Boston College travels to South Bend on Saturday afternoon for the latest edition of the Holy War, and the betting market expects a lopsided result. Notre Dame is a 29-point favorite, and the total sits at 51.5. Both numbers have dropped since the line opened earlier in the week. Notre Dame arrives off a signature win over then-No. 1 Miami, while Boston College has lost two straight. The analysis below weighs the letdown spot, the line movement and a short-handed home defense before landing on two picks and a third angle.
Boston College vs. Notre Dame — Game Info
| Where | Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend IN |
| When | November 14 – 3:30 PM ET |
| TV | NBC |
Boston College vs. Notre Dame Betting Preview
The quarterback matchup frames this game. CJ Carr has thrown 21 touchdown passes against one interception this season. He was sharp in the biggest game of his year, completing 29 of 40 passes for 319 yards in the 31-24 win over top-ranked Miami. Micah Gilbert caught two touchdowns in that game, and Jordan Faison added 77 receiving yards.
Mason McKenzie gives Boston College a different kind of problem. He has 1,616 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions, and he completes 57.2% of his throws. However, he is also the team’s leading rusher, with 676 net rushing yards and five scores on 145 carries. Notre Dame head coach Marcus Freeman singled him out this week as a threat with both his legs and his arm.
Notre Dame is 8-1 and ranked No. 3 in the AP Top 25. It sits No. 5 in the second College Football Playoff rankings. The defense allows 251 yards per game. Boston College is 4-5 and has dropped two straight, a 47-2 loss at Duke and a 31-24 home loss to Florida State. Florida State is back on the field this week too, and our Florida State vs Pittsburgh prediction breaks down that ACC matchup.
Boston College scores 21.9 points per game and allows 27.0. Meanwhile, Notre Dame’s defense is thin. Linebacker Drayk Bowen and cornerback DJ McKinney are out. Defensive linemen Francis Brewu and Jason Onye are questionable after missing the Miami game. This is a non-conference game, with Boston College playing out of the ACC. Notre Dame has won the last 10 meetings, including a 25-10 win in Chestnut Hill last season.
Boston College vs. Notre Dame Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | +29.0 (-108) | +1800 | O 51.5 (-115) |
| Notre Dame | -29.0 (-112) | -10000 | U 51.5 (-105) |
Odds accurate as of November 14, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NCAAF Odds – Futures – Props
Boston College vs. Notre Dame — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Boston College | 43% | 57% | Notre Dame |
See the latest College Football Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Boston College vs. Notre Dame Prediction — Does 1993 Still Haunt South Bend?
The spot matters as much as the talent gap here. Notre Dame is coming off its biggest win of the season, and Freeman spent the week warning his team about a letdown. That warning carries history. In 1993, Notre Dame beat top-ranked Florida State 31-24 and then lost to Boston College the following week. This is a genuine rivalry, so recent form deserves a little less weight than usual.
The market agrees, at least slightly. The spread opened at 30 and now sits at 29, even though 57% of spread tickets are on Notre Dame. That is reverse line movement, a move against the majority of bets. The shift is modest, but it points the same way as the situational read. The moneyline has not budged from its opening price, so the movement has come entirely on the spread and the total. In addition, Boston College is 5-4 against the spread this season. Notre Dame, meanwhile, has failed to cover in each of its last three games (0-2-1). Boston College’s defense also has 12 interceptions, which gives it a way to shorten the game. Last season’s 15-point margin in this series fell well short of this number.
The case against is real. Boston College just lost 47-2 at Duke, and McKenzie threw for only 87 yards that night. Notre Dame’s defense allows 251 yards per game, and its starters could build a big lead early. At -108, the break-even rate is 51.9%. Still, a four-touchdown-plus cushion against a favorite coming off an emotional peak is enough to back the underdog.
The Pick: Boston College +29.0 (-108)
Boston College vs. Notre Dame Prediction — What Do 16 Touchdowns in 30 Red-Zone Trips Tell Us?
Boston College has reached the red zone 30 times this season and scored only 16 touchdowns. That conversion problem caps its scoring ceiling against a defense that gives up so little yardage. On the other side, Notre Dame’s ground game runs through Nolan James Jr. and Jonaz Walton. A comfortable lead built on the run keeps the clock moving in the second half. Boston College’s games have also stayed under the total in six of nine tries this season. The visitors also have a blueprint for controlling tempo. Boston College led Florida State 10-0 in the first quarter last week, and Bo MacCormack III ran for 105 yards in that game. A run-heavy plan from Boston College, paired with a Notre Dame team protecting a lead, would drain the clock from both sides. That is the most realistic path to a game that stays in the 40s.
The market confirms the read, but it has already taken some of the value. The total opened at 53.5 and has dropped to 51.5, so the best number is gone. The current price requires a 51.2% hit rate. Notre Dame’s own games have leaned toward the over this season, and Carr can stack touchdowns quickly. This pick also leans on the same input as the first. A slower, lower-scoring game is the most likely way Boston College stays inside the number, so the two plays are related rather than independent.
The Pick: Under 51.5 (-105)
Our Final Word on Boston College vs. Notre Dame
One more angle stands out. McKenzie has averaged about 75 net rushing yards per game, and Freeman made containing him a priority this week. The 40-yard threshold sits well below that average. However, college sacks count against rushing totals, and he managed only 24 rushing yards at Duke. Notre Dame’s defense has also been stingy all season. Even so, his volume as the team’s leading rusher makes this a worthwhile third play. It shares a theme with the side, since it depends on Boston College moving the ball enough to stay competitive.
The Pick: Mason McKenzie 40+ Rushing Yards (-105)
Boston College +29.0 (-108) is the top play, built on reverse line movement and a classic letdown spot for Notre Dame. The Under 51.5 (-105) follows because Boston College’s red-zone struggles cap its scoring and the total has already fallen two points. Mason McKenzie 40+ Rushing Yards (-105) rounds out the card on the strength of his 75-yard rushing average.
NCAAF Boston College vs. Notre Dame FAQ: November 14, 2026
What time does the Boston College vs. Notre Dame game start?
Boston College and Notre Dame kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The game is played at Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, Indiana. It is a non-conference matchup, with Boston College a member of the ACC this season, and it is Notre Dame’s first game since its win over Miami.
What channel is the Boston College vs. Notre Dame game on?
The Boston College vs. Notre Dame game airs nationally on NBC, which carries Notre Dame’s home schedule. Coverage begins with the 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff from Notre Dame Stadium. Viewers without a cable or antenna setup can also follow the broadcast through the network’s streaming service.
How can I stream the Boston College vs. Notre Dame game?
The Boston College vs. Notre Dame game streams on Peacock, alongside the NBC broadcast. A Peacock subscription is required to watch online. The stream starts with the 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff on Saturday, November 14, and covers the full game from South Bend.
Is Boston College or Notre Dame ranked?
Notre Dame is ranked No. 3 in the AP Top 25 and No. 5 in the College Football Playoff rankings released November 10. Boston College is unranked in both. Notre Dame moved up after its 31-24 win over then-No. 1 Miami, while Boston College enters at 4-5.
Who won the last meeting between Boston College and Notre Dame?
Notre Dame won the last meeting 25-10 in Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts, during the 2025 season. That result extended Notre Dame’s winning streak in the series to 10 straight games. Boston College is still looking for its first win over Notre Dame since that streak began.
What is Boston College’s record this season?
Boston College is 4-5 overall and 2-4 in ACC play this season. It has lost two straight, falling 47-2 at Duke on October 31 and 31-24 at home to Florida State on November 7. Those losses followed back-to-back wins over Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech.