures this cold never boost an offense, so the question might be which offense has the extra firepower to exert its will over the opposing team’s stalwart defense. The Patriots have the distinct advantage in the offensive department, ranking top five in all major categories, while the Chargers are middling in the same categories, especially points per game, where they rank 20th. A win brings the Patriots their first home playoff victory since 2018.

    Pick: Patriots 24, Chargers 20

    Texans (12-5) at Steelers (10-7)

    Time: 5:15 p.m. Monday, ABC, ESPN
    Line/total: Texans -3, 38

    Analysis: The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 23 straight home games on “Monday Night Football.” Pair that streak with this one: In the Texans’ 24-year franchise history, they have yet to win a road playoff game, going 0-6. Houston’s top-ranked defense will try to end these streaks, and you can be sure Steelers coach Mike Tomlin and quarterback Aaron Rodgers have had many late-night film sessions this week looking for a weakness to exploit.

    Pick: Steelers 20, Texans 17

    in reply to: Service Plays – NFL & NCAAF & NHL! – Jan 7-11+, 2026 #542332
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Circa Contest selections (Three picks per finalists):

    Leader Chris Macero: Best Bet: Houston-Pittsburgh OVER 38 (Best Bet)
    Panthers +8 vs. Rams
    49ers +5- at Eagles

    Chris “The Bear” Fallica:
    Best Bet: Oregon +3 vs. Indiana (LOST)
    Oregon-Indiana Under 44.5 (LOST)
    49ers at Eagles Under 44.5

    Jason Jarvis:
    Chargers +3.5 at Pats (Best Bet)
    Packers -1.5 at Bears
    Steelers +3.5 vs. Houston

    Scott Pritchard:
    Oregon-Indiana Over 48.5 (Winner) (Best Bet)
    Packers-Bears Under 44.5
    49ers at Eagles Under 44.5

    Kenny White:
    Indiana -3 vs. Oregon (Winner) (Best Bet)
    Steelers +3 vs. Texans
    Packers at Bears Under 44.5

    Frank Carulli:
    Chargers +3.5 at Patriots (Best Bet)
    Bills at Panthers Over 46
    Bills Pick at Jaguars

    Matt Ste. Marie:
    Bills at Jaguars Over 51.5 (Best Bet)
    Patriots -3.5 vs. Chargers
    Texans at Steelers Under 38

    Edwin Meyer/Carl Sack:
    Chargers +3.5 at Patriots (Best Bet)
    Rams at Panthers Under 46
    Oregon-Indiana Under 48.5 (Lost)

    in reply to: Service Plays – NFL & NCAAF & NHL! – Jan 7-11+, 2026 #542298
    bimmercando
    Participant

    Marc Lawrence NFL 5* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR 33-0
    LA Chargers + 3 1/2 over the New England Patriots

    ML’s write up in Playbook,
    La Chargers over NE by 2
    “SUNDAY – JANUARY 11 8:15 PM ET – NBC
    The Chargers rotated through 25 different five-man offensive line
    combinations over 17 games this season. As a result, QB Justin Herbert
    took 129 quarterback hits this year, the second-highest single-season
    total. “He has to be the most … mentally tough dude of all time,” Chargers edge rusher Khalil Mack said. Additionally, Herbert was pressured on 42.8 percent of his 615 drop-backs, the highest rate in the league, while being sacked 54 times. With that, two words best describe Herbert: elite and toughness. The same two words are often used in discussions about Chargers’ head coach Jim Harbaugh, who brings a 61-41-5 all-time ATS record in his NFL career into this game, including 5-1 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points following consecutive losses. On the other side of the field is the “most improved team” in the league this season, the Patriots.
    They improved from 4-13 (.235 winning percentage) in 2024 to 14-3 (.824) in 2025, an increase of +10 wins. This sets the stage for today’s game, as the Well-Oiled Machine notes that NFL playoff teams that won 4 or fewer games last season are just 6-10 SU and 3-13 ATS as favorites in their first postseason since 1996. That’s not promising news when facing one of the NFL’s stingiest units (top-10 in points/yards allowed, fewest 20+ yard passes allowed), one that did not allow more than 20 points in each of its final six games of the season.

    ( Has me scared with NE. I’m going to hide behind a Teaser here. )

    bimmercando
    Participant

    Marc Lawrence NFL 5* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR 33-0
    LA Chargers + 3 1/2 over the New England Patriots

    ML’s write up in Playbook,
    La Chargers over NE by 2
    “SUNDAY – JANUARY 11 8:15 PM ET – NBC
    The Chargers rotated through 25 different five-man offensive line
    combinations over 17 games this season. As a result, QB Justin Herbert
    took 129 quarterback hits this year, the second-highest single-season
    total. “He has to be the most … mentally tough dude of all time,” Chargers edge rusher Khalil Mack said. Additionally, Herbert was pressured on 42.8 percent of his 615 drop-backs, the highest rate in the league, while being sacked 54 times. With that, two words best describe Herbert: elite and toughness. The same two words are often used in discussions about Chargers’ head coach Jim Harbaugh, who brings a 61-41-5 all-time ATS record in his NFL career into this game, including 5-1 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points following consecutive losses. On the other side of the field is the “most improved team” in the league this season, the Patriots.
    They improved from 4-13 (.235 winning percentage) in 2024 to 14-3 (.824) in 2025, an increase of +10 wins. This sets the stage for today’s game, as the Well-Oiled Machine notes that NFL playoff teams that won 4 or fewer games last season are just 6-10 SU and 3-13 ATS as favorites in their first postseason since 1996. That’s not promising news when facing one of the NFL’s stingiest units (top-10 in points/yards allowed, fewest 20+ yard passes allowed), one that did not allow more than 20 points in each of its final six games of the season.

    ( Has me scared with NE. I’m going to hide behind a Teaser here. )

    in reply to: Service Plays – NFL & NCAAF & NHL! – Jan 7-11+, 2026 #542296
    bimmercando
    Participant

    All those total idiots who made Oregon their key play.
    These service guys are not worth the copying and pasting.

    in reply to: Service Plays – NFL & NCAAF & NHL! – Jan 7-11+, 2026 #542278
    bimmercando
    Participant

    New Day!

    Pickswise Sports

    CFB
    4* Oregon +4
    2* Over 47.5

    Sharp Football Analysis

    CFB Oregon +4

    Wes Reynolds
    CFB – Indiana -165 (Moneyline)

    David Racey
    CFB Oregon +4

    Kim Smith

    CFB
    5* Under 49
    4* Indiana -3.5

    Matt Youmans
    Oregon +3.5

    Dave Tuley
    CFB – Oregon/Indiana Under 47

    Porter Picks
    CFB 7 units Indiana -3.5

    Clay Travis
    CFB (Play of the Week) – Indiana -3

    Clutch Points Sports
    CFB
    Indiana -3.5
    Over 46.5

    Zachary Cohen

    CFB – Indiana -3.5

    Ross Benjamin
    CFB Playoffs Golden Total
    3% Oregon/Indiana under 46.5 (+105)

    Marc Lawrence
    Huge Triple Perfect College Bowl Kill Play!
    4* Oregon

    Gianni The Greek
    5% Oregon Ducks +4.5
    3% [CFB] Oregon – Indiana First Half Total Under +23.5 (-115)

    Big Al McMordie
    5* BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR
    5* Oregon +3.5, 7:30 pm

    Brandon Lang
    The Pick: My 150 Dime winner is the Indiana Hoosiers

    Colin Cowherd
    Indiana (-3 1/2) 33-28 Hoosiers

    Smart Money Sports
    4u Ducks +3.5
    2u Ducks ML

    CBB
    2U USC +4

    The Gold Sheet
    5% Ore/Ind over 46.5 (up to 48)

    Jack Jones

    20* Indiana -3

    20* Akron/Bowling Green o164.5
    15* Cleveland State/Oakland o172.5

    20* Thunder/Grizzlies u230
    20* Hawks/Nuggets o232
    20* Rockets/Trail Blazers u221.5 15* Suns

    Gianni the Greek
    3% Oregon/Indiana 1H u23.5 (-115)
    5% Oregon Ducks +4.5

    BIG AL’s 5* BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR
    5* Oregon +3.5

    SmartMoneySports
    Oregon Ducks +3.5 – 105 (4U, 7:30e)
    Oregon Ducks ML +155 (2u, 7:30e)
    USC Trojans +4 -110 (2u, 8:30e)

    bimmercando
    Participant
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