MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, April 18th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Nationals @ Braves
Scherzer is 1-1, 3.55 in his first two starts (over 1-1).
Foltynewicz allowed two runs in 3.2 IP (91 PT) in his first ’17 start, a 5-4 loss in Pittsburgh. He pitched a couple innings in relief in a game since then.
Washington won four of its last six games; three of their last four stayed under. Atlanta won its last five games; eight of their last ten games went over the total.
Phillies @ Mets
Eflin is making his first ’17 start; he is 3-5, 5.54 in 11 MLB starts, all LY. He threw five scoreless innings in his only AAA start this year.
Wheeler is 1-1, 7.45 in his first two ’17 starts (over 2-0).
Phillies lost five of their last six games; under is 4-2 in their road games. New York lost their last three games, all lost by the bullpen; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.
Pirates @ Cardinals
Kuhl is 1-0, 3.18 in his first two starts (over 1-1).
Leake is 1-1, 0.60 in his first two starts (under 2-0).
Pittsburgh won three of its last four games; under is 6-1 in their road games. St Louis is off to a 4-9 start; four of their last five games stayed under.
Brewers @ Cubs
Nelson is 1-0, 1.38 in his first two ’17 starts (under 2-0).
Anderson is 1-0, 0.84 in his first two ’17 starts (under 2-0).
Brewers won six of their first seven road games; under is 5-2 in their road games. Cubs lost their last four games; under is 5-2 in their home games.
Diamondbacks @ Padres
Miller is 1-1, 5.06 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-0-1).
Cosart blanked the Rockies for four innings (70 PT) in Denver in his first ’17 start.
Arizona is 8-4 in its last 12 games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Padres lost their last four games; under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Rockies @ Dodgers
Freeland 1-1, 5.91 in his first two ’17 starts (under 2-0).
Ryu is 0-2, 5.79 in his first two starts (under 2-0). Dodgers scored one run in those games.
Colorado won three of last four games; under is 5-1 in their last six road games. Dodgers are 5-3 at home; three of their last five home games went over.
American League
Chicago @ New York
Gonzalez is 1-0, 4.22 in his first two starts (over 1-1).
Severino is 1-0, 4.50 in his first two starts (over 1-1).
White Sox won four of their last six games; under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Bronx won its last eight games; they’re 7-0 at home. Three of their last five games stayed under.
Red Sox @ Blue Jays
Johnson is making his first ’17 start; he allowed four runs in 4.1 IP in his only MLB start, in 2015. He is 0-0, 1.69 in two AAA starts this year.
Stroman 1-1, 1.76 in his first two ’17 starts (under 2-0).
Boston won its last three games; under is 8-5 in its games. Toronto is off to a 2-10 start, 1-5 at home. Under is 8-4 in their games.
Tigers @ Rays
Fulmer is 1-0, 2.25 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-1).
Andriese is 0-0, 5.40 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-1).
Detroit won five of its last seven games; over is 4-1 in their road games. Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Indians @ Twins
Tomlin allowed 13 runs in 6.1 IP in losing his first two ’17 starts (over 2-0).
Hughes is 2-0, 3.86 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-1).
Cleveland lost four of its last six games; over is 4-3 in their road games. Minnesota lost five of its last seven games; their last five home tilts stayed under total.
Angels @ Astros
Nolasco is 0-2, 5.40 in three starts this season (over 2-1).
Musgrove is 1-0, 4.22 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-1).
Angels lost their last six games; they got shut out in last two— under is 7-1 in their road games. Astros won six of last seven games; six of their last eight games went over.
Rangers @ A’s
Darvish 1-1, 2.33 in his first three ’17 starts (over 2-1).
Triggs is 2-0, 0.77 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-1).
Texas lost three of last four games; their bullpen is already 1-5. Over is 4-3 in their road games. Oakland lost its last four games; three of its last five games went over.
Interleague
Orioles @ Reds
Gausman 1-0, 3.94 in his first three ’17 starts (under 2-1)
Arroyo is 0-2, 9.90 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-1).
Orioles won four of last five games; over is 6-3 in their last nine. Cincinnati lost three of last four games; under is 4-3 in their home tilts.
Giants @ Royals
Cain is 1-0, 5.00 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-0-1).
Hammel is 0-2, 6.52 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-1).
Giants lost three of last four games; they’re 2-5 on road (over 6-1). Royals won their last four games; under is 5-1 in their home games.
Marlins @ Mariners
Chen is 1-0, 7.00 in his first two ’17 starts, both against the Mets (over 2-0).
Gallardo is 0-1, 6.30 in his first two ’17 starts (over 1-1).
Marlins won three of last four games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Seattle won its last four games; three of their last four games stayed under.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
Wsh-Atl: Scherzer 1-1; Foltynewicz 0-1
Phil-NY: Eflin 0-0; Wheeler 1-1
Mil-Chi: Nelson 2-0; Anderson 1-1
Pitt-StL: Kuhl 1-1; Leake 1-1
Az-SD: Miller 1-1; Cosart 1-0
Col-LA: Freeland 1-1; Ryu 0-2
American League
Chi-NY: Gonzalez 2-0; Severino 1-1
Bos-Tor: Johnson 0-0; Stroman 1-1
Det-TB: Fulmer 2-0; Andriese 1-1
LA-Hst: Nolasco 1-2; Musgrove 1-1
Cle-Min: Tomlin 0-2; Hughes 2-0
Tex-A’s: Darvish 2-1; Triggs 2-0
Interleague
Balt-Cin: Gausman 3-0; Arroyo 0-2
SF-KC: Cain 1-1; Hammel 0-2
Mia-Sea: Chen 1-1; Gallardo 0-2
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Wsh-Atl: Scherzer 1-2; Foltynewicz 0-1
Phil-NY: Eflin 0-0; Wheeler 0-2
Mil-Chi: Nelson 1-2; Anderson 0-2
Pitt-StL: Kuhl 0-2; Leake 0-2
Az-SD: Miller 1-2; Cosart 0-1
Col-LA: Freeland 1-2; Ryu 2-2
American League
Chi-NY: Gonzalez 1-1; Severino 1-2
Bos-Tor: Johnson 0-0; Stroman 0-2
Det-TB: Fulmer 1-1; Andriese 2-2
LA-Hst: Nolasco 2-3; Musgrove 0-2
Cle-Min: Tomlin 1-2; Hughes 2-2
Tex-A’s: Darvish 0-3; Triggs 0-2
Interleague
Balt-Cin: Gausman 0-3; Arroyo 1-1
SF-KC: Cain 2-2; Hammel 0-2
Mia-Sea: Chen 1-2; Gallardo 1-2
Umpires
National League
Mil-Chi: Six of last eight Miller games stayed under.
Pitt-StL: Underdogs are 8-7 in last fifteen Cederstrom games.
American League
Chi-NY: Seven of last nine Ripperger games went over.
LA-Hst: Home side won ten of last twelve Reyburn games.
Clev-Min: Under is 3-0-1 in last four Fletcher games.
Tex-A’s: Under is 9-2 in last eleven Everitt games.
Interleague
Mia-Sea: Four of last five Winters games went over total.
Armadillosports.com
Scorching Yankees host White Sox
By: StatFox.com
The Yankees will be going for their ninth straight win when they host the White Sox on Tuesday.
The White Sox were unable to take the first game of this series from the Yankees, as they lost 7-4 on Monday night. Chicago had won four of five before losing that game, so the team is still going to be fairly confident when it takes the field on Tuesday. It will not, however, be as confident as this Yankees team. New York has won eight straight games coming into this one and the team has seen some excellent performances from its pitching staff. The Yankees have allowed four runs or fewer in eight straight games, and the team will be hoping that its starters can continue to perform at a high level. The rotation was a major question mark coming into this season, so New York must feel like it can make a postseason run if that unit is delivering. Trying to keep New York hot will be RHP Luis Severino (1-0, 4.50 ERA, 17 K), who is coming off of the best start of his young career. Trying to outduel the youngster will be RHP Miguel Gonzalez (1-0, 4.22 ERA, 11 K) for Chicago. The trends in this one favor the White Sox, as evidenced by the Yankees’ 1-8 record against the money line in the first half of the season with Severino on the mound over the past two seasons.
The White Sox might be coming off of a loss, but this team is playing pretty well heading into Tuesday’s contest. Chicago has won four of its past six games, and that is without much help from 1B Jose Abreu (.170 BA, 0 HR, 5 RBI). Abreu has gone hitless in four straight games, which makes it very impressive that the White Sox have found ways to win. Fortunately for Chicago, Abreu is 3-for-5 with two RBI against Luis Severino in his career. That means he should be confident that he’ll get on track Tuesday. Another player to watch out for offensively is DH Avisail Garcia (.447 BA, 2 HR, 10 RBI). Garcia is off to a ridiculous start to this season, and he will be hoping to stay hot in this one. As for the pitching, it won’t be easy for Gonzalez to keep this Yankees team in check in this one. He must, however, do everything he can to keep the ball down here. If he hangs too many pitches then he is not going to get out of this start with a lead. He only pitched to five groundballs in his last start, and he was much more effective when he got 11 on the ground in his first start of the year.
The Yankees are rolling right now and OF Aaron Judge (.275 BA, 4 HR, 11 RBI) is as hot as could be for the team. Judge has homered in four of the past seven games for the Yankees, and he also has recorded two hits in four of the past seven as well. Judge is making much better contact this season and that is making him a lot more dangerous at the plate. Look for him to put some fear into Gonzalez in this one. 2B Starlin Castro (.365 BA, 2 HR, 6 RBI) could also do some damage in this one. Castro has gotten at least one hit in nine of the past 10 games, and he has recorded six RBI in that span. He’s really in a groove at the plate and it’s not likely he’ll slow down soon. As for Severino, the righty should be feeling very good coming into this one. He struck out 11 batters in his last trip to the mound, and he’ll just need to do his best to avoid the long-ball in this one.
MLB Daily Line Drive
Covers.com
The baseball schedule can be tough to navigate for even a seasoned baseball bettor. We break down all the betting angles for you including picks, trends, weather and analysis to help you handicap the MLB like a pro.
Double-Play Picks
Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees (-190, 7.5)
The Chicago White Sox are not exactly an offensive juggernaught. Coming in to tonight's game they rank No. 21 in baseball with a .231 batting average and they have only popped 11 home runs this season. However, a road game at Yankee Stadium can change everything.
The total for this game has actually dropped from the opening number of 8.5 down to the current number of 7.5. This move is because of the wind direction, which will be blowing in from right field tonight, but a wind strength of only 5-10 miles per hour shouldn't really be a major factor.
The White Sox are throwing a mediocre starter at the Yankees tonight (Miguel Gonzalez - 1-0, 4.22 ERA) and their young, live bats should eat him alive.
Like any time betting an Over involving the Yankees, their dominant late inning relievers cause a little bit of anxiety...but hopefully this game will hit eight runs long before the late innings.
Pick: Over 7.5
Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (+115, 7)
It's time for the Andrew Triggs string of successful starts to run out. His weird delivery and very good sinker have produced a pair of wins and an ERA of 0.00 thus far in 2017. But let's be honest, he is not Clayton Kershaw and he is putting up Kershaw-like numbers.
Today, Triggs and the A's host Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers. Darvish has only allowed one earned run in his last two outings and is coming off a stellar seven shutout innings with 10 strikeouts in his last start in Los Angeles against the Angels.
Don't expect Triggs to fully blow up and give up 10 runs, but Darvish should dominate the A's and come out with a win somewhere in the 3-1 or 4-1 range. Getting Darvish at -130 is too good to pass up.
Pick: Texas -130
Record to date: 5-3
Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
Streaking: Mike Leake, St. Louis Cardinals (1-1, 0.60 ERA, $4)
It has been a tough start to the season for the Cardinals, but you can’t put any of the blame on the shoulders of Mike Leake.
Leake has come out of the gates firing. In his first two starts he has pitched 15 innings to the tune of a 0.60 ERA with 13 strikeouts and just one walk. Additionally, batters are hitting just .208 against him this season and he faces a Pirates club that is hitting just .228 as a team.
Slumping: Josh Tomlin, Cleveland Indians (0-2, 18.47 ERA, $-344)
It has been nothing short of a disastrous start to the season for Tomlin, who has managed to pitch just 6.1 innings in his first two starts.
He allowed six runs on seven hits in 4.2 innings in his first start of the season at Arizona and followed that up with by allowing seven runs on eight hits in just 1.2 innings against the White Sox. Plus, batters are hitting a ridiculous .500 off Tomlin this year. He visits the Twins Monday.
Tuesday’s Top Trends
* The New York Yankees are 8-0 in their last eight overall. Yankees -183 vs. White Sox
* The Under is 9-0 in Marcus Stroman’s last nine starts overall. O/U 8.5 vs. Red Sox
* The Detroit Tigers are 6-0 in the last six meetings against the Tampa Bay Rays. Tigers +105
* The Under is 9-1 in the Minnesota Twins’ last 10 games overall. O/U 9 vs. Indians
Weather to Keep an Eye On
It should be windy and a bit chilly tonight in Minnesota, when the Twins host the Cleveland Indians. Temperatures will be in the low 50’s for the game with a moderate 14-16 mile per hour hitters wind gusting out over the right field fence. Skies will be overcast but there is a minimal chance of precipitation. The total for the game is currently 9.
Ump of the Day
D.J. Reyburn: Reyburn will be calling balls and strikes for tonight’s game in Houston between the Angels and Astros and if recent history means anything that bodes well for the ‘Stros. The home team is 10-3 in the last 13 games (76.9 percent) Reyburn has officiated and 30-22 (57.7 percent) since the start of 2015. Reyburn also has a very low strike rate so far this season at just 60.3 percent. Houston is currently a -163 home favorite with a total of 8.5.