Turkiye vs USA Predictions June 25: Can the USA win all 3 group games?

The final round of the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup has begun. June 25 is the fifteenth match day of the tournament and the second day of third-round group play.

Every team from Groups D, E, and F will be in action on Thursday. I'll focus on a pair of Group D clashes in the late-night slate and a Group F contest taking place in the evening slate of games.

Can Japan win the game outright, cover the 0.5-goal spread, and earn 3 points in their final group game against Sweden on Thursday? Will Australia get a key victory in Santa Clara against Paraguay? Can the USA win by 1 goal or more and get a potentially significant group play win over Turkiye on Thursday?

I'll make picks for the 3 specified contests below. Continue reading for our World Cup Best Bets June 25 article.

Japan vs. Sweden — Time & How to Watch

Japan vs. Sweden Odds

Odds accurate as of Thursday, June 25, 2026, via TheSpread.com.

Japan vs Sweden Prediction June 25 Game Result Pick

Japan offers solid value as 0.5-goal favorites against Sweden on Thursday. Some relevant recent form trends heavily favor the Samurai Blue: sitting unbeaten with a +4 goal differential, they are primed to exploit a desperate Swedish squad that must press forward after conceding 5 goals to the Netherlands.

Sweden’s tactical overextension will inevitably leave massive defensive gaps for star Japanese striker Ayase Ueda, fresh off a brace against Tunisia. Given Japan's history of disciplined counter-attacking on the World Cup stage, their defensive block should easily absorb Sweden's attacking pressure. Backing Japan to expose this leaky defense is the right play on Thursday.

Pick: Japan -0.5 (-120)

Paraguay vs. Australia — Time & How to Watch

Paraguay vs. Australia Odds

Paraguay vs Australia Prediction June 25 Game Result Pick

Australia catching 0.5 goals against Paraguay offers some legit value on Thursday night.

Situational trends heavily favor the Socceroos; needing only a draw to advance, Tony Popovic’s side can comfortably sit in a disciplined defensive posture and thwart any offensive attacks.

Paraguay’s attack will be fundamentally stunted without their suspended talisman, Miguel Almirón, severely capping their final-third creativity. Expect young impact subs like Nestory Irankunda to exploit transition opportunities, ensuring Australia comfortably covers the spread.

In a spot like this, fading a depleted Paraguayan squad forced to break down a motivated defense is the sharp ATS play.

Pick: Australia +0.5 (-220)

Turkiye vs. USA — Time & How to Watch

Turkiye vs. USA Odds

Turkiye vs USA Prediction June 25 Game Result Pick

The United States have a good shot to cover the 0.5-goal spread as favorites on Thursday.

Past results point toward a potentially dominant performance: a surging American squad, fresh off decisive multi-goal victories, faces a winless and disorganized Turkish side. Fueled by a raucous homefield advantage in Inglewood, CA, the USMNT should comfortably control the match's tempo.

Turkey’s vulnerable backline simply cannot contain the dynamic pace of Folarin Balogun or the creative midfield distribution of Weston McKennie. The US need a result to win their Group. The Stars and Stripes will be highly motivated and should easily overwhelm a struggling and winless opponent like Turkiye.

Pick: USA -0.5 (-110)

The 2026 World Cup knockout field is almost set. Are you new to soccer betting? See our how to bet on soccer guide.

Today's World Cup Predictions

1. Japan -0.5 (-120)
2. Australia +0.5 (-220)
3. USA -0.5 (-110)