The Seattle Mariners visit the New York Yankees on Tuesday night in the Bronx, and the pitching matchup sets the tone. Left-hander Ryan Weathers has quietly been one of New York’s steadiest arms, and he draws Seattle right-hander Bryan Woo. The Yankees sit as home favorites near -133 on the moneyline, with the total posted at 8. Both offenses have been scuffling, though, and that is where our lean begins. Below we break down the run environment, the price, and the two best numbers on the board.
Last Updated: August 11, 2026
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| When | August 11, 2026 — 7:05 PM ET |
| TV | TBS |
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Betting Preview
Start with the arms, because they shape everything here. Weathers carries a 3.79 ERA with a 5-7 record, and his recent form is the story. He has allowed just one run over his last 18.2 innings, including back-to-back scoreless starts against the Cardinals and White Sox. He misses bats, too, with 132 strikeouts in 121 innings. Woo answers with an 8-8 record and a 4.31 ERA, and he has leaned on quality starts to keep Seattle in games. The right-hander has the stuff to match Weathers on a good night. His season line, however, is more ordinary than his opponent’s recent one.
The context around the lineups matters just as much. New York enters at 66-52 but has played .500 baseball over its last 10 games. The bigger issue is health. New York has been without Aaron Judge (rib), Giancarlo Stanton, and Cody Bellinger, which has thinned a lineup that once looked fearsome. Seattle, meanwhile, arrives at 56-63 and has dropped seven of its last 10. Neither offense has been dangerous of late, and that backdrop is the heart of this matchup. You can also scan the rest of the card in our recent MLB predictions.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Odds
| Run Line | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | +1.5 (-185) | +111 | U 8 (-110) |
| Yankees | -1.5 (+160) | -133 | O 8 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of August 11, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest MLB Odds – Futures – Props
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Mariners | 39% | 61% | Yankees |
See the latest MLB Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Mariners vs. Yankees Prediction — Do Two Slumping Lineups Point One Way?
The total is the cleanest read on the board, and the pitching is why. Weathers has been stingy for a month, and Woo has answered with quality starts of his own. Two starters in form usually means fewer early runs. Add depleted, slumping lineups on both sides, and the path to a high-scoring night grows narrow. The market seems to agree. The total opened at 8.5 and has been bet down to 8, a half-run move through a meaningful number.
The counter-case is the ballpark. Yankee Stadium plays small, and its short right-field porch can turn a routine fly into a game-changing swing. A left-hander on the mound helps New York limit left-handed power, yet Seattle can still do damage the other way. One three-run inning can flip an under in a hurry. Still, with two starters throwing well and neither lineup dangerous, the lower-scoring script is the more likely one.
The Pick: Under 8 (-110)
Mariners vs. Yankees Prediction — Is the Home Lefty the Difference?
If you want a side, the starting pitching points to New York. Weathers has simply been the better arm lately, and he does his work at home. Seattle brings the worse record, a 3-7 skid, and an offense that has gone quiet on the road. Woo is capable, but he is the one asked to outpitch a hot opponent on the road.
The case against is real. New York is without several of its best hitters, and the public has piled on the home side, which nudged the price up rather than down. That is thin value, not a bargain. Because the game projects low-scoring and New York is a home favorite, the moneyline is the better vehicle than the run line. A home favorite often wins by exactly one run, since the game ends the moment it takes the lead in the ninth. We would rather bank the win than chase the extra run. For more line reads, see our latest MLB betting breakdowns.
The Pick: Yankees Moneyline (-133)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
This game comes down to two arms in form and two lineups out of form. Watch Weathers early. If he carries his scoreless run into the middle innings, both the under and the New York side track together. The swing risk is the ballpark. A cheap home run over the short porch is the fastest way for either number to go wrong. The bullpens then decide the late innings, so a tight game in the seventh keeps the under live and the favorite sweating.
For value hunters, there is no clean third number worth forcing here. Both plays already lean on the same theme, and stacking a thin prop on top would only dilute them. To recap the card, the Under 8 (-110) is the strongest play, and the Yankees Moneyline (-133) is the supporting lean.
MLB Mariners vs. Yankees FAQ: Tuesday August 11, 2026
What time does the Mariners vs. Yankees game start?
First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. Seattle is the visiting team and New York is the home team for this American League matchup between the Mariners and Yankees.
What channel is the Mariners vs. Yankees game on?
The game airs nationally on TBS on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. TBS carries a Tuesday night Major League Baseball window, and this Mariners-Yankees matchup is part of that schedule for the evening from Yankee Stadium.
Who is pitching for the Mariners and Yankees?
Seattle is scheduled to start right-hander Bryan Woo (8-8, 4.31 ERA), while New York counters with left-hander Ryan Weathers (5-7, 3.79 ERA). Both are listed as the probable starters, though lineups can change before first pitch.
Where are the Mariners and Yankees playing?
The game is at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York, with the Yankees hosting. It is a hitter-friendly park known for a short right-field porch that can boost home run totals, especially for left-handed batters pulling the ball.
What are the Yankees’ and Mariners’ records?
New York enters at 66-52 and sits in the American League playoff mix. Seattle arrives at 56-63 and has lost seven of its last 10 games, leaving the Mariners below .500 as their road trip continues through the Bronx.