USA vs Belgium Predictions July 6: Can the USA avenge its 2014 loss?

The Round of 16 knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is in full swing. Norway beat Brazil 2-1 on Sunday to advance to the quarterfinals and England defeated Mexico 3-2 in regulation. Twelve teams are still alive at the time of this writing. July 6 is the twenty-sixth match day of the tournament and the third day of Round of 16 knockout stage play.

There are 2 Round of 16 knockout stage games on Monday. Portugal faces off against Spain in the opener. The USA plays Belgium in Seattle in the second and final game of the day.

Can Spain win outright, cover the 0.5-goal spread, and advance to the quarterfinals against Portugal? Will the USA score in regulation and cover the 0.5-goal spread as home favorites against Belgium?

Note: If a game is tied at the end of 90 minutes and stoppage time, it is technically ruled a "draw" for betting purposes. Additionally, spreads and totals only apply to the 90 minutes of regulation time and stoppage time unless specified.

I'll make game result picks for both of the day's contests, in addition to a bonus pick, below. Continue reading for our World Cup Best Bets July 6 article.

Portugal vs. Spain — Time & How to Watch

Portugal vs. Spain Odds

Odds accurate as of Monday, July 6, 2026, via TheSpread.com.

Portugal vs Spain Prediction July 6 Game Result Pick

Spain is poised to cover the 0.5-goal spread as favorites against Portugal on Monday afternoon by dominating possession and exploiting tired legs.

Under manager Luis de la Fuente, La Roja brings elite form into this World Cup Round of 16 clash, having just dismantled Austria 3-0. Tactically, Spain’s high-pressing midfield will counteract Portugal's build-up, limiting passes to an aging Cristiano Ronaldo.

With the dynamic Lamine Yamal stretching the flanks, superior expected goals metrics, and a historical pedigree of deep tournament runs, Spain possesses the youth and tactical edge to secure a decisive 90-minute victory and a berth in the quarterfinals.

Pick: Spain -0.5 (-110)

USA vs. Belgium — Time & How to Watch

USA vs. Belgium Odds

USA vs Belgium Prediction July 6 Game Result Pick

The United States is in a good spot to cover the 0.5-goal spread as favorites against Belgium on Monday night.

Fueled by a raucous home-field advantage at Lumen Field in Seattle, Mauricio Pochettino’s squad brings superior pace and high-intensity tactical cohesion in its Round of 16 match.

With Folarin Balogun available to anchor the attack alongside Christian Pulisic, the US can relentlessly exploit an aging Belgian core relying on heavy legs from Kevin De Bruyne and Axel Witsel.

By blending elite athletic skills and favorable scoring metrics with the unparalleled energy of the Seattle crowd, laying the half-goal at +150 odds offers a value opportunity for bettors on Monday.

Pick: USA -0.5 (+150)

World Cup Predictions July 6 Bonus Pick

There's a lot of value in taking the over on 2.5 goals in the Portugal vs. Spain game on Monday afternoon. Spain is coming off of a 3-0 demolition of Austria in their last match, and Portugal netted a pair of goals in their 2-1 win over Croatia in the Round of 32.

Both teams have elite attacking players up front, and their styles mesh together in a way that could lead to a high-scoring affair. Spain likes to keep possession of the ball, but Portugal likes to get out and counter-attack after gaining possession.

What's more, these 2 teams played each other in the 2025 Nations League Finals. That contest finished regulation as a 2-2 draw, and the squads netted those 4 goals in only 65 minutes of playing time. The odds on the over of 2.5 are -130, and that's good enough to warrant a play on Monday.

Bonus pick: Portugal vs. Spain Over 2.5 (-130)

The USA takes the field on Monday night! If you're new to soccer betting, check out our how to bet on soccer guide.

Today's World Cup Picks

1. Spain -0.5 (-110)
   • Bonus Pick: Portugal vs. Spain Over 2.5 (-130)
2. USA -0.5 (+150)