2026 BMW Championship Odds – Scheffler favored at Bellerive

2026 BMW Championship Odds - Scheffler favored at Bellerive 2026 BMW Championship Odds - Scheffler favored at Bellerive

BMW Championship odds open the week with Scottie Scheffler at +300, a number he earned with an eight-shot romp in Memphis. The 2026 BMW Championship runs Thursday through Sunday at Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis, where 50 players go 72 holes with no cut for a $20 million purse. Only the top 30 advance to East Lake. Here is how the board breaks down, from the chalk to the longest prices.

Last Updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026

2026 BMW Championship — Time & How to Watch

WhereBellerive Country Club, St. Louis, MO
WhenThursday, August 20 – 10:03 AM ET
TVESPN, Golf Channel (Thu-Fri); Golf Channel, CBS (Sat-Sun)

2026 BMW Championship Betting Preview

Bellerive is a Robert Trent Jones Sr. design playing as a par 70 over 7,448 yards. There are 12 par 4s, four par 3s and only two par 5s, so the birdie supply is thin and the long two-shotters carry the scorecard.

Course history is the other wrinkle. The TOUR has not played here since the 2008 BMW Championship, won by Camilo Villegas, and the last big week was the 2018 PGA Championship, where Brooks Koepka won at 16 under. Almost nobody here has meaningful reps on the property, so the market leans hard on current form.

That form points one way. Scheffler is the defending BMW Championship winner and just won the FedEx St. Jude Championship by eight shots at 17 under. He is priced at +300 while the other 49 players sit at +1600 or longer.

Two storylines shape the rest of the market. Rory McIlroy finished 66th in Memphis, his worst result of the season, and said he felt “so far away” from his best. He is still second shortest at +1600. At the other end, Michael Brennan is here because he won the Wyndham Championship for his second TOUR title.

2026 BMW Championship — Top Odds to Win

NameOdds
Scottie Scheffler+300
Rory McIlroy+1600
Ludvig Aberg+1800
Sam Burns+1800
Xander Schauffele+1800
Cameron Young+2000
Tommy Fleetwood+2000
Matt Fitzpatrick+2200
Hideki Matsuyama+2500
Si Woo Kim+2800

Odds accurate as of Wednesday, August 19, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest Golf OddsProps

2026 BMW Championship Odds: Scottie Scheffler Favored at +300

Scheffler at +300 carries an implied probability of 25 percent. In a 50-man no-cut field that is aggressive, and the market has its reasons. His eight-stroke win at TPC Southwind was the biggest margin on TOUR this season, and he won the 2025 BMW Championship at Caves Valley at 15 under, running down Robert MacIntyre.

The case against the price is about format and venue, not the player. Four rounds is a short sample, no cut means 49 rivals play all 72 holes, and Bellerive is a blind test for everyone. A par 70 with two par 5s also compresses scoring, and fewer birdie holes means fewer chances for the best player to separate.

The board underlines the point. McIlroy is next at +1600 despite that 66th-place finish, and Ludvig Aberg, Sam Burns and Xander Schauffele are bunched at +1800. The market is not saying the field is close to Scheffler. It is saying the field behind him is close to itself.

BMW Championship Mid-Board Contender Odds

The middle of this board runs from roughly +3000 out to +6000, where recent results do most of the pricing work.

Wyndham Clark (+3000) is the clearest example. He finished T5 at 7 under in Memphis, one of the better weeks in the field, yet sits 13th on the board. The market is weighing his wider 2026 body of work, not just last week.

Patrick Cantlay (+3500) has the strongest claim on this specific trophy. He won the BMW Championship in 2021 and 2022, and opened the Playoffs with a T12 at 5 under. Event history does not travel to a new course the way form does, which explains why a two-time champion is priced 16th rather than top 10.

Adam Scott (+6000) matched that T12 at 5 under, and Michael Brennan (+6000) sits alongside him off the Wyndham win. The board treats both the same way: clear of 20 players, but carrying the uncertainty of a veteran on a one-week uptick and a young winner with a short résumé.

BMW Championship Long Shot Odds on the Board

Past +6500 the board flattens fast. Everyone out here qualified inside the top 50 of the FedExCup standings, so the tail is shallower than it looks.

Alex Noren (+6500) is the most obvious disconnect. He finished T3 at 8 under at TPC Southwind, matching Sam Burns, and still sits 30th on the board. That is the market weighing a season-long baseline far more heavily than one result.

Sungjae Im (+6500) is in the same band after a T5 at 7 under last week. His profile fits a par-70 grind, where pars hold their value and the birdie supply is capped.

Bud Cauley (+9000) sits further out despite his own T12 at 5 under, nearly double Scott and Brennan on the same score. The true tail starts near +22500 with Sahith Theegala and Sepp Straka and runs to Matt McCarty at +30000, the longest price posted.

2026 BMW Championship Odds: What to Watch

This is a one-man market with a very wide second tier. The practical effect of Scheffler at +300 is that the rest of the field is priced against each other, not against him. If he starts slowly Thursday, a lot of numbers move at once.

Bellerive is the other variable. A par 70 with 12 par 4s should reward accurate iron play more than raw distance, and with no course form to lean on, Thursday will tell the market more than any preview can. Watch McIlroy’s number too. At +1600 off his worst finish of the season, that price carries more reputation than evidence.

BMW Championship FAQ: Thursday August 20, 2026

Who is the favorite to win the BMW Championship?

Scottie Scheffler is the favorite at +300, well clear of the rest of the 50-man board. He is the defending BMW Championship winner and arrives at Bellerive off an eight-stroke victory at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, the largest winning margin on the PGA TOUR this season.

When does the BMW Championship start?

Round 1 begins Thursday, August 20, 2026, with the first tee times at 10:03 a.m. ET at Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis. The tournament runs through Sunday, August 23. It is the second event of the three-tournament FedExCup Playoffs, following the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

What channel is the BMW Championship on?

ESPN carries Rounds 1 and 2 from 10 a.m. to noon ET Thursday and Friday, with Golf Channel picking up coverage from 3 to 7 p.m. ET. On the weekend, Golf Channel airs the early window and CBS takes over, broadcasting the final round from 2 to 6 p.m. ET Sunday.

Who won the BMW Championship last year?

Scottie Scheffler won the 2025 BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club, finishing at 15 under to overtake Robert MacIntyre, who had led through 54 holes. Scheffler returns this week as the defending champion and as the shortest price on the 2026 board at +300.

What is the cut rule for the BMW Championship?

There is no cut at the BMW Championship. All 50 players in the field play all four rounds, competing for a $20 million purse. The top 30 in the FedExCup standings after Sunday advance to the Tour Championship at East Lake, and everyone else finishes their season here.