Our Grizzlies vs Raptors prediction starts with a Toronto injury report that is still unsettled. The Memphis Grizzlies (6-3) visit the Toronto Raptors (5-4) on Monday night with Toronto a 3-point home favorite and the total sitting at 231.5. Memphis opened the season 6-0 but arrives on a three-game skid. Toronto, meanwhile, is waiting on two starters. Below, we break down the matchup, read the market and land on two plays, with a third angle to close.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors — Game Info
| Where | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto Ontario |
| When | November 9 – 7:30 PM ET |
| TV | Sportsnet, SN+, DAZN |
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
Availability shapes this number more than anything else. Toronto is without Kawhi Leonard, who is out with a knee injury, and center Nate Bittle is also out with a foot problem. The bigger question is Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley. Both sat out Friday’s win at Milwaukee, and both were limited at Sunday practice. As a result, Barnes and Quickley are listed as questionable for this game. Barnes averages 23.5 points, 7.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists. Quickley adds 17.4 points and 5.8 assists. Any read on Toronto is provisional until their statuses are confirmed closer to tip-off.
Memphis has its own holes. Isaiah Stewart (knee) and Scotty Pippen Jr. (back) are both out. Stewart had been averaging 11.9 points as a rotation big. Still, the Grizzlies have leaned on Ty Jerome, who is scoring 26.6 points per game. Cameron Boozer adds 15.6 points and 10.0 rebounds, and Cedric Coward chips in 13.8 points and 8.8 boards.
The efficiency picture favors Memphis slightly. Basketball Reference team ratings show the Grizzlies with a 116.0 offensive rating and a 110.0 defensive rating, a net of +6.0. Toronto sits at 117.1 and 112.3, a net of +4.8. Adjusted for opponent strength, that gap widens to +6.85 against +0.70. Both teams play fast, at roughly 102 possessions per game according to HoopsNightly. The style contrast sits on the perimeter. Memphis takes 40.0 threes per game and hits 37.8%. In contrast, Toronto attempts 34.9 per game and makes just 31.5%, one of the league’s worst marks.
The schedule spot is neutral. Both teams last played on Friday, so each side comes in on two days of rest. Memphis is 4-0 on the road, while all three losses in its skid came at home. Toronto is 2-1 at Scotiabank Arena.
The total tells its own story. It opened at 228.5 and has climbed three points to 231.5. That is a sizable jump for a single day. Two fast teams explain part of it, and Memphis’s three-point volume adds variance. However, the move has likely already priced in most of the pace case. Toronto’s poor perimeter shooting and its missing creators cut against a shootout, while Memphis allowed 128 and 135 points in two of its three recent losses. With the number already moved, we see no edge left on either side of the total. For more recent NBA reads, see our Lakers vs. Pistons prediction and our 76ers vs. Bulls prediction.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | +3.0 (-105) | +130 | O 231.5 (-110) |
| Raptors | -3.0 (-115) | -150 | U 231.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of November 9, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NBA Odds – Futures – Props
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Toronto Raptors — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Grizzlies | 35% | 65% | Raptors |
See the latest NBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Grizzlies vs. Raptors Prediction — Can Toronto Survive a Seven-Rebound Gap?
The cleanest edge in this game sits on the glass rather than on the scoreboard. Memphis averages 48.8 rebounds per game, roughly seven more than Toronto. That gap comes from size and from volume. The Grizzlies miss plenty of threes on 40 attempts a night, and long misses create long rebounds for wings. Coward is the wing who has cashed in most. He is averaging 8.8 rebounds through eight games, a strong figure for a perimeter player. Only Boozer, at 10.0 per game, rebounds more for Memphis this season.
The absences add to the case. Stewart’s injury removes a big from the Memphis rotation, which leaves more contested boards for the wings to collect. On the other side, Toronto is already without Leonard and Bittle. If Barnes sits again, the Raptors also lose a forward who averages 7.6 rebounds. The price asks for a 53.5% hit rate, and his season average sits comfortably above the bar.
However, there are real risks. Nine games is a small sample, and rebounding numbers swing with minutes. A blowout in either direction could trim Coward’s playing time late. In addition, if Barnes returns, Toronto’s frontcourt gets sturdier. Even so, this market depends far less on the injury news than the side does, which is why it rates as our strongest play.
The Pick: Cedric Coward 7+ Rebounds (-115)
Grizzlies vs. Raptors Prediction — Does a Perfect Road Record Outlast a Three-Game Skid?
The market opened with Toronto as a short favorite. Since then, it has moved half a point further toward the Raptors, and the moneyline shaded the same way. That move ran in the same direction as the public, which has 65% of spread bets on the Raptors. Movement with the crowd is expected and carries little signal on its own. The skid also matters here. Two of Memphis’s three losses came by a combined five points, and the market may be overreacting to Friday’s 128-97 loss to Oklahoma City.
The underlying numbers point the other way. Memphis owns the better net rating, the better adjusted rating and an unbeaten road mark. Toronto’s shooting woes also limit how quickly it can pull away. The case against is availability. If both Barnes and Quickley play, the Raptors look far more like the team that swept this matchup last season. Treat this read as provisional until both statuses are settled.
The Pick: Grizzlies +3.0 (-105)
Our Final Word on Grizzlies vs. Raptors
One more angle stands out. Jerome is averaging 26.6 points per game, yet his scoring milestone just below that average is priced like an underdog, implying roughly a 41% chance. With Pippen out, Memphis has one fewer ball handler to share the load. The risk is regression, since nine games is a small sample and his scoring pace may not hold. A cold shooting night would sink this quickly, so it rates as a lean rather than a strong play. Note that Stewart’s absence also supports our first pick, so these two plays are not fully independent.
The Pick: Ty Jerome 25+ Points (+145)
Cedric Coward 7+ Rebounds at -115 is our top play, built on his 8.8 rebounds per game and a clear Memphis edge on the glass. Grizzlies +3.0 at -105 backs the team with the stronger adjusted net rating, provided Toronto’s questionable starters stay limited. Ty Jerome 25+ Points at +145 prices a 26.6-point scorer like a long shot.
NBA Grizzlies vs. Raptors FAQ: November 9, 2026
What time does the Grizzlies vs. Raptors game start?
The Grizzlies and Raptors tip off at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, November 9, 2026, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Memphis enters at 6-3 after three straight losses, while Toronto enters at 5-4 after Friday’s road win over Milwaukee, which came without two starters.
What channel is the Grizzlies vs. Raptors game on?
The game airs on Sportsnet and SN+, with DAZN also listed as a broadcast outlet for Memphis. Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM ET on Monday night. Viewers should check their local listings for availability in their area, since regional rights differ by market.
Where are the Grizzlies and Raptors playing?
The Grizzlies and Raptors play at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario, the home of the Raptors. Toronto is 2-1 at home this season. Memphis is 4-0 on the road, and all three of its recent losses came at home in Memphis.
Is Kawhi Leonard playing tonight?
No, Kawhi Leonard is out for Toronto against Memphis on Monday night because of a knee injury. Center Nate Bittle is also out with a foot injury. Separately, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley are listed as questionable after both were limited at Sunday’s practice.
Where do the Grizzlies and Raptors stand in the standings?
Memphis is 6-3 and sits seventh in the Western Conference, 1.5 games off the top. Toronto is 5-4 and sits sixth in the Eastern Conference, 2.5 games back. The Grizzlies opened 6-0 before losing three straight, while the Raptors won 121-107 at Milwaukee on Friday.