Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 11/28/19
Thursday’s college basketball
@ Brooklyn
Memphis won five of its first six games vs schedule #298, forcing turnovers 26% of time (#13); they’ve grabbed 36.3% of their own rebounds (#25). Tigers are experience team #353 (last) whose bench plays #15 minutes; they start four freshmen and a senior. Memphis split pair of top 100 games, losing by 8 at Oregon. NC State won its last five games after an OT loss to Ga Tech; they’ve played schedule #334. Wolfpack is experience team #62 that starts two seniors, one junior. State forces turnovers 23.4% of time (#45).
@ Kissimmee, FL
Maryland won its first five games vs schedule #329, with best win by 18 over #93 Rhode Island. Terps are experience team #310 (#9 in continuity) that is forcing turnovers 22.6% of time (#58) but is shooting only 28.7% on arc- they start three sophs and a junior, have #36 eFG% defense in country. Temple won its first four games vs schedule #214, winning by 9 at USC in its only game outside of Philly; Owls are experience team #45 that starts two seniors, three juniors- they’re forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#53) for new coach McKie.
Texas A&M won three of first four games vs schedule #346- they haven’t beaten a top 200 team yet. Aggies are experience team #177 that is forcing turnovers 23.1% of the (#52)- they haven’t played in eight days. A&M is shooting only 22.7% on arc, turning ball over 21.6% of time (#260)- they start three seniors, one junior. Harvard is experience team #46 that won three of first five games vs schedule #280; they’re 0-2 vs teams in top 150, losing by 5 to Northeastern, by 12 to Buffalo. Harvard is 3-0 allowing 74 or fewer points, 0-2 when they allow more than 74.
Long trip east for USC team that won five of first six games vs schedule #268, winning only road game at Nevada by 10; Trojans are experience team #221 that starts three frosh, two seniors- they won their two games vs teams outside the top 200, by 29-11 points. USC is grabbing 34.2% of its own misses (#48). Fairfield lost four of first five games vs schedule #190, while playing tempo #349- their only win was in OT over #330 Holy Cross. Stags are experience team #120 that starts two juniors, two seniors; they lost their only top 100 game by 19 to Maryland.
Marquette won three of first four games vs schedule #124, with lone loss by 16 at Wisconsin; Eagles are #56 experience team that starts two seniors, one junior- they’re making 41% of their 3’s (#18). Marquette has #15 eFG% defense this year, opponents are shooting only 38% inside arc against them. Davidson lost three of first five games, vs schedule #107; Wildcats have #295 defensive eFG%- teams are shooting 55.9% inside arc against them. Davidson lost both its top 100 games, by 10 to Auburn on a neutral floor, by 12 to Wake Forest.
Battle for Atlantis
Iowa State won three of first five games vs schedule #203, losing to Michigan by 7 Wednesday; they’re 0-2 in top 100 games, also losing by 6 at Oregon State. Cyclones are experience team #226 that starts two sophs, two seniors- they’ve forced turnovers 24.9% of time so far (#23). Alabama lost three of first five games vs schedule #67, while playing 3rd-fastest pace in country. Crimson Tide is experience team #299 whose bench plays #230 minutes- their two best guys played 36, 38 minutes last nite. Alabama is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#296).
Michigan won its first five games for new coach Juwan Howard vs schedule #270; Wolverines beat Creighton by 10, Iowa State by 7 for their best wins so far. Michigan is experience team #108 that starts two seniors, two juniors and is shooting 40.5% on arc, 61.7% inside arc- their eFG% is #2 in country. North Carolina won its first five games vs schedule #222; Tar Heels are experience team #223 that starts two frosh, one soph- they played three starters 32:00+ in their 76-67 win yesterday. Michigan made 10-21 on arc in its 83-76 win over Iowa St. Wednesday.
Seton Hall is 4-2 vs schedule #175, with losses by 3 at home to Michigan State, by 2 to Oregon last nite, when Pirates blew 19-point 2nd half lead. Seton Hall is experience team #89 that starts three seniors, two juniors; they’re forcing turnovers 21.5% of time, have the #42 eFG% defense in country, but they had two guys banged up right at end of last night’s game (check status). Southern Miss is 0-4 vs D-I teams, scoring 61.5 ppg; they have two non-D-I wins; Golden Eagles are experience team #246 that is turning ball over 22.2% of time, shooting only 28.6% on arc.
Oregon is 6-0 vs schedule #58, despite having only three players back from LY; Ducks rallied back from down 19 last nite to nip Seton Hall, playing only one guy 30:00+. Oregon has made 41.4% of its 3’s (#16), 55.9% of their 2’s (#34)- they already have top 50 wins over Memphis/Houston/Seton Hall. Gonzaga won its first seven games vs schedule #342, with only top 100 win by 30 at #95 Texas A&M. Zags are experience team #244 that is making 41.5% of its 3’s (#13). Gonzaga is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#74); they’re stepping up in class here.
Wooden Legacy, Anaheim
Wake Forest won three of its first five games vs schedule #158; Deacons are experience team #148 that starts three seniors and a freshman- they’ve made 39.2% of their 3’s (#34). Wake turns ball over 20.1% of time (#201), which could be a problem vs Charleston’s defense. Charleston won three of first five games, losing last game by point at UCF; Cougars are #69 experience team that starts two seniors, two juniors. Charleston gets 22.6% of its points on foul line (#49)- they shoot only 27.3% on arc, but don’t take that many 3’s.
Arizona won its first six games vs schedule #328, with best wins over New Mexico State, Illinois; Wildcats are experience team #274 that starts three frosh, two seniors- they’re forcing turnovers 27.6% of time (#7), have #18 eFG% defense and are also making 41.2% of their 3’s. Pepperdine split its first six games, losing by 16 to Cal, by 7 at USC, two Pac-12 teams. Waves are experience team #160 that starts three juniors, one senior- they’ve made 40% of their 3’s (#28) while playing pace #44, but their opponents are making 40.2% of their 3’s. Not a good defensive team.
@ Las Vegas
Texas Tech won its first five game vs schedule #352, 2nd-easiest schedule so far; Red Raiders haven’t played a team ranked higher than #246 so far, so they’re moving way up in class here. Tech has made 42.4% of its 3’s (#10); they’re experience team #329 that starts two frosh, one soph, which explains the soft early schedule. Iowa won four of its first five games, all at home; they got whacked 93-78 at home by DePaul. Hawkeyes experience team #257 who’s bench plays #38 minutes; they’re getting 23.1% of their points on foul line (#36).
San Diego State won its first six games vs schedule #288; Aztecs’ only top 150 win was by 5 at BYU, which was only team to score more than 64 points against them. State is forcing turnovers 23.5% of time (#42); they’ve got #12 eFG% defense, are #88 experience team that has made 37.3% of its 3’s (#59). Creighton won four of its first five games vs schedule #296; they’re experience team #250 that starts three juniors, two sophs. Bluejays are shooting 41.5% on arc (#15), getting 38.8% of their points on arc (#45)- their loss was by 10 at Michigan.
Dunkel NCAAB
Tennessee St @ Cal Poly
Game 785-786
November 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee St
49.866
Cal Poly
40.286
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee St
by 9 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee St
by 6 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee St
(-6 1/2); Over
NC State @ Memphis
Game 759-760
November 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
NC State
68.847
Memphis
64.164
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 4 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 1 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(-1 1/2); Under
USC @ Fairfield
Game 765-766
November 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
USC
63.844
Fairfield
45.049
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 19
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 14 1/2
129
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(-14 1/2); Under
Oregon @ Gonzaga
Game 771-772
November 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oregon
00.000
Gonzaga
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
N/A
Wake Forest @ Coll of Charleston
Game 779-780
November 28, 2019 @ 4:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
57.634
Coll of Charlesto
58.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coll of Charlesto
by 1
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 2 1/2
142
Dunkel Pick:
Coll of Charlesto
(+2 1/2); Under
LIU-Brooklyn @ North Florida
Game 787-788
November 28, 2019 @ 4:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LIU-Brooklyn
46.578
North Florida
53.166
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Florida
by 6 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Florida
by 4
152
Dunkel Pick:
North Florida
(-4); Over
Davidson @ Marquette
Game 767-768
November 28, 2019 @ 6:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Davidson
58.438
Marquette
63.954
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marquette
by 5 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marquette
by 3 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Marquette
(-3 1/2); Under
Alabama @ Iowa State
Game 773-774
November 28, 2019 @ 6:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
00.000
Iowa State
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
N/A
Texas Tech @ Iowa
Game 789-790
November 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
75.203
Iowa
62.072
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 13
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 6 1/2
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(-6 1/2); Under
UCF @ Pennsylvania
Game 781-782
November 28, 2019 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
UCF
62.156
Pennsylvania
56.108
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCF
by 6
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pennsylvania
by 3
138
Dunkel Pick:
UCF
(+3); Over
Seton Hall @ Southern Miss
Game 775-776
November 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seton Hall
00.000
Southern Miss
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seton Hall
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seton Hall
Dunkel Pick:
Seton Hall
N/A
Creighton @ San Diego St
Game 791-792
November 28, 2019 @ 10:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Creighton
64.118
San Diego St
67.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 3
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 1
133
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-1); Under
Pepperdine @ Arizona
Game 783-784
November 28, 2019 @ 11:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Pepperdine
55.443
Arizona
67.295
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 12
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 15
154
Dunkel Pick:
Pepperdine
(+15); Over
Thursday's Tip Sheet
November 27, 2019
By David Schwab
The Thanksgiving Day Holiday offers up a pair of neutral-site games in Las Vegas and Anaheim as the two featured college basketball betting matchups on the board.
From Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, the Big 12’s No. 12 Texas Tech Red Raiders face the Big Ten’s Iowa Hawkeyes. Moving to the Anaheim Convention Center for the second featured game, the West Coast Conference Pepperdine Waves close out Thursday’s college basketball schedule in a late start against the Pac-12’s No. 14 Arizona Wildcats
No. 12 Texas Tech vs. Iowa (FOX Sports 1, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Texas Tech -6.5, Total 146
Betting Matchup
With Sunday’s 96-66 romp against LIU-Brooklyn as 24-point favorites, the Red Raiders improved to a perfect 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 against the spread. The total has gone OVER in three of the five games. The No. 12 team in the nation is ranked ninth in scoring with an average of 87.0 points per game. This is also the top team in the country when it comes to team assists (22.0). Freshman guard Jahmi’us Ramsey is the leading scorer (19.4 PPG) and senior guard Chris Clarke is averaging 5.8 assists a game.
Iowa has won four of its first five games SU. Its lone loss was against DePaul in a 93-78 upset as a nine-point favorite. The Hawkeyes also failed to cover in an 83-68 victory against North Florida as 16-point favorites. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in four of those first five outings. Junior center Luka Garza scored a career-high 30 points in a recent win against Oral Roberts. He leads the Hawkeyes in both points (22.2) and rebounds (10.2). Iowa is averaging 84.0 points and 40.2 rebounds a game. One injury note; sophomore forward Jack Nunge was lost for the season with a torn ACL.
Betting Trends
-- The Red Raiders are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games against the Big Ten. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games against a team from this conference.
-- The Hawkeyes have gone 11-1 ATS in their last 12 neutral-site games with the total going OVER in five of their last six games against the Big 12.
-- These two teams played a home-and-home series in 2003 and 2004 with the home team winning each time SU. The total stayed UNDER in each contest.
Pepperdine vs. No. 14 Arizona (ESPN2, 11:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Arizona -14.5, Total 154.5
Betting Matchup
The Waves have split their first six games both SU and ATS. This includes losses to other Pac-12 teams’ California and USC. They did cover as 11 ½-point underdogs in the 91-84 road loss to the Trojans. The total has gone OVER in five of those six games. Junior guard Colbey Ross leads the team in both points (20.7) and assists (7.0). He scored 38 points in the loss to USC. Pepperdine is scoring an average of 78.5 PPG and it is giving up an average of 79.8 points on defense.
Arizona has won its first six games SU with a profitable 5-1 record ATS. It failed to cover as heavy 25-point favorites in a 71-74 victory against South Dakota State last Thursday. On Sunday, the Wildcats pulled away from Long Beach State in a 104-67 win as 25 ½-point favorites. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their first six games. Arizona is scoring 87.7 PPG which is the sixth-highest average in the nation. Defensively, it is holding opponents to just 57.3 points. Freshman forward Zeke Nnaji leads the team in scoring with 19.5 points a game.
Betting Trends
-- The Waves have a 4-1 record ATS in their last five games played at a neutral site. The total has gone OVER in six of their last seven nonconference games.
-- The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the West Coast Conference and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five WCC games.
-- The only time these two teams met was in 2001 with Arizona rolling to a 94-71 victory at home as a 13 ½-point favorite.