The quarterfinal knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is officially halfway through. Spain beat Belgium 2-1 on Friday to advance to the semifinals. Two more teams will eventually join them there, and six teams are still alive at the time of this writing. July 11th is the thirtieth match day of the tournament and the third and final day of quarterfinal knockout stage play.
There are 2 quarterfinal knockout stage games on Saturday. Norway faces off against England in the opener. Argentina takes on Switzerland in the nightcap. That game will be in Kansas City, MO, USA, at 9 PM ET on FOX.
Can England win outright, cover the 0.5-goal spread against Norway, and advance to the semifinals? Can defending World Cup champions Argentina keep their repeat dream alive against a pesky Switzerland squad?
Note: If a game is tied at the end of 90 minutes and stoppage time, it is technically ruled a “draw” for betting purposes. Additionally, spreads, totals, and player props only apply to the 90 minutes of regulation time and stoppage time unless specified.
I’ll make game result picks for both of today’s contests, in addition to a bonus pick, below. Continue reading for our World Cup Best Bets July 11 article.
Norway vs. England — Time & How to Watch
| Where | HARD ROCK STADIUM, MIAMI GARDENS, FL, USA |
| When | SATURDAY, JULY 11, 2026, 5 PM ET |
| Competition | 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP / KNOCKOUT STAGE / QUARTERFINALS |
| TV | FOX, FOX ONE, TELEMUNDO, FUBO |
Norway vs. England Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORWAY | +0.5 (-105) | +300 | O 2.5 (-140) |
| ENGLAND | -0.5 (-120) | -110 | U 2.5 (+110) |
| DRAW | – | +265 | – |
Odds accurate as of Saturday, July 11, 2026, via TheSpread.com.
Norway vs England Prediction July 11 Game Result Pick
Norway is in the ideal position to cover the 0.5-goal spread as underdogs against England on Saturday. Furthermore, Erling Haaland’s blistering form—netting 7 goals in 5 tournament games—significantly boosts their chances.
Additionally, under manager Stale Solbakken, Norway’s historic, first-ever World Cup quarterfinal run provides immense motivational momentum following their stunning 2-1 upset over Brazil.
Tactically, England manager Thomas Tuchel faces a severe defensive crisis: center-back Jarell Quansah is suspended and Reece James is likely sidelined, leaving a vulnerable right flank for Norway winger Antonio Nusa to exploit.
Anchored by goalkeeper Orjan Nyland’s recent penalty-saving heroics, Norway’s stout defense and lethal counter-attack can absolutely force a draw or secure an outright upset in Miami.
Pick: Norway +0.5 (-105)
Argentina vs. Switzerland — Time & How to Watch
| Where | GEHA FIELD AT ARROWHEAD STADIUM, KANSAS CITY, MO, USA |
| When | SATURDAY, JULY 11, 2026, 9 PM ET |
| Competition | 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP / KNOCKOUT STAGE / QUARTERFINALS |
| TV | FOX, FOX ONE, TELEMUNDO, FUBO |
Argentina vs. Switzerland Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARGENTINA | -0.5 (-150) | -145 | O 2.5 (+120) |
| SWITZERLAND | +0.5 (+120) | +450 | U 2.5 (-150) |
| DRAW | – | +255 | – |
Argentina vs Switzerland Prediction July 11 Game Result Pick
Argentina is well-positioned to cover the 0.5-goal spread as the favorite against Switzerland on Saturday. Their star striker, Lionel Messi, has 8 tournament goals, leading the Golden Boot race.
Coming off a dramatic 3-2 comeback victory over Egypt, the defending champions carry significant momentum and dominate the ball, boasting a tournament-high 60.4% possession rate.
Tactically, Switzerland’s compact defense faces an uphill battle without their injured top scorer, Johan Manzambi. His absence will severely stunt their counter-attacking plans. Furthermore, history heavily favors La Albiceleste, who maintain an undefeated record and a dominant 15-3 historical goal differential against the Swiss.
Expect Argentina’s relentless build-up play to effortlessly crack a resilient but overmatched opponent in Kansas City.
Pick: Argentina -0.5 (-150)
World Cup Predictions July 11 Bonus Pick
Argentina forward Lionel Messi is tied for the World Cup lead with 8 goals so far in 5 games. He has scored in each of his team’s contests during this World Cup and has recorded at least 2 shots in each game as well. You can bet on Lionel Messi to score a goal at +100 at most sportsbooks.
Because I expect Argentina to beat Switzerland outright, and Messi has scored and fired at least one shot on target in every World Cup match, I consider him a safe bet to find the net again as he propels his team into their second consecutive World Cup semifinal.
Bonus Pick: Lionel Messi to Score a Goal (+100)
The quarterfinal stage of the 2026 World Cup is nearly complete! Are you new to soccer betting? Check out our how to bet on soccer guide.
Today’s World Cup Predictions
- Norway +0.5 (-105)
- Argentina -0.5 (-150)
- Bonus Pick: Lionel Messi to score a goal (+100)