Our Oilers vs Rangers prediction starts in the crease, where both teams are down to depth goaltenders on Sunday night at Madison Square Garden. Edmonton is 10-2-2 and leads the Pacific, while New York sits at 7-6-1 after three straight losses. The Rangers are -128 on the moneyline, and the total is 6.5. We break down the goaltending, the schedule spot and the special teams below, then give two picks.
Last Updated: November 1, 2026
Edmonton Oilers vs. New York Rangers — Game Info
| Where | Madison Square Garden, New York NY |
| When | November 1 – 6:00 PM ET |
| TV | NHL Network, MSG |
Edmonton Oilers vs. New York Rangers Betting Preview
Neither team will start its first-choice goaltender. Edmonton is turning to Matt Tomkins on the second night of a back-to-back, with Frederik Andersen and Devon Levi both injured. Tomkins is expected to make his first start for the Oilers, and NHL.com notes it would be his first NHL game since April 17, 2024. That is a long layoff to end in a road building against a rested opponent.
Tristan Jarry slides to the backup role after stopping all 18 shots for his second straight shutout in Saturday’s 4-0 win over the Islanders. For New York, Dylan Garand projects as the starter, but his start was unconfirmed at the time of writing. Igor Shesterkin is out for the season and Joonas Korpisalo is also hurt. Garand is 4-5-1 with a 2.69 GAA and an .899 save percentage, so the goaltending read on both sides leans toward goals.
The schedule also favors the home side. The Rangers have not played since a 6-3 loss to Los Angeles on October 26, which gives them five days off. Edmonton played Saturday afternoon on Long Island. Still, the Oilers have won seven of their last 10 (7-2-1) and are 6-0-0 on the road. Connor McDavid extended his season-opening point streak to 14 games against the Islanders, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scored twice.
New York is 4-5-1 over its last 10 and gave up 18 goals in its three-game skid. However, the Rangers are 6-1-0 at home. According to Hockey Reference, New York’s penalty kill is working at 90.48%, while Edmonton’s power play converts 33.33%. Off the ice, Isaac Howard (knee) and Zach Hyman (neck) are out for Edmonton. Rangers defensemen Sean Durzi and Braden Schneider are day to day. This is the first of two meetings this season.
Edmonton Oilers vs. New York Rangers Odds
| Puck Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oilers | +1.5 (-230) | +107 | O 6.5 (-110) |
| Rangers | -1.5 (+190) | -128 | U 6.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of November 1, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NHL Odds – Futures – Props
Edmonton Oilers vs. New York Rangers — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Oilers | 63% | 37% | Rangers |
See the latest NHL Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Oilers vs. Rangers Prediction — What Happens When Tomkins Ends a Two-Year NHL Absence?
Goaltending drives this read. A backup starting the back half of a back-to-back is a material change, and this is a deeper cut than usual. Tomkins is Edmonton’s third option, and he has not faced NHL shooters in more than two years. Across the ice, Garand’s .899 save percentage sits below what a team needs to steal games. In addition, both clubs have struggled to stop pucks as a group. Edmonton’s team save percentage is .888, and New York’s is .886, per Hockey Reference.
The scoring profiles back that up. Edmonton averages 4.21 goals per game, second in the league, and its games have gone over 8-6 against the closing total. The Rangers are 9-5 to the over, and their last three games produced 11, 9 and 9 goals. A rested Rangers team at home should push the pace against tired legs. Meanwhile, the empty net remains a factor. If the trailing team pulls its goalie late, a 4-2 game becomes a 5-2 game in a hurry.
The full-game total also counts overtime and the shootout. A game tied at three after 60 minutes is guaranteed at least one more goal for totals purposes, which helps the over at this number. The props market prices overtime at +290, so a tie is not the likeliest outcome. Still, it adds a small cushion. The bigger driver is shot quality against two goaltenders who have not proven they can hold up under volume.
The case against is real. New York’s penalty kill has been elite, which takes away Edmonton’s most dangerous weapon. The Oilers also allowed zero goals in each of their last two games. A Rangers team off five days could start slowly as well. Finally, the market has not moved this number at all from the 6.5 open, so there is no outside confirmation. Overall, this rates as a lean built on goaltending rather than a market-backed play.
The Pick: Over 6.5 (-110)
Oilers vs. Rangers Prediction — Can a 14-Game Point Streak Solve a 90% Penalty Kill?
McDavid has recorded a point in all 14 games this season and has averaged well over two points per night. The price on his multi-point market is -106, which carries a break-even rate of about 51.5%. His production rate clears that bar comfortably, and Garand’s numbers give him a softer target than usual. He also projects to skate on the top line with Leon Draisaitl and Vasily Podkolzin, so the Oilers’ best scoring unit stays together.
On the other hand, the Rangers’ penalty kill limits his power-play upside, and fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back is a fair worry. Note that this pick leans on the same goaltending input as the over. If Garand plays well, both picks suffer together, so they are not independent.
The Pick: Connor McDavid To Score 2+ Points (-106)
Our Final Word on Oilers vs. Rangers
The side is harder to call. Edmonton is the better team and perfect on the road, but the schedule spot and the goaltending gap both point toward New York. The moneyline drifted from Rangers -125 to -128 even with 63% of puck line tickets on Edmonton. That is a small move, so it reads as mild support for the Rangers rather than a strong signal. Given that, we pass on the side and keep the focus on goals.
One more variable deserves attention before puck drop. Garand had not been confirmed as New York’s starter when this was written, and James Reimer is the listed backup. If Reimer gets the call instead, the goaltending case for goals only strengthens. If Garand starts and finds his best form, the Oilers’ recent defensive run could carry over.
For more NHL analysis, see our earlier Kings vs Rangers prediction and the Mammoth vs Oilers preview. You can also track goalie news through Sunday’s starting goalie confirmations.
We like the Over 6.5 at -110 because a third-string Oilers goalie returning from a two-year NHL absence faces a rested Rangers team on a back-to-back. We also like Connor McDavid To Score 2+ Points at -106 because his 14-game point streak meets a Rangers goalie carrying an .899 save percentage.
NHL Oilers vs. Rangers FAQ: November 1, 2026
What time does the Oilers vs. Rangers game start?
The Edmonton Oilers and New York Rangers face off at 6:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1, 2026. It is the Oilers’ second game in two days after a Saturday afternoon win over the Islanders, and the first of two meetings between the teams this season.
What channel is the Oilers vs. Rangers game on?
The game airs nationally in the United States on NHL Network, and MSG carries the Rangers’ regional broadcast in the New York market. Fans should check local listings, since regional availability depends on where you live and which cable or satellite package you have.
Where are the Oilers and Rangers playing?
The Oilers and Rangers play at Madison Square Garden in New York, New York, home of the Rangers. New York has been strong there this season with a 6-1-0 home record, while Edmonton arrives unbeaten on the road at 6-0-0.
Who is starting in goal for the Oilers?
Matt Tomkins is starting in goal for the Edmonton Oilers against the Rangers. It is his first start for Edmonton, with Frederik Andersen and Devon Levi injured and Tristan Jarry backing up after posting back-to-back shutouts against Calgary and the Islanders.
Where do the Oilers and Rangers stand in the standings?
The Oilers lead the Pacific Division at 10-2-2 with 22 points. The Rangers are fifth in the Metropolitan Division at 7-6-1 with 15 points, and they enter Sunday on a three-game losing streak after falling to Toronto, Ottawa and Los Angeles.