Our Rice vs Stanford prediction looks at a Monday night non-conference game at Maples Pavilion, where Stanford is a 17-point favorite. Stanford closes a season-opening homestand looking for a 3-0 start, while Rice arrives at 1-1 after a one-point home loss. The number has already ticked a half-point off the opener. Below, we break down the rebounding battle, the freshman-heavy Stanford rotation and where the price stands before we land on our picks.
Rice vs. Stanford — Game Info
| Where | Maples Pavilion, Stanford, California |
| When | November 9 – 10:00 PM ET |
| TV | ACC Network Extra |
Rice vs. Stanford Betting Preview
Stanford is 2-0 after home wins over Eastern Washington, 74-65, and Oakland, 81-63. Kyle Smith is in his third season, and his rotation leans young. Three freshmen started against Oakland, and Julius Price is scoring 12.5 points per game. The veteran anchor is Nick Townsend. He is averaging 18.5 points and 7.0 rebounds per game, and he posted 25 points against Oakland on 8-of-11 shooting.
Rice, from the American Athletic Conference, is 1-1 under Rob Lanier. Rice routed Dallas Christian 100-55, then fell 72-71 to East Texas A&M at Tudor Fieldhouse. Jacob Dar leads them at 16.5 points per game, though he is shooting under 39% from the field.
Last season sets the baseline. Stanford won 20 games in its second ACC season and reached the College Basketball Crown, where it lost to West Virginia in overtime. Rice finished 13-18 and 7-11 in the American. Neither team is ranked this week. Barttorvik places Rice 241st nationally, with an adjusted defense rated 247th. In addition, ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Stanford a 91.4% chance to win. Stanford’s game preview listed no injuries, and no availability news had surfaced for Rice by Monday morning.
Style matters at this price. Both teams took about 44% of their shots from three last season, per Sports Reference. Stanford was the cleaner team with the ball, averaging 9.7 turnovers per game, while Rice averaged 11.5. Stanford also made 73.2% of its free throws to Rice’s 68.5%. Those are last season’s figures, however, and Stanford’s roster has changed since Ebuka Okorie left for the NBA. Treat them as context rather than conclusions. Rice, for its part, is forcing turnovers early, with 22 steals in two games.
Rice vs. Stanford Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | +17.0 (-105) | +1000 | O 146.0 (-110) |
| Stanford | -17.0 (-115) | -2200 | U 146.0 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of November 9, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NCAAB Odds – Futures – Props
Rice vs. Stanford Prediction — Who Owns the Glass at Maples Pavilion?
The clearest matchup edge in this game belongs to the underdog. Rice is averaging 49.5 rebounds per game through two contests, while Stanford is pulling down 31.0. That gap is inflated by the Dallas Christian blowout, so it will shrink. Still, Rice ranked 76th nationally in rebounds per game last season, and Stanford ranked 246th. Rice has size inside, too. Jimmy Oladokun Jr. is shooting 10-of-14 with five blocks, and Eternity Eguagie has 14 boards in two games. Second chances are how a big underdog keeps a game within reach.
The market offers mild support. Stanford opened at -17.5 and now sits at -17, and the moneyline has drifted from -3500 to -2200. Those moves point toward Rice, though public betting splits are not yet available to show who drove them. Meanwhile, Stanford’s two wins came by nine and 18 points. A freshman-heavy rotation also tends to produce uneven stretches in early November, which can stall a blowout. Rice’s price at -105 is slightly better than the standard -110, which lowers the break-even rate to about 51.2%.
The case against is real. Rice just lost at home to a team it beat a year ago, and its defense rates in the bottom third nationally. In addition, Rice has made under 33% of its threes on 70 attempts. Townsend is efficient enough to punish a weak perimeter defense, and Stanford is 7-0 against Rice in the meetings Sports Reference tracks. Because the line already moved, the best of the number is gone. This is also Rice’s first road game of the season, and home court carries more weight in college basketball than in the pros. This is a lean, not a strong play.
The Pick: Rice +17.0 (-105)
Rice vs. Stanford Prediction — Why Did the Total Tick Up From 145.5?
The total opened at 145.5 and rose to 146, a half-point move with no reported cause. Stanford’s two games finished at 139 and 144, both under this number. Rice’s loss to East Texas A&M landed at 143. Barttorvik also rates Rice’s adjusted tempo 252nd, so Rice does not push the pace. Add a cold-shooting Rice offense from deep, and the path to 147 points needs Stanford to carry most of the scoring.
However, the over has a case. Rice scored 100 in its opener, and Stanford shot efficiently against Oakland. A lopsided game can also produce loose late possessions and fouls. Rice’s offensive rebounding adds extra chances, too, which is the main risk to this read. This read overlaps with the first pick, since a slower, lower-scoring game is also how Rice stays within the number. Treat the two as related rather than independent.
The Pick: Under 146.0 (-110)
Our Final Word on Rice vs. Stanford
Stanford is the far better team, and the moneyline reflects it. At -2200, the price implies about a 95.7% chance to win, which sits above ESPN’s 91.4% projection and leaves no value on the favorite. Instead, our interest lies with a 17-point cushion and a modest total. Both rest on the same idea: Rice’s size and glass work slow the game down and keep it from becoming a rout. The edge is thin on both, so size these plays modestly. For more early-season reads, see our Houston vs California prediction and our Wichita State vs USC prediction.
Rice +17.0 (-105) is our top play because Rice’s rebounding edge and a half-point move give a big underdog a realistic path to cover. Under 146.0 (-110) is our second pick because Rice plays at a moderate pace and both Stanford games so far finished below this number.
NCAAB Rice vs. Stanford FAQ: November 9, 2026
What time does the Rice vs. Stanford game start?
Rice and Stanford tip off at 10:00 PM ET on Monday, November 9, 2026. That is 7:00 PM local time in California and 9:00 PM Central in Houston. It is the third game of the season for both programs and the final game of Stanford’s season-opening homestand before Stanford travels to UNLV on Friday.
What channel is the Rice vs. Stanford game on?
The Rice vs. Stanford game airs on ACC Network Extra, according to both schools’ schedules. ACC Network Extra is the conference’s digital outlet for games that are not carried on its main linear channel, so it will not appear on a standard cable channel lineup Monday night.
Where are Rice and Stanford playing?
Rice and Stanford play at Maples Pavilion on the Stanford campus in Stanford, California. It is a true home game for Stanford, which has played both of their regular-season games there so far. Rice is making its first road trip of the season after opening with two games at Tudor Fieldhouse in Houston.
What conference are Rice and Stanford in?
Stanford plays in the Atlantic Coast Conference, and Rice plays in the American Athletic Conference. Monday’s game is a non-conference matchup, so it has no effect on either league’s standings. Stanford finished 9-9 in ACC play last season, while Rice went 7-11 in the American.
What are Rice’s and Stanford’s records this season?
Stanford is 2-0 after home wins over Eastern Washington and Oakland, and Rice is 1-1. Rice beat Dallas Christian 100-55 in its opener, then lost 72-71 to East Texas A&M. Both teams are 0-0 in conference play. After Monday, Rice heads to Stephen F. Austin on Saturday, while Stanford visits UNLV on Friday.