The Washington Mystics and Las Vegas Aces wrap up their two-game series at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday night, and the rematch carries more intrigue than the standings gap suggests. Las Vegas opened as a touchdown-sized home favorite, and the number has since climbed to eight points after the Aces handled Washington in the series opener on Tuesday. Still, the Mystics reached Las Vegas as one of the hottest teams in the league, and they already own a win over this group earlier in the year. A rested contender laying a big number against a live, confident underdog is exactly the kind of spot where value hides. Below we break down the line, the total, and where we land before tip-off.
Last Updated: August 13, 2026
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas NV |
| When | Thursday, August 13 – 10:00 PM ET |
| TV | Amazon Prime Video |
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Aces enter Thursday at 23-11, third in the WNBA standings and settling into a long home stand after a lengthy road trip. A’ja Wilson remains the engine, and she has looked the part lately, pairing efficient scoring with heavy rebounding numbers. Las Vegas also took care of business in the series opener, which snapped Washington’s momentum and gave the home team a jolt of confidence heading into the rematch.
Washington sits at 19-13 and had been surging before this trip, stacking wins against playoff-caliber opponents on a run that pushed the Mystics up the standings. The young core of Sonia Citron, Kiki Iriafen and Shakira Austin has carried the load, with Austin leading the way in scoring during the opener. The season series has been competitive, too. Washington beat Las Vegas earlier in the year, so the Mystics know they can match up with the Aces even as underdogs on the road.
Availability is always the swing factor in the WNBA, where a single rotation piece can move a line several points. As long as Wilson and the Aces’ primary starters are on the floor, Las Vegas holds the talent edge. The question is whether that edge is worth a full eight points against a team playing its best basketball of the season. Check the Las Vegas Aces home slate and confirm both rotations before finalizing anything.
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mystics | +8 (-110) | +230 | U 167.5 (-105) |
| Aces | -8 (-110) | -280 | O 167.5 (-115) |
Odds accurate as of August 13, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Mystics | 47% | 53% | Aces |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Mystics vs. Aces Prediction — Can Washington Hang With the Number?
Start with how this line got here. Las Vegas opened at seven points and the number nudged up to eight, yet the public split on the spread is nearly even at 53 percent to 47 percent. That is a meaningful gap. When a favorite climbs a full point without the tickets piling on one side, it usually means the sharper money and the book agree the home team deserves the bump. The Aces are talented, rested and motivated after the opener, and A’ja Wilson can take over a game when Las Vegas needs points in a hurry.
The other side is easy to make, though. Washington has been playing its best basketball of the year, and this is not a team that folds on the road. The Mystics already beat the Aces once this season, so the matchup does not scare them. Eight points is a big ask in a league where scoring can tighten quickly, and a live underdog with a functional offense tends to stay within striking distance. The counter is margin: if Las Vegas leans on its half-court defense and controls the glass, this can become a comfortable double-digit night for the favorite.
Weighing both sides, the value points toward the team getting the cushion. A confident, in-form road dog receiving more than a possession and a half against a favorite whose number already had to be inflated is the profile we want.
The Pick: Mystics +8 (-110)
Mystics vs. Aces Prediction — Will the Rematch Stay Below the Number?
The total is the other place the market has moved with conviction. The number opened at 169 and has been bet down to 167.5, a signal that money is leaning toward a lower-scoring rematch. That fits the situation. Las Vegas has emphasized defense and rebounding during this stretch, and Washington cooled off from the perimeter in the opener. Rematches played two days apart often trend under as both coaching staffs sharpen their game plans and cut down on easy looks.
There is a real case for the over as well. Both offenses have shown high-scoring gears, and an earlier meeting between these teams sailed well past this range. If Washington’s shooters heat up, 167.5 falls in a hurry. Even so, the direction of the line and the defensive tone of the opener tilt this toward the lower side.
The Pick: Under 167.5 (-105)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
The moneyline is where the disconnect really shows. The public is hammering the Aces at 90 percent, pushing the price to -280, while the spread tickets sit almost even. That combination often creates value on the underdog’s outright number. Washington at +230 has already beaten this Las Vegas team head-to-head, and a plus-money price on a team playing this well is a reasonable small-stakes swing for bettors who believe the upset is live. The risk is obvious: the Aces are better on paper and at home, so this stays a lighter play rather than a core position.
The Bonus: Mystics moneyline (+230)
To recap the card for Washington at Las Vegas: the Mystics +8 (-110) on the spread as the featured pick, the Under 167.5 (-105) on the total, and a small-stakes look at the Mystics moneyline at +230. Confirm both lineups at tip-off, since a late scratch on either side can shift all three of these numbers. For more, see our Mystics vs. Aces prediction for the series opener and our latest WNBA picks coverage.
WNBA Mystics vs. Aces FAQ: Thursday August 13, 2026
What time does the Mystics vs. Aces game start?
The Washington Mystics and Las Vegas Aces tip off at 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, August 13, 2026. The game is the second half of a two-game set between the teams at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas.
What channel is the Mystics vs. Aces game on?
The game airs on Amazon Prime Video. Viewers can stream the Mystics-Aces matchup through Prime Video, which carries the broadcast for this Thursday night contest in Las Vegas.
Where are the Mystics and Aces playing today?
The game is at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, the home court of the Las Vegas Aces. Washington is the visiting team for the second straight game of this two-game series.
What is the Las Vegas Aces’ record this season?
The Las Vegas Aces are 23-11 and sit third in the WNBA standings entering Thursday’s game. They are in the middle of a home stand after finishing a long road trip earlier in the month.
What is the Washington Mystics’ record this season?
The Washington Mystics are 19-13 and hold a playoff position in a tight middle of the standings. They arrived in Las Vegas on one of the strongest runs of their season before the series opener on Tuesday.