The Atlanta Dream roll into Mohegan Sun Arena on Thursday night as heavy road favorites, and the betting market has taken notice. Atlanta sits at 20-12 and firmly in the playoff picture, while Connecticut, at 8-23, owns one of the worst records in the league. The Dream are laying double digits away from home, a price that says plenty about the talent gap. Still, wide spreads invite second-guessing, and a home underdog always carries a puncher’s chance. Our best bet leans on where the number has drifted and how these teams actually match up.
Last Updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville CT |
| When | Thursday, August 13 – 7:00 PM ET |
| TV | NBC Sports Boston |
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun Betting Preview
Atlanta enters as one of the East’s top teams. The Dream have leaned on Rhyne Howard and Allisha Gray all season, and that duo did the damage the last time these teams met. Atlanta beat the Sun 91-75 in Atlanta on June 2, with Howard pouring in 36 points and Gray adding 26. The Dream also handled the Toronto Tempo 107-95 on August 10, a reminder of how quickly they can pile up points when the offense is humming.
Connecticut has had a rough season. The Sun sit at 8-23 and have struggled to score consistently. They did grind out a home win over Phoenix earlier this month, which speaks to the effort level they bring at Mohegan Sun. However, keeping pace with a playoff-caliber team over 40 minutes is a much taller order. For a deeper look at how the Dream have been trending, see our recent Atlanta Dream betting breakdown.
Availability is worth a final check before you bet. The WNBA is uniquely sensitive to a single missing starter, so confirm the official injury report on game day. Our read below assumes both teams are close to full strength, with the Dream’s top-heavy scoring core setting the tone and Connecticut relying on defense and rebounding to keep the game orderly.
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dream | -10.5 (-110) | -525 | U 174.5 (-110) |
| Sun | +10.5 (-110) | +375 | O 174.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of August 13, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Dream | 72% | 28% | Sun |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Dream vs. Sun Prediction — Can the Home Underdog Hang Around?
The market opened Atlanta at -9.5 and has nudged the number up to -10.5. That move lines up with the betting public, which has piled in on the Dream. According to the splits, 72% of spread bets sit on Atlanta, and the moneyline action is even more one-sided at 94%. When a big favorite draws that kind of lopsided attention, the closing number often reflects public weight as much as any true edge.
The case for Atlanta covering is straightforward. The talent gap is real, the Dream won the June meeting by 16, and they can score in bunches. If Howard and Gray get going early, a double-digit result is well within range, especially against a Connecticut defense that has bled points for much of the year.
The case for the home side is about the number and the spot. Ten and a half is a wide margin in a league where possessions are limited and double-digit dogs often hang around into the fourth quarter. Connecticut is home, coming off a win, and playing with nothing to lose. Road favorites can also come out flat in these letdown spots. With the line inflated by public money, the value tilts toward the points.
The Pick: Connecticut Sun +10.5 (-110)
Dream vs. Sun Prediction — Will This One Stay Low-Scoring?
The total sits at 174.5 and has not moved off its opening number. That stability suggests the market is comfortable with where the scoring projects. The two sides pull in different directions, though. Atlanta wants to run and can light up a scoreboard, while Connecticut prefers to slow the game down and shorten possessions.
History from this exact matchup leans one way. When these teams met on June 2, they combined for 166 points, comfortably beneath this number. Connecticut’s recent games have been low-scoring affairs, and blowout risk actually cuts toward a slower finish, since a lopsided fourth quarter usually means bench minutes and fewer possessions at full speed. The counterpoint is Atlanta’s pace. If the Dream press the tempo and never take their foot off the gas, the over stays live. On balance, a fast team meeting a slow, struggling offense points toward a controlled game.
The Pick: Under 174.5 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
Atlanta is the better team, and nothing here argues otherwise. The question these markets pose is about price, not outcome. Laying -525 on the moneyline asks for a heavy investment to win a little, and Connecticut’s +375 home price is more a reflection of the talent gap than a live upset call. Neither moneyline offers the kind of value worth chasing, which is why both of our plays live on the spread and the total instead.
If you want a rooting interest beyond the sides, watch the first-half flow. A fast Atlanta start would pressure both the spread and the total, while an early grind favors both of our positions. There is no standout prop to force here without a firmer read on the rotations, so we are keeping the card tight. You can find more matchups like this one in our latest WNBA picks coverage.
To recap, the card is short and focused: Connecticut Sun +10.5 (-110) and Under 174.5 (-110). Both lean on the same thesis — a home team that can keep the game orderly against a superior but road-bound favorite.
WNBA Dream vs. Sun FAQ: Thursday August 13, 2026
What time does the Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun game start?
The Atlanta Dream and Connecticut Sun tip off at 7:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, August 13, 2026, at Mohegan Sun Arena. It is the second and final meeting between the clubs this season, and the only one played in Connecticut after the June date in Atlanta.
What channel is the Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun game on?
The game airs regionally on NBC Sports Boston. Local broadcast availability can vary by market, so viewers outside the Connecticut region should check their provider’s listings or the league’s streaming options for the Thursday night broadcast.
Where are the Dream and Sun playing today?
The Dream and Sun play at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut. The Sun host this Thursday matchup as the home team, and it marks the only game between these two clubs at the arena during the 2026 regular season.
Who won the last meeting between the Dream and Sun?
Atlanta won the last meeting, beating Connecticut 91-75 in Atlanta on June 2, 2026. Rhyne Howard led all scorers with 36 points, and Allisha Gray added 26 as the Dream pulled away in the fourth quarter to secure the double-digit victory.
What is the Connecticut Sun’s record this season?
The Connecticut Sun enter this game at 8-23, one of the weakest marks in the WNBA. The Atlanta Dream sit far ahead at 20-12, holding a firm spot in the playoff race as the regular season heads toward its final stretch.