The semifinal knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup begins on Tuesday. That means only 4 teams are remaining in the tournament. July 14th is the thirty-first match day of the tournament and the first day of semifinal knockout stage play.
There is 1 semifinal knockout stage game on Tuesday. France faces off against Spain in a European affair featuring 2 of the best teams in the World Cup. That game will be in Arlington, TX, USA, at 3 PM ET on FOX.
Can France win outright, cover the 0.5-goal spread against Spain, and advance to the World Cup final?
Note: If a game is tied at the end of 90 minutes and stoppage time, it is technically ruled a “draw” for betting purposes. Additionally, spreads, totals, and team and player props only apply to the 90 minutes of regulation time and stoppage time unless specified.
I’ll make game result and total picks for today’s contest, in addition to a bonus pick, below. Continue reading for our World Cup Best Bets July 14 article.
France vs. Spain — Time & How to Watch
| Where | AT&T STADIUM, ARLINGTON, TX, USA |
| When | TUESDAY, JULY 14, 2026, 3 PM ET |
| Competition | 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP / KNOCKOUT STAGE / SEMIFINALS |
| TV | FOX, FOX ONE, TELEMUNDO, FUBO |
France vs. Spain Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRANCE | -0.5 (+130) | +140 | O 2.5 (-115) |
| SPAIN | +0.5 (-170) | +215 | U 2.5 (-110) |
| DRAW | – | +215 | – |
Odds accurate as of Tuesday, July 14, 2026, via TheSpread.com.
France vs Spain Prediction July 14 Game Result Pick
France will cover the -0.5-goal spread in Tuesday’s World Cup semifinal by overwhelming Spain’s possession-based system. Stung by recent defeats to La Roja—including a 5-4 Nations League loss in 2025— France manager Didier Deschamps abandoned his pragmatic approach for a ruthless 4-2-3-1 formation.
A rejuvenated front 4 of Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, and Bradley Barcola has amassed 16 goals and 12 assists this tournament. Furthermore, France thrives on the biggest stage; they won the only prior World Cup meeting with Spain (3-1 in 2006) and seek a historic third consecutive final appearance. Expect France’s sheer attacking firepower and revenge-fueled motivation to secure a regulation win.
Pick: France -0.5 (+130)
France vs Spain Prediction July 14 Game Total Pick
Expect fireworks on Tuesday as France and Spain are primed to surpass the 2.5-goal total. History points directly to a shootout; their last competitive meeting in the 2025 Nations League semifinal was a breathless 9-goal epic (5-4 Spain).
Spain’s possession-heavy style, spearheaded by Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, will naturally pull France’s defense out of shape. This plays perfectly into Didier Deschamps’ rapid transition game and should lead to lots of open space and runout opportunities.
Powered by the blistering pace of Kylian Mbappé, Bradley Barcola, and Ousmane Dembélé, France’s relentless 4-2-3-1 is tailor-made to exploit those spaces, making a high-scoring affair extremely likely.
Pick: France vs. Spain Over 2.5 (-115)
World Cup Predictions July 14 Bonus Pick
Both of these teams have world-class talent up front. France is second in the World Cup with 16 goals scored. Spain is tied for 6th in that same statistic in this World Cup with 11 goals. What’s more, both of these teams have 40+ shot attempts on target. France leads the tournament with 47 shots on goal, and Spain is third in the tournament with 40 shots on goal.
The best way to score goals is to create chances. Both of these teams are elite at creating legitimate scoring chances. It’s also worth noting that the last time these two teams played, at the UEFA Nations League Finals, both teams combined to score 9 goals in a 5-4 Spain victory. Therefore, my favorite bet is “Yes” on both teams to score. The odds at -165 are steep, but these are 2 of the best offenses in the tournament and the world.
Bonus Pick: “Yes” on Both Teams to Score (-165)
There’s only 4 teams left in the 2026 FIFA World Cup! Are you new to soccer betting? See our how to bet on soccer guide.
Today’s World Cup Predictions
- France -0.5 (+130)
- France vs. Spain Over 2.5 (-115)
- Bonus Pick: “Yes” on Both Teams to Score (-165)