The Toronto Tempo close a difficult stretch on the road Friday against one of the toughest possible opponents. The Las Vegas Aces host the expansion side at Michelob ULTRA Arena as heavy 14.5-point favorites, with the No. 3 seed chasing a season sweep. The number is large, though. Las Vegas won the most recent meeting by only 10, and the total has already dropped since the line opened. That gap is where our lean lives.
Last Updated: Friday, August 28, 2026
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas NV |
| When | Friday, August 28 – 10:00 PM ET |
| TV | ION |
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
Las Vegas enters at 26-13 and holds the No. 3 seed with the postseason locked in. Toronto sits at 11-27 in its first WNBA season and remains near the bottom of the standings. On paper, the gap could hardly be wider. The Aces have championship pedigree and an MVP-caliber anchor, while the Tempo are still building an identity as an expansion franchise.
The centerpiece is A’ja Wilson, who is closing in on 1,000 points for the season. She entered the week at 935 and needs 65 more across the final five games. That milestone chase gives Las Vegas a clear motivation to keep her aggressive early. Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray round out a veteran core that has handled Toronto comfortably in prior meetings.
Health is the other half of the story. Toronto has been without leading scorer Marina Mabrey during a recent multi-game absence, a thread we tracked in our recent Tempo spread breakdown without Mabrey. The Tempo have juggled several rotation injuries over the past two weeks. That thin depth matters against a top seed. Still, this is also a scheduling spot worth noting. Las Vegas is closing out its slate before the FIBA World Cup break, and a locked-in seed can invite a flatter effort than the talent gap suggests.
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tempo | +14.5 (-110) | +725 | U 175 (-110) |
| Aces | -14.5 (-110) | -1300 | O 175 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Friday, August 28, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
WNBA Betting Angle for Tempo vs. Aces
The line has moved toward Toronto since it opened. The Aces were laid at 15.5 points at first, and the number has trimmed to 14.5. The total has slid too, from 179 down to 175. Both moves point the same way, toward a closer, lower-scoring game than the opener implied.
The recent head-to-head backs that read. When these teams met on August 23, Las Vegas won 88-78, a 10-point result that would not have covered a two-touchdown spread. However, that was not a home game for the Aces, and a rested Wilson at full tilt could push this one wider. The favorite is clearly better, but the current price asks for a near-blowout.
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Tempo | 44% | 56% | Aces |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Tempo vs. Aces Prediction — Can Toronto Stay Within Number?
Two things stand out on the spread. First, the market is only lightly tilted toward Las Vegas on this side, with the public split sitting near even at 56% on the Aces. That is not the lopsided backing you often see behind a big home favorite. Second, the line movement toward the underdog gives the Tempo a slightly friendlier number than the opener offered.
The case against Toronto is real. The Tempo are depleted, they are on the road, and Las Vegas has both the talent and the Wilson milestone motivation to start fast. A double-digit halftime lead can snowball quickly against a thin bench. In contrast, the case for the points leans on the schedule and the recent result. The Aces are closing out their pre-break slate with a seed already secured, which can flatten the urgency to bury a weaker team late.
When a locked-in favorite meets a huge number and a supportive line move, the value sits with the points. Toronto’s August 23 showing suggests it can hang around, even without a full rotation.
The Pick: Tempo +14.5 (-110)
Tempo vs. Aces Prediction — Will Limited Toronto Slow Scoring?
The total tells its own story. It opened at 179 and has been bet down to 175, a four-point drop that signals steady interest in the under. Toronto’s offense has been compromised by injuries, with Mabrey among those sidelined during the recent stretch. Fewer reliable scorers usually means fewer efficient possessions, and that pressures the number lower. The August 23 meeting between these teams finished with 166 combined points, comfortably beneath this line.
There is a path to the over. If Wilson attacks the milestone and Las Vegas pushes tempo, the Aces alone can pile up points in a hurry. On balance, though, a depleted road offense and a market moving down give the under stronger footing.
The Pick: Under 175 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The moneyline offers little to work with. Las Vegas at -1300 requires a heavy stake for a small return, and Toronto at +725 is a live-dog price without a live-dog roster. That leaves the spread and total as the cleaner angles, both pointing where the market has already started to travel.
For a lean, watch how Las Vegas manages Wilson’s minutes. A quick milestone night could mean an early exit and a running-clock second half, which helps both the points and the under. That scenario is exactly what our two positions are built around. Our recommended plays are Tempo +14.5 and Under 175. Bet responsibly and shop for the best available number before tip.
WNBA Tempo vs. Aces FAQ: Friday August 28, 2026
What time does the Tempo vs. Aces game start?
Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET on Friday, August 28, 2026, which is 7:00 PM local time in Las Vegas. The game is the back end of the WNBA slate that night and closes out the Aces’ schedule before the FIBA World Cup break.
What channel is the Tempo vs. Aces game on?
The game is broadcast nationally on ION as part of its Friday WNBA package. Viewers in Canada can also find the Toronto Tempo broadcast through regional coverage. Check your local listings, since national windows can shift by market.
Where are the Tempo and Aces playing today?
The game is at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, the Aces’ home venue. This is the first meeting of the 2026 season series to be played in Las Vegas, with the earlier matchups held on Toronto’s side of the schedule.
Who won the last meeting between the Tempo and Aces?
Las Vegas won the most recent meeting 88-78 on August 23, 2026. The 10-point margin came in below a two-touchdown spread, and the 166 combined points landed well under the current total. The Aces now aim to complete a season sweep.
Where do the Tempo and Aces stand in the WNBA standings?
Las Vegas is 26-13 and holds the No. 3 seed with a playoff berth clinched. Toronto is 11-27 in its inaugural WNBA season and sits near the bottom of the league standings. The seeding gap frames why the Aces are such heavy favorites.