Brazil vs Japan Predictions June 29: Can Brazil avoid an upset?

The knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup has officially commenced. Canada beat South Africa 1-0 on Sunday to advance to the Round of 16. We'll have a quarter of the 16-team field set by the end of the day on Monday. June 29 is the nineteenth match day of the tournament and the second day of knockout stage play.

There are 3 knockout stage games on Monday. Brazil faces off against Japan in the opener. Germany takes on Paraguay in the second game, and the Netherlands will square off against Morocco in the nightcap.

Can Brazil win outright, cover the 0.5-goal spread, and advance to the Round of 16? Will Germany score multiple goals and cover the 1.5-goal spread as favorites against Paraguay? Can the Netherlands knock off a tough Moroccan side in Guadalupe, Mexico?

Note: If a game is tied at the end of 90 minutes and injury time, it is technically ruled a "draw" for betting purposes. Additionally, totals only apply to the 90 minutes of regulation time and injury time unless specified.

I'll make picks for all 3 of the days contests below. Continue reading for our World Cup Best Bets June 29 article.

Brazil vs. Japan — Time & How to Watch

Brazil vs. Japan Odds

Odds accurate as of Monday, June 29, 2026, via TheSpread.com.

Brazil vs Japan Prediction June 29 Game Result Pick

Japan is well-positioned to cover the +0.5-goal spread, requiring only a draw or win in regulation against Brazil.

Riding a 10-match unbeaten streak, the Samurai Blue utilize a disciplined, high-pressing tactical shape ideal for frustrating possession-heavy favorites. Playmaker Daichi Kamada will dictate quick transitions to exploit a Brazilian defense that Japan already cracked in their historic 3-2 victory in October 2025.

Motivated by manager Hajime Moriyasu’s drive to validate Japanese soccer's place on the global stage, their supreme organization creates a prime situational spot to back the underdogs against Carlo Ancelotti's Brazilian squad.

Pick: Japan +0.5 (+115)

Germany vs. Paraguay — Time & How to Watch

Germany vs. Paraguay Odds

Germany vs Paraguay Prediction June 29 Game Result Pick

Germany is in a good spot to cover the -1.5-goal spread in Monday’s Round of 32 matchup against Paraguay in Foxborough.

Manager Julian Nagelsmann’s squad boasts overwhelming attacking fluidity, spearheaded by the elite creative trio of Jamal Musiala, Florian Wirtz, and Kai Havertz. Despite a meaningless one-goal blip against Ecuador, Germany has won 11 of their last 12 matches.

Paraguay will deploy a stubborn low-block defense to prevent goals, but Nagelsmann’s tactical insistence on high-pushing fullbacks will inevitably stretch their shape to the breaking point.

Backing Germany's relentless pressure and superior quality creates a highly favorable spot for a multi-goal victory.

Pick: Germany -1.5 (-105)

Netherlands vs. Morocco — Time & How to Watch

Netherlands vs. Morocco Odds

Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction June 29 Game Result Pick

The Netherlands are well-positioned to cover the -0.5-goal spread with a regulation win over Morocco on Monday night.

Ronald Koeman's Oranje boast an elite attacking rhythm, netting 10 goals while topping Group F unbeaten. Their clinical structure, anchored defensively by Virgil van Dijk, is built to absorb the Atlas Lions' rapid verticality and exploit the spaces left behind.

Coming off a commanding 3-1 victory over Tunisia, the Dutch carry significant momentum. With historical motivation falling exactly 32 years after their USA '94 clash, backing the Dutch's supreme offensive firepower is the sharp play.

Pick: Netherlands -0.5 (+120)

The knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World cup is here. Are you new to soccer betting? See our how to bet on soccer guide.

Today's World Cup Predictions

1. Japan +0.5 (+115)
2. Germany -1.5 (-105)
3. Netherlands -0.5 (+120)