The Minnesota Lynx visit the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday night, and the betting market has moved sharply since this game opened. Minnesota was posted as a double-digit favorite, yet the number has fallen to a field goal after the Lynx were hit with a key injury. That swing reshapes the value on both the spread and the total. Our lean follows where the market is pointing, and one home-dog angle stands out below.
Last Updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville CT |
| When | Wednesday, July 8 – 7:30 PM ET |
| TV | USA |
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun Game Preview
Minnesota owns the WNBA’s best record at 15-6, a remarkable perch given how much the roster has been thinned. Napheesa Collier has been sidelined all season while recovering from offseason ankle surgery. Now guard Olivia Miles, who leads the team in scoring and assists, is out with a calf strain. That leaves Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams to carry the offense. Both delivered in the first meeting, with McBride pouring in 28 points and Williams adding 23.
Connecticut sits near the bottom of the standings at 5-16 in what is the franchise’s final season before a planned relocation. Even so, the Sun just handled this exact opponent. Brittney Griner posted a season-high 29 points and 10 rebounds as Connecticut edged the Lynx 90-89 on July 6. Griner, now the league’s all-time leader in blocks, gives the Sun a genuine interior anchor. Kennedy Burke provided the clutch shooting off the bench in that win. The home crowd at Mohegan Sun will expect more of the same.
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lynx | -6.5 (-115) | -285 | U 168 (-110) |
| Sun | +6.5 (-105) | +235 | O 168 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of July 8, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Lynx | 36% | 64% | Sun |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Lynx vs. Sun Best Bet — Is The Line Moving Against a Lynx Cover?
The line movement tells most of the story here. Minnesota opened as a 10.5-point favorite, and the number has slid all the way to 6.5. Losing Olivia Miles for the first time this season accounts for a large chunk of that drop. She is the team’s leading scorer and primary creator, so her absence trims Minnesota’s ceiling on the road.
The public is siding with the home team, putting 64 percent of spread tickets on Connecticut. That aligns with what just happened. The Sun beat this Lynx group outright two nights ago, and they did it with Griner controlling the paint. Now they get the rematch at home against an opponent missing even more firepower. A one-point margin last time suggests the teams are closer than the records imply.
Still, the case for Minnesota is real. The Lynx have won at an elite clip all year without Collier, and McBride and Williams are capable of a bounce-back on national television. Connecticut’s 5-16 mark reflects a roster that struggles to string together stops. However, catching a short field goal with a team that just won the matchup, at home, feels like the sturdier side of this number.
The Pick: Sun +6.5 (-105)
Lynx vs. Sun Prediction — Will a Depleted Lynx Offense Slow the Scoring?
The total sits at 168, barely moved from its opening mark of 167.5. The first meeting flew past that number, with the teams combining for 179 points in a track meet. That result argues for the over, especially with McBride and Williams both scoring in bunches.
The counterpoint is the missing offense. Minnesota is now without both Collier and Miles, removing its leading scorer and a big share of its shot creation. Griner protects the rim as well as anyone, and a shorthanded visiting team on the second night against the same defense can bog down. The upside is a lower-scoring grind, so the under holds appeal at this price.
The Pick: Under 168 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
There is one more angle worth a look. The moneyline market has Connecticut at +235, yet only 13 percent of moneyline tickets are on the Sun. That is a sharp contrast with a home team that already beat this opponent outright. The Lynx remain the better roster and deserve to be favored, so a straight-up upset is far from assured. Still, at a price that implies roughly a 30 percent chance, a small-stake dart on the Sun to win outright carries value given the injuries and the recent result.
Bonus Pick: Sun moneyline (+235)
To recap the card: Sun +6.5 (-105) as the featured spread play, Under 168 (-110) on the total, and a small-stake Sun moneyline (+235) as the bonus angle. Each leans on the same theme of a depleted Minnesota side and a confident home underdog.
For more on how these teams matched up two nights ago, see our Sun vs. Lynx prediction from July 6, and browse our latest WNBA picks coverage for the rest of the slate.
WNBA Lynx vs Sun Wednesday July 8, 2026 FAQ
What time does the Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun game start?
Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, July 8, 2026, at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut.
What channel is the Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun game on?
The game is scheduled to air nationally on USA.
Who is favored in the Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun game?
Minnesota is a 6.5-point road favorite, with the total set at 168 points. The line opened at Lynx -10.5 before moving toward Connecticut.
Who won the last meeting between the Lynx and Sun?
Connecticut won the most recent meeting 90-89 on July 6, 2026, behind a season-high 29 points from Brittney Griner.